Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:25

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-10-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (2)	Barnaby Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	J:Tom Eaves T:Kevin Ryan	133	—	360461	58	73	43	28d	—	—	-10	22	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Comfortably opened his account over C&D 23 days ago; up 5lb but a big player once more
1 (9)	Retraction Bay J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	J:Jason Hart T:Ruth Carr	137	—	466034	60	70	47	18d	—	—	-9	10.3	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Still a maiden but he arrives in good nick; ought to be thereabouts off an easing mark
2 (5)	Jkr Cobbler Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	134	—	537375	57	74	63	12d	—	—	-8	8.9	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Course winner; not seen to best effect when fifth at Ayr latest; very much one to consider
6 (4)	No Saint Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Sam England	J:Joe Fanning T:Sam England	129	—	767042	52	73	56	7d	—	—	-6	10.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
On a long losing run but good C&D second a week ago; must enter calculations off same mark
8 (3)	Mr Stanley Bay J:Billy Loughnane T:Philip Kirby	J:Billy Loughnane T:Philip Kirby	123	p	906503	46	71	58	18d	—	—	-3	5.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Is now 0-22 but he got back on track with a C&D third 18 days ago; needs to back it up
7 (6)	Angel Amadea Grey J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	125	tv	369065	48	68	54	29d	—	—	-3	1.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
It's now 12 runs since her last success and she arrives below par; others more persuasive
9 (1)	Sacree Fleur Bay J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	J:Sam James T:Grant Tuer	121	—	0-656	46	63	20	18d	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Showed first hint of promise on handicap debut when C&D sixth 18 days ago; possibilities
4 (8)	Zousca Bay J:Thomas Greatrex T:David Loughnane	J:Thomas Greatrex T:David Loughnane	132	ht	9-726	57	63	50	41d	—	—	+1	2.1	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Sixth of eight on h'cap debut at Lingfield last month; hood goes back on with more needed
NR (7)	Sassoon Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Ben Haslam	J:NON-RUNNER T:Ben Haslam	130	—	619-00	53	-	-	4d	—	—	—	0.8	—	—
Failed to beat a rival in a pair of 7f handicaps this autumn; others are preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Barnaby	13/8	13/8	13/8	13/8	6/4
Retraction	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Jkr Cobbler	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
No Saint	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mr Stanley	11/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Angel Amadea	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Sacree Fleur	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Zousca	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Barnaby

OR: 2 Form: 10 Odds: 10

13/8

2nd

Retraction

10.3

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

No Saint

10.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 5 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Jkr Cobbler

8.9

OR: 1.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

9/2

Mr Stanley

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Zousca

2.1

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Angel Amadea

1.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Sassoon

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Sacree Fleur

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Retraction	60	70	47
Barnaby	58	73	43
Jkr Cobbler	57	74	63
Zousca	57	63	50
Sassoon	53	—	—
No Saint	52	73	56
Angel Amadea	48	68	54
Mr Stanley	46	71	58
Sacree Fleur	46	63	20

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sassoon	4d ago	Quick return
No Saint	7d ago	Quick return
Jkr Cobbler	12d ago	Quick return
Retraction	18d ago	Fit
Mr Stanley	18d ago	Fit
Sacree Fleur	18d ago	Fit
Barnaby	28d ago	Fit
Angel Amadea	29d ago	Fit
Zousca	41d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.