Racing TV Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

19:45

Racing TV Handicap

Date 2024-10-09

Distance 7f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £3,140

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (3)	Sneaky Girl Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	J:Hollie Doyle T:Marco Botti	132	p	74770	52	63	43	27d	—	—	-12	5.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Not built on her promising debut in March; back down in trip with enough to prove
3 (6)	Twilight Truth Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	132	—	995	52	58	45	23d	—	—	-10	4.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Modest form over 6f but this more suitable and she's bred to stay 7f; open to improvement
5 (8)	True Blue Gent Bay J:David Egan T:Marco Botti	J:David Egan T:Marco Botti	130	tb	080854	50	71	54	30d	—	—	-8	3.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Last two runs haven't been too bad and he's well treated on last winter's course form
7 (7)	Glastonbury Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	130	—	090	50	50	25	22d	—	—	-9	3.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Poor form in three recent runs but could take a big step forward now handicapping
9 (2)	Irrelevant Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Mark Pattinson	J:Jason Watson T:Mark Pattinson	128	ht	065437	48	71	44	20d	—	—	-7	5.7	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two course wins as a 2yo for R Hughes; promising stable debut in August; one to consider
12 (10)	Aspire To Glory Bay J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Alice Haynes	J:Anna Gibson(7) T:Alice Haynes	127	tp	735547	47	68	58	32d	—	—	-6	3.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
C&D win in Dec off 3lb higher; mixed bag this summer; another new headgear combination now
6 (5)	Batal Dandy Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Stuart Williams	J:Tom Marquand T:Stuart Williams	130	tp	176666	50	62	43	27d	—	—	-7	2.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Yet to shine for this yard but good jockey booking and stepping back up in trip may help
8 (4)	Havana Mojito Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:John Gallagher	J:Darragh Keenan T:John Gallagher	128	p	123448	48	68	-	23d	—	—	-2	3.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Flopped over 6f latest but the return to 7f a plus and cheekpieces could help; e-w shout
13 (1)	La Verite Bay J:Jay Mackay(7) T:Patrick Owens	J:Jay Mackay(7) T:Patrick Owens	127	—	777642	47	67	51	34d	—	—	+2	6.2	4.50/1	18/1 5%
0-12; ran okay for 2nd at Lingfield last time (6f) but sold for 1,000gns since; trip a ?
1 (11)	My Clementine Chestnut J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	135	p	051256	55	67	-	47d	—	—	+4	7.7	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Of interest on this summer's best but she's been well beaten the last twice
4 (13)	Reaching The Moon Grey J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	J:Rob Hornby T:Stuart Kittow	132	t	0995	52	59	22	47d	—	—	-1	1.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Low-key handicap debut but over 3f further on bad ground; others look safer
10 (12)	Perfect Spring Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Patrick Chamings	J:Charles Bishop T:Patrick Chamings	128	—	268-90	48	65	32	22d	—	—	-2	0.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
One course run (6f) that gives her strong claims; no show for new yard after a break
11 (9)	Dizziwizzbang Bay J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	J:Josephine Gordon T:Phil McEntee	127	—	00-0	47	55	-	277d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
No solid form in three course runs last winter; this more suitable but lots to prove

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sneaky Girl	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Twilight Truth	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
True Blue Gent	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Glastonbury	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Irrelevant	5/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1
Aspire To Glory	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1
Batal Dandy	10/1	9/1	10/1	7/1	17/2
Havana Mojito	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	18/1
La Verite	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1
My Clementine	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Reaching The Moon	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Perfect Spring	66/1	50/1	50/1	33/1	40/1
Dizziwizzbang	80/1	66/1	66/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

My Clementine

7.7

OR: 1.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1

22/1

2nd

La Verite

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

18/1

3rd

Irrelevant

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Sneaky Girl

5.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Twilight Truth

4.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Glastonbury

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Havana Mojito

3.5

OR: 0 Form: 1.9 Odds: 1.6

18/1

True Blue Gent

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

6/1

Aspire To Glory

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Batal Dandy

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Reaching The Moon

1.1

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Perfect Spring

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Dizziwizzbang

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
My Clementine	55	67	—
Sneaky Girl	52	63	43
Twilight Truth	52	58	45
Reaching The Moon	52	59	22
True Blue Gent	50	71	54
Glastonbury	50	50	25
Batal Dandy	50	62	43
Irrelevant	48	71	44
Havana Mojito	48	68	—
Perfect Spring	48	65	32
Aspire To Glory	47	68	58
La Verite	47	67	51
Dizziwizzbang	47	55	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Irrelevant	20d ago	Fit
Glastonbury	22d ago	Fit
Perfect Spring	22d ago	Fit
Twilight Truth	23d ago	Fit
Havana Mojito	23d ago	Fit
Sneaky Girl	27d ago	Fit
Batal Dandy	27d ago	Fit
True Blue Gent	30d ago	Fit
Aspire To Glory	32d ago	Fit
La Verite	34d ago	Fit
My Clementine	47d ago	Fresh
Reaching The Moon	47d ago	Fresh
Dizziwizzbang	277d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 7f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.