Colm White Bookmaker Beggar's End Handicap (Premier Handicap)

Naas

16:00

Date 2024-10-13

Distance 2m23y

Class

Going Yielding

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize €59,000

Runners (21)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (20)	Chemistry Grey J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Lordan T:A P O'Brien	136	b	3-112	106	98	85	29d	—	—	+5	20.5	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Unexposed 3yo, drawn wide, up 6lb for 4l second in the Petingo, not discounted
8 (13)	Comfort Zone Bay J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Dylan Browne McMonagle T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	125	b	3/2-07	86	100	89	14d	—	—	+3	18.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Good effort in the Irish Cesarewitch in blinkers (retained), 2lb lower, ground ok, chance
3 (2)	Portland Bay J:Jack Cleary(7) T:A P O'Brien	J:Jack Cleary(7) T:A P O'Brien	135	—	-24183	105	102	79	94d	—	—	+15	25.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Closely matched with Chemistry, third in a Gr 3 latest, 2m trip a worry, others preferred
13 (4)	Toll Stone Chestnut J:Seamie Heffernan T:Emmet Mullins	J:Seamie Heffernan T:Emmet Mullins	121	—	32-174	82	107	94	51d	—	—	0	11.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Dual-purpose; won off 74 at Galway in August, stayed on over 1m4f latest, cant discount
15 (7)	Jabbar Bay J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	J:Keithen Kennedy(7) T:Gerard O'Leary	119	—	-13412	80	103	80	—	—	—	+15	25.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won a maiden hurdle earlier this week, ground versatile, interesting for in form yard
12 (18)	Pinot Gris Grey J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Robert Whearty(3) T:Gavin Cromwell	121	tp	112-56	82	106	97	—	—	—	+2	10.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Dual-purpose, in form over hurdles, beaten 7.5l latest Flat start, may be on a tough mark
5 (6)	Seddon Bay J:Colin Keane T:John C McConnell	J:Colin Keane T:John C McConnell	129	—	4-11	90	105	99	16d	—	—	+5	12.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
On a hat-trick after wins at Listowel and Killarney, handicap bow, Keane up, could go well
18 (17)	Man O Work Bay J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:P G Fahey	J:Wesley Joyce(5) T:P G Fahey	119	—	7/2-25	80	102	81	—	—	—	+6	13.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Dual-purpose, 2lb wrong but top claimer booked, shaped well last Flat start, could go well
19 (14)	Ephesus Chestnut J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:A P O'Brien	J:Wayne Hassett(5) T:A P O'Brien	119	p	32417	89	103	93	76d	—	—	+14	20.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Beaten 4.25l off 87 at Galway, 5lb wrong but 5lb claimer booked, unproven at 2m
6 (12)	Mr Escobar Bay J:Chris Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Chris Hayes T:W P Mullins	126	—	5050-2	87	106	101	—	—	—	+10	15.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Fine effort on last Flat start at Chester, 3lb higher now, top yard but this a big ask
17 (3)	Harry's Legacy Bay J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Jamie Powell(3) T:Henry De Bromhead	119	t	25/5-4	80	97	-	23d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+5	8.4	7.00/1	28/1 3%
5lb lower than when fifth in this in 2022, 2lb wrong, 3lb claimer booked, each-way chance
1 (10)	Falcon Eight Bay J:Sam Coen(10) T:D K Weld	J:Sam Coen(10) T:D K Weld	140	b	-67700	101	106	83	14d	—	—	+10	13.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Second in last year's Irish Cesarewitch off 104, 3lb lower now and 10lb claimer on, chance
7 (11)	Vera Verto Bay J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Gary Carroll T:Gavin Cromwell	126	t	894325	87	104	95	29d	—	—	+12	15	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Was 9l behind Mr Escobar at Chester; 2lb lower now but never won over this far on the Flat
11 (5)	Nostra Casa Bay J:Leigh Roche T:Paul W Flynn	J:Leigh Roche T:Paul W Flynn	121	tp	-16691	82	106	87	57d	—	—	+17	21.2	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Fine win at Tramore latest, personal best needed off career high mark, can't discount
10 (1)	Lord Erskine Bay J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:H Rogers	J:Siobhan Rutledge(3) T:H Rogers	122	b	3-6745	83	106	99	—	—	—	+8	11.1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Dual-purpose, seven-time flat winner, fine effort at Galway off 2lb higher, outrun odds
9 (9)	Reina Del Mar Bay J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Mikey Sheehy T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	124	t	2-4577	85	106	88	47d	—	—	+10	13	10.00/1	40/1 2%
All three wins at 1m4f, beaten favourite over 17.5f at Ballinrobe latest, others preferred
4 (15)	Prairie Dancer Bay J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Declan McDonogh T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	131	b	516-60	92	106	82	14d	—	—	+9	11	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Won this race last year, 8lb higher now, others look better treated
16 (16)	Rich Belief Bay J:Andrew Slattery T:Karl Thornton	J:Andrew Slattery T:Karl Thornton	119	tb	-83156	80	107	98	—	—	—	+12	14	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Won off 76 at Chester in June, blinkers return but he may need respite from the assessor
20 (21)	Rain Bay J:Nathan Crosse T:James M Barcoe	J:Nathan Crosse T:James M Barcoe	119	—	-43555	80	93	48	20d	—	—	+8	8.6	37.50/1	150/1 1%
1-22 on turf, beaten off 69 on latest, 12lb wrong, this looks too big an ask
14 (8)	Mt Leinster Bay J:Danny Sheehy T:John C McConnell	J:Danny Sheehy T:John C McConnell	120	p	700970	81	104	99	57d	—	—	+7	7.9	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Not a bad run at Galway, burst blood vessels latest, yard has better chance with Seddon
NR (19)	Sceptred Isle Bay J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:G A Kingston	J:Rory Mulligan(7) T:G A Kingston	119	h	-31153	80	91	69	11d	—	—	—	19.1	—	—
Good run at Bellewstown but 13lb wrong here and up against it in this company; reserve

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Chemistry	11/2	11/2	5/1	5/1	9/2
Comfort Zone	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2	6/1
Portland	7/1	13/2	7/1	15/2	7/1
Toll Stone	6/1	6/1	13/2	13/2	13/2
Jabbar	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2	15/2
Pinot Gris	8/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	8/1
Seddon	11/1	11/1	11/1	9/1	9/1
Man O Work	12/1	11/1	12/1	11/1	12/1
Ephesus	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Mr Escobar	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Harry's Legacy	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Falcon Eight	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Vera Verto	28/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1
Nostra Casa	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Lord Erskine	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Reina Del Mar	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Prairie Dancer	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Rich Belief	100/1	100/1	80/1	80/1	50/1
Rain	150/1	150/1	125/1	100/1	100/1
Mt Leinster	250/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Portland

25.8

OR: 13.8 Form: 9 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

Jabbar

25.3

OR: 7.5 Form: 14.9 Odds: 2.9

15/2

3rd

Nostra Casa

21.2

OR: 8 Form: 12 Odds: 1.2

28/1

Ephesus

20.6

OR: 9.8 Form: 9.1 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Chemistry

20.5

OR: 14 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.4

11/2

Sceptred Isle

19.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 11.6 Odds: 0

—

Comfort Zone

18.4

OR: 9 Form: 5 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Mr Escobar

15.9

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Vera Verto

OR: 9.3 Form: 5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Rich Belief

OR: 7.5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.6

100/1

Falcon Eight

13.6

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

25/1

Man O Work

13.1

OR: 7.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Reina Del Mar

OR: 8.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

40/1

Seddon

12.1

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Toll Stone

11.3

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Lord Erskine

11.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Prairie Dancer

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Pinot Gris

10.4

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Rain

8.6

OR: 7.5 Form: 0.9 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Harry's Legacy

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Mt Leinster

7.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Chemistry	106	98	85
Portland	105	102	79
Falcon Eight	101	106	83
Prairie Dancer	92	106	82
Seddon	90	105	99
Ephesus	89	103	93
Mr Escobar	87	106	101
Vera Verto	87	104	95
Comfort Zone	86	100	89
Reina Del Mar	85	106	88
Lord Erskine	83	106	99
Toll Stone	82	107	94
Pinot Gris	82	106	97
Nostra Casa	82	106	87
Mt Leinster	81	104	99
Jabbar	80	103	80
Man O Work	80	102	81
Harry's Legacy	80	97	—
Rich Belief	80	107	98
Rain	80	93	48
Sceptred Isle	80	91	69

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sceptred Isle	11d ago	Quick return
Comfort Zone	14d ago	Fit
Falcon Eight	14d ago	Fit
Prairie Dancer	14d ago	Fit
Seddon	16d ago	Fit
Rain	20d ago	Fit
Harry's Legacy	23d ago	Fit
Chemistry	29d ago	Fit
Vera Verto	29d ago	Fit
Reina Del Mar	47d ago	Fresh
Toll Stone	51d ago	Fresh
Nostra Casa	57d ago	Fresh
Mt Leinster	57d ago	Fresh
Ephesus	76d ago	Fresh
Portland	94d ago	Long break
Jabbar	—	—
Pinot Gris	—	—
Man O Work	—	—
Mr Escobar	—	—
Lord Erskine	—	—
Rich Belief	—	—