Killinan Handicap – Thurles

Thurles

16:15

Killinan Handicap

Date 2024-10-10

Distance 1m4f104y

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo

Prize €9,145

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (6)	Autumn Winter Bay J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	140	—	52-37	86	90	76	112d	—	—	-24	26.1	0.18/1	8/11 58%
Absent since Ascot in June; big drop in class and could well have more to offer
5 (4)	Gangster Granny Bay J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Shane Foley T:Mrs John Harrington	130	p	314334	76	90	76	10d	—	—	+1	16.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Staying on late in handicaps recently; may want a bit further
3 (3)	Messerschmitt Bay J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	J:Colin Keane T:Noel Meade	136	—	436555	82	92	64	16d	—	—	-1	12.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Bit to find with Granite Bay on Listowel run but can't rule out
4 (5)	Dark Oak Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	J:Gary Carroll T:Joseph G Murphy	134	p	326312	80	90	68	16d	—	—	+15	24.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Just outstayed by Granite Bay at Listowel; 2lb better off and shorter trip to suit
6 (1)	Lagoon Nebula Bay J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	J:W J Lee T:W McCreery	127	—	643	73	90	75	17d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+4	10.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Lightly raced maiden with more to offer; this looks quite competitive for handicap debut
NR (2)	Granite Bay Bay J:Ronan Whelan T:Jarlath P Fahey	J:Ronan Whelan T:Jarlath P Fahey	136	—	791141	82	89	65	16d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	26	—	—
Winner of three of last four starts; up 15lb but still respected

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Autumn Winter	8/11	4/6	8/11
Gangster Granny	9/2	9/2	9/2
Messerschmitt	11/2	11/2	11/2
Dark Oak	17/2	15/2	8/1
Lagoon Nebula	14/1	12/1	12/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Autumn Winter

26.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 17.1

8/11

2nd

Granite Bay

OR: 8 Form: 18 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Dark Oak

24.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 14.5 Odds: 2.9

17/2

Gangster Granny

16.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 5.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Messerschmitt

12.2

OR: 8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Lagoon Nebula

10.5

OR: 5.8 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Autumn Winter	86	90	76
Messerschmitt	82	92	64
Granite Bay	82	89	65
Dark Oak	80	90	68
Gangster Granny	76	90	76
Lagoon Nebula	73	90	75

Last Run