Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco) – Ascot

Ascot

16:35

Balmoral Handicap (Sponsored By Qipco)

Date 2024-10-19

Distance 1m

Class Class 2

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £103,080

Runners (20)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
10 (21)	Thunder Run Chestnut J:Ryan Moore T:K R Burke	J:Ryan Moore T:K R Burke	125	—	21131	100	118	100	58d	—	—	+21	38.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
3yo who made it 3-5 when making all in Clipper Handicap at York; may continue to progress
8 (6)	Daysofourlives Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Marco Botti	J:Jack Mitchell T:Marco Botti	129	p	1-3241	101	117	91	35d	—	—	+13	22.3	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Form of Doncaster win has been franked and this progressive 4yo is a possible player
19 (2)	State Actor Bay J:Chris Hayes T:W T Farrell	J:Chris Hayes T:W T Farrell	123	—	-21142	95	117	99	49d	—	—	+18	27.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Went very close in Irish Cambridgeshire; progressive and could have more left in the tank
11 (3)	Bopedro Bay J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	J:Daniel Tudhope T:David O'Meara	124	v	560203	96	121	104	14d	—	—	+11	19.4	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Kept on for third in 7f Challenge Cup here recently; could be in the mix now back up to 1m
14 (17)	Toimy Son Bay J:Oisin Murphy T:David Menuisier	J:Oisin Murphy T:David Menuisier	123	—	243143	95	119	109	21d	—	—	+14	22.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won the Golden Mile and good third in the Cambridgeshire last time; he's in with a chance
1 (9)	Holloway Boy Chestnut J:William Buick T:K R Burke	J:William Buick T:K R Burke	138	—	352331	110	115	93	42d	—	—	+25	32.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Has a lofty mark to defy but he won a Group 3 at Haydock last month and is respected
20 (19)	Mirsky Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:David O'Meara	J:Kieran Shoemark T:David O'Meara	123	h	905285	95	119	103	14d	—	—	+10	15.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Kept on for fifth in 7f Challenge Cup here last time; each-way claims now back up to 1m
5 (14)	Elnajmm Bay J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	J:Tom Marquand T:William Haggas	132	p	1-1195	104	119	95	31d	—	—	+17	21.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Highly progressive in the summer; hasn't kicked on recently; perhaps cheekpieces will help
7 (5)	Carrytheone Bay J:Christophe Soumillon T:Michael Bell	J:Christophe Soumillon T:Michael Bell	132	ht	451346	104	119	100	14d	—	—	+13	19.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Some solid efforts in defeat in handicaps here this season; could be thereabouts
9 (4)	Mr Professor Bay J:David Egan T:Raphael E Freire	J:David Egan T:Raphael E Freire	125	—	26-100	97	118	110	121d	—	—	+7	13.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Won the Lincoln in March; claims will be boosted today if he's back on slow ground
16 (13)	Godwinson Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:William Haggas	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:William Haggas	123	p	-20410	95	118	94	21d	—	—	+15	20.9	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Lightly raced 4yo who is in top hands; improvement can't be ruled out, but is necessary
17 (22)	Lattam Chestnut J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	123	—	57-285	95	119	110	114d	—	—	+8	12.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Runner-up in the Lincoln in March but unplaced the next twice (April/June)
15 (8)	Mexicali Rose Chestnut J:Maxime Guyon T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	J:Maxime Guyon T:Joseph Patrick O'Brien	123	—	610353	95	117	88	13d	—	—	+14	19.4	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won Galway Mile in July; clearly well suited by a big-field scenario; possible contender
3 (23)	Cicero's Gift Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	J:Billy Loughnane T:Charles Hills	137	—	7-1748	109	117	89	14d	—	—	+12	15.8	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won off 2lb lower at Sandown (1m, soft) in July; mixed form since but not written off
4 (18)	Witch Hunter Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	J:Jamie Spencer T:Richard Hannon	137	—	434236	109	117	93	29d	—	—	+17	20.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Won the Buckingham Palace here last June on the last occasion he tackled a handicap
12 (10)	Star Of Orion Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	124	t	-92337	96	118	108	14d	—	—	+15	17.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Effective here but only seventh in the Challenge Cup here recently; needs a bigger run
18 (20)	Padishakh Brown J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	123	t	607420	95	118	108	8d	—	—	+13	15.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Well treated on last year's French form; went close at Ayr, then flopped on soft at York
2 (1)	Sir Busker Bay J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:William Knight	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:William Knight	138	p	465414	110	119	88	28d	—	—	+20	22.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
8yo; beaten in Listed race last time but has lots of good form at Ascot; not ruled out
6 (7)	Popmaster Grey J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	J:Ross Coakley T:Ed Walker	132	—	770560	104	116	83	14d	—	—	+12	14	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Suited by this track and he's on a handy mark, but has had a patchy campaign this season
13 (12)	Alaskan Gold Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	J:Rossa Ryan T:Alan King	124	b	2-5445	99	118	87	58d	—	—	+15	16.1	25.00/1	100/1 1%
3yo; Greenham fifth; return to form needed in first-time headgear on second start for yard

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Thunder Run	4/1	7/2	18/5	7/2	7/2
Daysofourlives	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	8/1
State Actor	15/2	7/1	15/2	7/1	15/2
Bopedro	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	17/2
Toimy Son	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	9/1
Holloway Boy	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Mirsky	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Elnajmm	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Carrytheone	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Mr Professor	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Godwinson	18/1	16/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Lattam	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Mexicali Rose	18/1	20/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Cicero's Gift	20/1	20/1	22/1	25/1	22/1
Witch Hunter	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Star Of Orion	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Padishakh	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Sir Busker	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Popmaster	50/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Alaskan Gold	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Thunder Run

38.8

OR: 12.5 Form: 21.1 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Holloway Boy

32.2

OR: 15 Form: 15.1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

3rd

State Actor

27.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 14 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Toimy Son

22.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 8.9 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Sir Busker

22.6

OR: 15 Form: 7 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Daysofourlives

22.3

OR: 12.8 Form: 7 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Elnajmm

21.9

OR: 13.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Godwinson

20.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 8 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Witch Hunter

20.9

OR: 14.8 Form: 5.2 Odds: 1

25/1

Carrytheone

19.7

OR: 13.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Bopedro

19.4

OR: 11.5 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Mexicali Rose

19.4

OR: 11.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Star Of Orion

17.3

OR: 11.5 Form: 5.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Alaskan Gold

16.1

OR: 12.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Cicero's Gift

15.8

OR: 14.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Padishakh

15.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Mirsky

15.1

OR: 11.3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Popmaster

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Mr Professor

13.5

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Lattam

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Holloway Boy	110	115	93
Sir Busker	110	119	88
Cicero's Gift	109	117	89
Witch Hunter	109	117	93
Elnajmm	104	119	95
Carrytheone	104	119	100
Popmaster	104	116	83
Daysofourlives	101	117	91
Thunder Run	100	118	100
Alaskan Gold	99	118	87
Mr Professor	97	118	110
Bopedro	96	121	104
Star Of Orion	96	118	108
State Actor	95	117	99
Toimy Son	95	119	109
Mirsky	95	119	103
Godwinson	95	118	94
Lattam	95	119	110
Mexicali Rose	95	117	88
Padishakh	95	118	108

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Padishakh	8d ago	Quick return
Mexicali Rose	13d ago	Quick return
Bopedro	14d ago	Fit
Mirsky	14d ago	Fit
Carrytheone	14d ago	Fit
Cicero's Gift	14d ago	Fit
Star Of Orion	14d ago	Fit
Popmaster	14d ago	Fit
Toimy Son	21d ago	Fit
Godwinson	21d ago	Fit
Sir Busker	28d ago	Fit
Witch Hunter	29d ago	Fit
Elnajmm	31d ago	Fit
Daysofourlives	35d ago	Fit
Holloway Boy	42d ago	Fit
State Actor	49d ago	Fresh
Thunder Run	58d ago	Fresh
Alaskan Gold	58d ago	Fresh
Lattam	114d ago	Long break
Mr Professor	121d ago	Long break