Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:15

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2024-10-24

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 12.98s (slow by 1.08s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Musical Touch (IRE) Oisin Orr · Richard Fahey	5/2F	Won
2nd	Honour Your Dreams (FR) Alistair Rawlinson · Michael Appleby	9/2	1.5
3rd	High Velocity (IRE) Brandon Wilkie · David Loughnane	22/1	0.2
4th	Aces Wild (IRE) Finley Marsh · Adrian Wintle	9/2	0.3
5th	Crimson Angel (GB) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	4/1	1
6th	Phoenix Beach (IRE) Joey Haynes · Scott Dixon	10/1	2
7th	Temple Bruer (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	28/1	0.1
8th	Toussarok (GB) Clifford Lee · Tony Carroll	20/1	1.25
9th	Kit Gabriel (IRE) John Fahy · David Loughnane	11/1	1.75
10th	Newyorkstateofmind (GB) Callum Rodriguez · Ruth Carr	22/1	8.5

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Crimson Angel Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	138	—	255435	72	83	74	16d	—	—	-5	12.6	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-12 in handicaps and slow breaks continue to hold her back; has the ability but risky
6 (4)	Musical Touch Bay J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	J:Oisin Orr T:Richard Fahey	136	—	54-334	71	76	-	97d	—	—	-6	9.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-5; has shown ability but modest on handicap debut and off three months since
11 (12)	Phoenix Beach Bay J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	J:Joey Haynes T:Scott Dixon	131	—	633232	65	83	73	3d	—	—	+5	18.9	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Running consistently well here this year (form 133232); has the outside stall though
NR (8)	Muscika Bay J:TBC T:David O'Meara	J: T:David O'Meara	139	v	079226	73	83	-	23d	—	—	+3	15.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Three C&D wins and placed four times off higher marks on the AW at the start of the year
8 (2)	Aces Wild Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	J:Finley Marsh T:Adrian Wintle	133	—	613254	67	84	65	10d	—	—	+2	12.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Won over 6f in Ireland, but best form for this yard over 5f including three wins here
7 (6)	Honour Your Dreams Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Michael Appleby	134	t	583125	68	82	64	3d	—	—	+8	16.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Did well in first two starts for this yard, but only fifth at Pontefract on Monday
1 (9)	Kit Gabriel Bay J:John Fahy T:David Loughnane	J:John Fahy T:David Loughnane	139	p	3-8038	73	79	57	21d	—	—	+3	9.8	4.00/1	16/1 6%
3lb lower than when successful over C&D 13 months ago; each-way claims
10 (11)	Newyorkstateofmind Bay J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ruth Carr	J:Callum Rodriguez T:Ruth Carr	132	—	878184	66	83	70	28d	—	—	+5	10.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Three wins here; not beaten far into fourth at Southwell last time and now 1lb lower
9 (7)	High Velocity Grey J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:David Loughnane	132	b	653526	66	78	58	24d	—	—	+4	10	4.50/1	18/1 5%
C&D winner, but without a success since August 2022; others make greater appeal
12 (10)	Toussarok Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	J:Clifford Lee T:Tony Carroll	126	—	90-009	60	74	-	74d	—	—	-4	5.2	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has badly lost his way; best watched for now
3 (5)	Temple Bruer Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Mike Murphy & Michael Keady	139	tb	810756	73	81	66	15d	—	—	+5	8.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
2lb lower than when winning at Chelmsford in May; out of the frame in all 4 starts since
5 (3)	Lihou Chestnut J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	136	—	263107	70	83	40	33d	—	—	+9	11.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Has gone quiet again since winning at Leicester in August; others more compelling

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Crimson Angel	9/2	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1
Musical Touch	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Phoenix Beach	6/1	13/2	11/2	6/1	11/2
Muscika	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2	13/2
Aces Wild	15/2	8/1	15/2	8/1	15/2
Honour Your Dreams	9/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Kit Gabriel	14/1	16/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Newyorkstateofmind	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	14/1
High Velocity	14/1	18/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Toussarok	15/2	10/1	8/1	17/2	8/1
Temple Bruer	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	20/1
Lihou	33/1	25/1	33/1	33/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Phoenix Beach

18.9

OR: 3.8 Form: 11.1 Odds: 4

13/2

2nd

Honour Your Dreams

16.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 9.4 Odds: 2.4

10/1

3rd

Muscika

15.1

OR: 5.8 Form: 6 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Crimson Angel

12.6

OR: 5.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5

9/2

Aces Wild

12.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.4 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Lihou

11.8

OR: 5 Form: 5.9 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Newyorkstateofmind

10.6

OR: 4 Form: 5 Odds: 1.6

18/1

High Velocity

OR: 4 Form: 4.4 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Kit Gabriel

9.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

16/1

Musical Touch

9.7

OR: 5.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Temple Bruer

8.7

OR: 5.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1

28/1

Toussarok

5.2

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Muscika	73	83	—
Kit Gabriel	73	79	57
Temple Bruer	73	81	66
Crimson Angel	72	83	74
Musical Touch	71	76	—
Lihou	70	83	40
Honour Your Dreams	68	82	64
Aces Wild	67	84	65
Newyorkstateofmind	66	83	70
High Velocity	66	78	58
Phoenix Beach	65	83	73
Toussarok	60	74	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Phoenix Beach	3d ago	Quick return
Honour Your Dreams	3d ago	Quick return
Aces Wild	10d ago	Quick return
Temple Bruer	15d ago	Fit
Crimson Angel	16d ago	Fit
Kit Gabriel	21d ago	Fit
Muscika	23d ago	Fit
High Velocity	24d ago	Fit
Newyorkstateofmind	28d ago	Fit
Lihou	33d ago	Fit
Toussarok	74d ago	Fresh
Musical Touch	97d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.