Racing To School Amateur Jockeys' Handicap Chase

Ludlow

13:40

Date 2024-10-24

Distance 2m4f11y

Class Class 5

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,470

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2	Nickelforce Bay J:Mr Charlie Case(5) T:Ben Case	J:Mr Charlie Case(5) T:Ben Case	168	—	134-31	105	118	98	47d	—	—	-6	22.6	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Not overly pressed to win by 5l at Stratford; jumped and travelled well
8	Superbolt Grey J:Mr Charlie Bell(7) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Mr Charlie Bell(7) T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	155	t	488-62	102	-	-	29d	—	—	-1	18.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Second over hurdles on yard debut; not bred for chasing but could still give it a good go
6	Rock On Pedro Bay J:Mr Alex Chadwick T:Eoin Doyle	J:Mr Alex Chadwick T:Eoin Doyle	158	b	889574	95	100	91	19d	—	—	+2	14.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Maiden jumper but wasn't beaten far in a handicap chase at Gowran 19 days ago
NR	Outside Adesa Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:Tim Vaughan	J:NON-RUNNER T:Tim Vaughan	157	—	65946-	94	-	-	193d	—	—	+6	12.9	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Some promise over hurdles off higher marks; runner-up in points and should make a chaser
1	Cawthorne Banker Bay J:Mr Jack Andrews T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Mr Jack Andrews T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	168	p	1-2147	105	105	36	98d	—	—	+17	22.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Hurdle winner; last on chase debut but can be given another chance; unexposed at this trip
4	Magic Dancer Bay J:Mr Zac Baker T:Kerry Lee	J:Mr Zac Baker T:Kerry Lee	163	tp	43363P	100	115	104	53d	—	—	+10	16.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Off new career-low mark but a 12yo now and he holds no secrets
11	She Has Notions Bay J:Mr Freddie Keighley(7) T:Martin Keighley	J:Mr Freddie Keighley(7) T:Martin Keighley	142	v	5P-1P5	79	115	96	16d	—	—	+3	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Profile is very up and down; beaten 11l into fifth the final time at Huntingdon
3	Stumps Or Slips Chestnut J:Mr Paddy Barlow(5) T:Tom Weston	J:Mr Paddy Barlow(5) T:Tom Weston	165	t	U4-238	102	114	87	91d	—	—	+9	14.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Dual chase winner who went close off this mark in May; has a big effort in him
9	Fashion's Model Grey J:Miss Chloe Mills(7) T:Sheila Lewis	J:Miss Chloe Mills(7) T:Sheila Lewis	147	p	P24P1-	84	116	106	199d	—	—	+15	20	4.00/1	16/1 6%
A winner when last seen but may prefer softer ground on today's reappearance
5	Post No Bills Bay J:Mr James King T:Ryan Potter	J:Mr James King T:Ryan Potter	159	—	757228	96	111	97	10d	—	—	+15	18.6	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Twice runner-up at Perth last month but ran no race at Hereford only ten days ago
10	Caro Des Flos Bay J:Miss Jessica Milly Smith(7) T:Julian Smith	J:Miss Jessica Milly Smith(7) T:Julian Smith	145	—	16-855	82	116	87	125d	—	—	+6	8.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hasn't offered much at all in his last four runs and he's getting on now

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Nickelforce	15/8	15/8	7/4	7/4	2/1
Superbolt	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	3/1
Rock On Pedro	5/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1
Outside Adesa	12/1	11/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Cawthorne Banker	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Magic Dancer	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
She Has Notions	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Stumps Or Slips	18/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Fashion's Model	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Post No Bills	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Caro Des Flos	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Nickelforce

22.6

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8.9

2/1

2nd

Cawthorne Banker

22.4

OR: 13.8 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

14/1

3rd

Fashion's Model

OR: 8.5 Form: 10.2 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Superbolt

18.7

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Post No Bills

18.6

OR: 11.5 Form: 6 Odds: 1.1

22/1

Magic Dancer

16.3

OR: 12.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Rock On Pedro

14.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Stumps Or Slips

14.6

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Outside Adesa

12.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

12/1

She Has Notions

8.9

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Caro Des Flos

8.6

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Nickelforce	105	118	98
Cawthorne Banker	105	105	36
Superbolt	102	—	—
Stumps Or Slips	102	114	87
Magic Dancer	100	115	104
Post No Bills	96	111	97
Rock On Pedro	95	100	91
Outside Adesa	94	—	—
Fashion's Model	84	116	106
Caro Des Flos	82	116	87
She Has Notions	79	115	96

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Post No Bills	10d ago	Quick return
She Has Notions	16d ago	Fit
Rock On Pedro	19d ago	Fit
Superbolt	29d ago	Fit
Nickelforce	47d ago	Fresh
Magic Dancer	53d ago	Fresh
Stumps Or Slips	91d ago	Long break
Cawthorne Banker	98d ago	Long break
Caro Des Flos	125d ago	Long break
Outside Adesa	193d ago	Long break
Fashion's Model	199d ago	Long break