Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Southwell

17:33

Date 2024-10-23

Distance 2m4f88y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,433

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
5	Queens Venture Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	162	—	4-7441	98	104	64	8d	—	—	-7	20.4	5/2 29%
Easy winner last week; returns to shorter but has plenty going for her under a penalty.
1	Fashionelle Bay J:James Best T:Fergal O'Brien	J:James Best T:Fergal O'Brien	168	p	333612	102	103	95	29d	—	—	+17	30.1	13/2 13%
2m4f hurdle winner; probably needs improvement to defy another rise but not ruled out.
7	Just Chasing May Bay J:Callum Pritchard(10) T:Ben Pauling	J:Callum Pritchard(10) T:Ben Pauling	156	—	474-F1	90	107	63	130d	—	—	+1	13.6	7/1 13%
Up 12lb for easy Uttoxeter win; 10lb claimer helps negate that; remains of interest.
2	Court Cian Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	164	—	311-F5	98	97	77	47d	—	—	+4	15.3	7/1 13%
Bumper second and point winner; improvement is required off his opening mark.
11	Gone In Sixty Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Alex Hales	J:Bryan Carver T:Alex Hales	148	—	533227	82	104	103	29d	—	—	+8	18.6	15/2 12%
Below par latest but is an each-way player back down in trip, if he can shrug that off.
4	Stuti Bay J:David Bass T:Hughie Morrison	J:David Bass T:Hughie Morrison	163	h	373-33	97	103	34	122d	—	—	+5	14.4	11/1 8%
Third in four of her five hurdles and unable to better her bumper form; each-way player.
10	Zuul Chestnut J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Nathan Moscrop T:Rebecca Menzies	148	t	-73284	82	104	69	8d	—	—	+6	13.3	14/1 7%
Unable to make an impact from similar marks on his two starts since a break; more needed.
6	Spitfire Bridge Bay J:Marc Goldstein T:Sheena West	J:Marc Goldstein T:Sheena West	158	p	7-5245	94	104	87	15d	—	—	+8	12.2	22/1 4%
Looked in need of a favour from the handicapper on his recent handicap debut.
12	Lenebane Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Brian Hughes T:Rebecca Menzies	144	tv	-99224	78	102	52	28d	—	—	+9	14.4	20/1 5%
Well beaten latest but an each-way player if performing to the level she did before that.
NR	Grass's Jet Brown J:TBC T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J: T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	163	p	4574-8	97	101	93	117d	—	—	+9	13	25/1 4%
Beaten a distance when favourite on first start for this yard; drops 2lb; bit to prove.
8	Lord Warburton Chestnut J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Mike Sowersby	J:Aaron Anderson(5) T:Mike Sowersby	151	tv	60-61	85	100	77	25d	—	—	+6	9.8	28/1 3%
Up 6lb for his 33-1 win at Market Rasen (2m2f, good) and now has to back it up; respected.
9	Mademewhatiam Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Mark Walford	149	t	78-00P	83	95	56	58d	—	—	+6	9.1	33/1 3%
Unplaced in seven starts; tongue-tie tried; plenty to prove on his return to this stable.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Queens Venture	2/1	5/2	9/4	9/4	85/40
Fashionelle	6/1	13/2	6/1	13/2	13/2
Just Chasing May	13/2	7/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Court Cian	13/2	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1
Gone In Sixty	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2	15/2
Stuti	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Zuul	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Spitfire Bridge	20/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Lenebane	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1
Grass's Jet	25/1	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Lord Warburton	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Mademewhatiam	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fashionelle

30.1

OR: 13 Form: 13.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

2nd

Queens Venture

20.4

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 8.4

5/2

3rd

Gone In Sixty

18.6

OR: 8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Court Cian

15.3

OR: 12 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Stuti

14.4

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Lenebane

14.4

OR: 7 Form: 6 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Just Chasing May

13.6

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

7/1

Zuul

13.3

OR: 8 Form: 3.4 Odds: 1.9

14/1

Grass's Jet

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Spitfire Bridge

12.2

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Lord Warburton

9.8

OR: 8.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Mademewhatiam

9.1

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fashionelle	102	103	95
Queens Venture	98	104	64
Court Cian	98	97	77
Stuti	97	103	34
Grass's Jet	97	101	93
Spitfire Bridge	94	104	87
Just Chasing May	90	107	63
Lord Warburton	85	100	77
Mademewhatiam	83	95	56
Gone In Sixty	82	104	103
Zuul	82	104	69
Lenebane	78	102	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Queens Venture	8d ago	Quick return
Zuul	8d ago	Quick return
Spitfire Bridge	15d ago	Fit
Lord Warburton	25d ago	Fit
Lenebane	28d ago	Fit
Fashionelle	29d ago	Fit
Gone In Sixty	29d ago	Fit
Court Cian	47d ago	Fresh
Mademewhatiam	58d ago	Fresh
Grass's Jet	117d ago	Long break
Stuti	122d ago	Long break
Just Chasing May	130d ago	Long break