Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

19:55

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Handicap (Div II)

Date 2024-10-22

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Tickets Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	J:Andrew Mullen T:Ben Haslam	131	—	-96037	54	71	57	42d	—	—	-14	10.7	0.63/1	5/2 29%
It's now 15 outings since his last victory but he comes here in decent nick; shortlisted
1 (9)	Havana Smoke Grey J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	J:Rhys Clutterbuck T:Dylan Cunha	135	p	522634	60	73	51	10d	—	—	-9	13.8	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Good fourth at Chelmsford latest; merits serious consideration eased 1lb now
2 (6)	Space Ninja Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	J:Rowan Scott T:Roger Fell	133	—	44-216	58	71	-	8d	—	—	-11	7.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won at Musselburgh in September but only sixth there since; sort to bounce back though
3 (2)	Galel Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	132	—	69-078	57	68	52	22d	—	—	-6	4.8	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Promise for new yard when eighth at Wolver 22 days ago, badly hampered late; considered
7 (5)	Ana Emaraaty Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	124	—	219566	47	69	47	12d	0W/0P 1 run	—	-5	4.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Course winner; rusty after six months off when sixth at Ayr 12 days ago; considered
5 (7)	Yaahobby Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	130	ht	048116	53	73	43	7d	—	—	+7	15.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Dual C&D winner but beat only two in his hat-trick bid here a week ago; has to bounce back
8 (3)	Retirement Beckons Bay J:Jason Hart T:Linda Perratt	J:Jason Hart T:Linda Perratt	123	—	773644	46	69	46	29d	—	—	-2	2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Creditable fourth at Hamilton latest; this course winner can make his presence felt
9 (1)	Dash Power Bay J:Mark Winn T:Derek Shaw	J:Mark Winn T:Derek Shaw	121	v	835663	46	65	63	167d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+3	4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Best effort in a first-time visor when third at Kempton in May; possibilities
NR (8)	Kapparis Kid Bay J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	J:Jason Watson T:Tony Carroll	128	—	575770	53	64	-	21d	—	—	—	0.8	—	—
Off three months before tenth at Bath latest; can take a step forward off 3lb lower mark

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Tickets	9/4	5/2	9/4	5/2	85/40
Havana Smoke	11/4	3/1	3/1	11/4	11/4
Space Ninja	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Galel	7/1	7/1	7/1	6/1	13/2
Ana Emaraaty	9/1	15/2	10/1	9/1	11/1
Yaahobby	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	11/1
Retirement Beckons	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Dash Power	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Yaahobby

15.1

OR: 0.8 Form: 12 Odds: 2.4

11/1

2nd

Havana Smoke

13.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 4.6 Odds: 6.7

3/1

3rd

Tickets

10.7

OR: 1 Form: 2.1 Odds: 7.6

5/2

Space Ninja

7.4

OR: 2 Form: 0 Odds: 5.4

7/2

Galel

4.8

OR: 1.8 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Ana Emaraaty

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Dash Power

OR: 0 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Retirement Beckons

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Kapparis Kid

0.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Havana Smoke	60	73	51
Space Ninja	58	71	—
Galel	57	68	52
Tickets	54	71	57
Yaahobby	53	73	43
Kapparis Kid	53	64	—
Ana Emaraaty	47	69	47
Retirement Beckons	46	69	46
Dash Power	46	65	63

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Yaahobby	7d ago	Quick return
Space Ninja	8d ago	Quick return
Havana Smoke	10d ago	Quick return
Ana Emaraaty	12d ago	Quick return
Kapparis Kid	21d ago	Fit
Galel	22d ago	Fit
Retirement Beckons	29d ago	Fit
Tickets	42d ago	Fit
Dash Power	167d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 7f14y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.