Tennents Lager Handicap – Ayr

Ayr

15:25

Tennents Lager Handicap

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £6,098

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Mythical Phoenix Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Julie Camacho	140	p	222235	87	96	74	33d	—	—	+5	20.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Banging the door down for this yard and conditions will be fine; looks sure to go well
6 (2)	Abduction Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	132	v	703782	79	99	82	9d	—	—	+1	18.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
2nd in this race last year off 7lb higher; good 2nd here last week (7f); should run well
2 (1)	Almarada Prince Chestnut J:William Pyle(3) T:Craig Lidster	J:William Pyle(3) T:Craig Lidster	139	—	342078	87	95	76	25d	—	—	+2	14.4	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Yet to win this year but retains plenty of ability and this is a marked drop in class
4 (5)	Rock Opera Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	132	—	193400	79	98	74	19d	—	—	-1	11.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Not at best the last twice but in stronger races; handy mark; wouldn't want rain
9 (3)	Hour By Hour Bay J:P J McDonald T:Iain Jardine	J:P J McDonald T:Iain Jardine	124	—	228511	71	96	87	10d	—	—	+15	26.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Chasing a hat-trick after two Hamilton wins; penalised against stronger opposition
5 (8)	The Caltonian Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:Linda Perratt	J:Daniel Tudhope T:Linda Perratt	132	b	224353	79	101	82	19d	—	—	+5	15.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Yet to win on turf but he's run some good races here this year and 6f looks his best trip
7 (9)	Rousing Encore Bay J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	J:James Sullivan T:Ruth Carr	131	—	040552	78	98	88	9d	—	—	+6	14.5	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Three good runs for Ruth Carr, the latest over C&D last week; contender off same mark
3 (4)	Diamondonthehill Bay J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	J:Connor Beasley T:Michael Dods	139	p	372780	86	95	84	19d	—	—	+6	12.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
On feasible mark but this is a rare 6f run and others may prove sharper; cheekpieces back
11 (7)	Mattice Bay J:Faye McManoman T:Tim Easterby	J:Faye McManoman T:Tim Easterby	119	p	758065	66	99	80	12d	—	—	+1	5.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Handicapped to win but perhaps over 5f and in a lower grade
8 (10)	Be Proud Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	130	p	345609	77	97	77	9d	—	—	+5	7.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
On a winning mark and should make a bold bid to repeat his 2023 win in this race
10 (11)	Iris Dancer Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	J:Andrew Mullen T:Tristan Davidson	120	b	133857	67	98	91	18d	—	—	+4	6.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Form dipped on last three starts; dangerous mark but others look more persuasive

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Mythical Phoenix	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Abduction	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Almarada Prince	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Rock Opera	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2	13/2
Hour By Hour	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
The Caltonian	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1	8/1
Rousing Encore	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Diamondonthehill	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Mattice	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Be Proud	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1	33/1
Iris Dancer	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Hour By Hour

26.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 18 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

Mythical Phoenix

20.8

OR: 9.3 Form: 7.1 Odds: 4.4

4/1

3rd

Abduction

18.2

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.9 Odds: 5

9/2

The Caltonian

15.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Rousing Encore

14.5

OR: 7 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Almarada Prince

14.4

OR: 9.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Diamondonthehill

12.1

OR: 9 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Rock Opera

11.8

OR: 7.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Be Proud

7.5

OR: 6.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Iris Dancer

6.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Mattice

5.2

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Mythical Phoenix	87	96	74
Almarada Prince	87	95	76
Diamondonthehill	86	95	84
Abduction	79	99	82
Rock Opera	79	98	74
The Caltonian	79	101	82
Rousing Encore	78	98	88
Be Proud	77	97	77
Hour By Hour	71	96	87
Iris Dancer	67	98	91
Mattice	66	99	80

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Abduction	9d ago	Quick return
Rousing Encore	9d ago	Quick return
Be Proud	9d ago	Quick return
Hour By Hour	10d ago	Quick return
Mattice	12d ago	Quick return
Iris Dancer	18d ago	Fit
Rock Opera	19d ago	Fit
The Caltonian	19d ago	Fit
Diamondonthehill	19d ago	Fit
Almarada Prince	25d ago	Fit
Mythical Phoenix	33d ago	Fit