Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:00

Best Racing Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2024-10-24

Distance 7f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	How Impressive Chestnut J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Joe Leavy(3) T:Hugo Palmer	140	tv	470321	80	91	80	7d	—	—	+3	30.9	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Exploited drop in weights at Chelmsford last week; 3lb well in under penalty; big chance
3 (6)	Cancan In The Rain Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	133	—	-66622	73	89	67	14d	—	—	0	20.4	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Runner-up the last twice and not handicapped out of things despite a 2lb rise
2 (11)	Finbar's Lad Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	134	—	242382	74	87	-	30d	—	—	+6	17.3	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Yet to win this year but several efforts of note; promise on Tapeta; each-way shout
9 (3)	Shaw Park Bay J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	J:Dale Swift T:Scott Dixon	131	—	314659	71	86	69	3d	—	—	-1	10.6	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Three Brighton wins this summer; 0-16 on AW and only ninth here on Monday (1m)
6 (10)	Assessment Bay J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	J:Hollie Doyle T:Archie Watson	132	h	970020	72	86	60	60d	—	—	+4	10.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Dropped a long way in the weights but not sure he's in the form required to capitalise
8 (8)	Vince Lombardi Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Daniel & Claire Kubler	132	p	728604	72	85	59	10d	—	—	+2	8.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Ran well over 7f at Kempton ten days ago in first-time cheekpieces; each-way shout
10 (9)	Eligible Bay J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Lewis Chalkley(7) T:Michael & David Easterby	131	—	777087	71	94	59	121d	—	—	+1	6.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Four-time course winner; on a dangerous mark and big chance if they go hard early
11 (7)	Prairie Falcon Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Dods	J:Lewis Edmunds T:Michael Dods	130	p	467654	70	88	50	9d	—	—	+1	6.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Front-running fourth at Newcastle last week (1m); others more appealing for win purposes
7 (2)	Roaring Ralph Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Dods	132	b	191565	72	86	62	9d	1W/1P 1 run	1W/1P 1 run	+5	9.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
C&D win in September off 2lb lower; below par the last twice; others look more solid
5 (4)	Carnival Zain Bay J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	J:Aiden Brookes(3) T:Micky Hammond	132	—	-70847	72	86	-	61d	—	—	+3	6.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
On a long losing run and failed to fire when last seen; cheekpieces left off today
4 (12)	Papa Cocktail Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	J:Tom Eaves T:Michael Herrington	133	—	11108-	73	-	-	488d	—	—	+14	16.3	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Conditions to suit and on a fair mark but makes stable debut after a 488-day absence
12 (5)	B Associates Bay J:P J McDonald T:Micky Hammond	J:P J McDonald T:Micky Hammond	129	—	151490	69	84	67	10d	—	—	+7	8.1	31.25/1	125/1 1%
Big prices and well beaten in two runs for new stable this month; hard to recommend

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
How Impressive	2/1	9/4	2/1	15/8	2/1
Cancan In The Rain	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3
Finbar's Lad	13/2	6/1	13/2	7/1	13/2
Shaw Park	6/1	13/2	13/2	6/1	11/2
Assessment	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1
Vince Lombardi	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Eligible	16/1	16/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Prairie Falcon	16/1	14/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Roaring Ralph	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Carnival Zain	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Papa Cocktail	66/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
B Associates	100/1	100/1	100/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

How Impressive

30.9

OR: 7.5 Form: 15 Odds: 8.4

9/4

2nd

Cancan In The Rain

20.4

OR: 5.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Finbar's Lad

17.3

OR: 6 Form: 8 Odds: 3.3

7/1

Papa Cocktail

16.3

OR: 5.8 Form: 10 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Assessment

10.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Shaw Park

10.6

OR: 5.3 Form: 2 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Roaring Ralph

9.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Vince Lombardi

8.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

B Associates

8.1

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.4

125/1

Eligible

6.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Prairie Falcon

6.6

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Carnival Zain

6.3

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
How Impressive	80	91	80
Finbar's Lad	74	87	—
Cancan In The Rain	73	89	67
Papa Cocktail	73	—	—
Assessment	72	86	60
Vince Lombardi	72	85	59
Roaring Ralph	72	86	62
Carnival Zain	72	86	—
Shaw Park	71	86	69
Eligible	71	94	59
Prairie Falcon	70	88	50
B Associates	69	84	67

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Shaw Park	3d ago	Quick return
How Impressive	7d ago	Quick return
Prairie Falcon	9d ago	Quick return
Roaring Ralph	9d ago	Quick return
Vince Lombardi	10d ago	Quick return
B Associates	10d ago	Quick return
Cancan In The Rain	14d ago	Fit
Finbar's Lad	30d ago	Fit
Assessment	60d ago	Fresh
Carnival Zain	61d ago	Fresh
Eligible	121d ago	Long break
Papa Cocktail	488d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Cancan In The Rain	Prominent
Eligible	Hold Up

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 12 runners classified.