Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:55

Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Handicap

Date 2024-10-22

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (10)	Pursuit Of Truth Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Owen Burrows	J:Jason Watson T:Owen Burrows	134	—	78-52	69	80	72	13d	—	—	-14	12.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Kept on well for second on recent handicap debut and probably still has potential
11 (2)	Barleybrown Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	J:Billy Loughnane T:Ruth Carr	128	—	144913	60	78	65	4d	—	—	0	17.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Clearcut C&D winner last month and placed off new mark here on Friday
1 (12)	Harlem Nights Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Jessica Macey	138	—	-85858	70	77	68	17d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Fair fifth in first-time cheekpieces last month but others here appeal more
3 (6)	Jackson Street Bay J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	135	p	663208	70	83	63	18d	—	—	+2	10.8	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Needs to get back on track but is of interest if judged on 7f second here in September
5 (11)	Alpine Sierra Brown J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	132	—	406942	64	76	50	12d	—	—	+3	10.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Went close on turf recently but does not have a persuasive record on Tapeta
9 (9)	Operation Gimcrack Chestnut J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	J:David Nolan T:Bryan Smart	130	—	320-50	62	77	54	27d	—	—	-3	5.4	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Shaped well here on belated seasonal debut and subsequent defeat best overlooked
7 (5)	Jewel Maker Bay J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	J:David Allan T:Tim Easterby	131	—	243647	63	79	-	12d	—	—	-1	6.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Didn't fire on turf recently but largely consistent since Pontefract win in July
10 (7)	Slaney Swagger Brown J:Callum Rodriguez T:Alice Haynes	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Alice Haynes	129	p	728330	64	77	-	37d	—	—	+3	10	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Ex-Irish maiden; well below best on all three starts for current stable
2 (4)	Million Thanks Chestnut J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	138	tv	875043	70	79	50	7d	—	—	+3	9.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Safely held when third here a week ago (first-time visor) and needs to find extra today
8 (1)	Sir Maxi Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Sam England	J:Oisin Orr T:Sam England	131	—	808683	63	84	55	40d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+3	7.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Kept on well from the rear for third over 7f here last month; worth another crack at 1m
12 (3)	Jumeira Vision Bay J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	J:Sam James T:Katie Scott	127	—	154704	59	78	-	35d	—	—	0	3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won three in a row on turf in the summer but seems to have gone off the boil lately
NR (8)	Calder Valley Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	J:NON-RUNNER T:Julie Camacho	132	—	0/3485	64	-	-	53d	—	—	—	3.5	—	—
Low-mileage 4yo; respectable fifth when upped to 1m in August, after a break

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Pursuit Of Truth	5/2	9/4	5/2	2/1	5/2
Barleybrown	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Harlem Nights	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	6/1
Jackson Street	11/1	10/1	10/1	8/1	10/1
Alpine Sierra	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
Operation Gimcrack	10/1	10/1	10/1	8/1	10/1
Jewel Maker	11/1	11/1	11/1	16/1	9/1
Slaney Swagger	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Million Thanks	12/1	14/1	14/1	18/1	12/1
Sir Maxi	25/1	22/1	22/1	16/1	20/1
Jumeira Vision	33/1	33/1	33/1	50/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Barleybrown

17.5

OR: 2.5 Form: 10 Odds: 5

4/1

2nd

Pursuit Of Truth

12.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

3rd

Jackson Street

10.8

OR: 5 Form: 3.4 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Alpine Sierra

10.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Slaney Swagger

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Million Thanks

9.9

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

18/1

Harlem Nights

8.1

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Sir Maxi

7.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Jewel Maker

6.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Operation Gimcrack

5.4

OR: 3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Calder Valley

3.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Jumeira Vision

OR: 2.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Harlem Nights	70	77	68
Jackson Street	70	83	63
Million Thanks	70	79	50
Pursuit Of Truth	69	80	72
Alpine Sierra	64	76	50
Slaney Swagger	64	77	—
Calder Valley	64	—	—
Jewel Maker	63	79	—
Sir Maxi	63	84	55
Operation Gimcrack	62	77	54
Barleybrown	60	78	65
Jumeira Vision	59	78	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Barleybrown	4d ago	Quick return
Million Thanks	7d ago	Quick return
Alpine Sierra	12d ago	Quick return
Jewel Maker	12d ago	Quick return
Pursuit Of Truth	13d ago	Quick return
Harlem Nights	17d ago	Fit
Jackson Street	18d ago	Fit
Operation Gimcrack	27d ago	Fit
Jumeira Vision	35d ago	Fit
Slaney Swagger	37d ago	Fit
Sir Maxi	40d ago	Fit
Calder Valley	53d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.