Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap – Chelmsford (AW)

Chelmsford (AW)

17:25

Betfair Racing Podcasts Handicap

Date 2024-10-26

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,664

Winning Time 1m 12.50s (slow by 2.50s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Bluebells Boy (GB) Luke Morris · Darryll Holland	100/30	Won
2nd	Melisende (GB) George Wood · Amy Murphy	22/1	2
3rd	Mokaatil (GB) Ryan Kavanagh · Ian Williams	11/2	.5
4th	Tilsworth Ony Ta (GB) Connor Planas · J R Jenkins	28/1	0.3
5th	Betties Bay (GB) Joshua Bryan · Georgina Nicholls	3/1F	0.3
6th	Lewis Barnes (GB) Brandon Wilkie · Stuart Williams	9/1	0.2
7th	Shamardia (GB) Paddy Bradley · Ismail Mohammed	7/1	0.2
8th	Almodovar Del Rio (IRE) Jimmy Quinn · Marco Botti	10/1	1.5
9th	Nazalan (IRE) Ben Sanderson · S Woods	9/1	.75
10th	Grand Style (FR) Darragh Keenan · Michael Wigham	66/1	4.25

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (11)	Prince Of Bel Lir Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	138	p	265302	62	71	53	7d	—	—	-3	14.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Went close at Wolverhampton last week; 3lb rise still leaves him on fair mark; drawn wide
10 (6)	Lewis Barnes Chestnut J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Stuart Williams	J:Brandon Wilkie(3) T:Stuart Williams	131	tb	434251	55	71	56	24d	—	—	+2	19.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
15th time lucky when scrambling home at Kempton this month; can give another good account
1 (8)	Bluebells Boy Bay J:Luke Morris T:Darryll Holland	J:Luke Morris T:Darryll Holland	144	tb	541131	68	69	60	5d	—	—	-3	37.8	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won 3 of his last 4, the latest on Monday (5f, Tapeta); respected despite his penalty
7 (2)	Shamardia Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Ismail Mohammed	J:Paddy Bradley T:Ismail Mohammed	136	—	651210	61	75	53	19d	—	—	+8	17.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Flopped last time but with mitigating factors; progressing well beforehand; big chance
3 (12)	Mokaatil Brown J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:Ian Williams	138	—	113336	62	73	66	12d	—	—	+5	11.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Three Chepstow wins this summer and a good 3rd over C&D this month; below par latest
8 (5)	Almodovar Del Rio Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Marco Botti	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Marco Botti	136	p	46-258	60	72	52	233d	—	—	-3	4.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Poor strike-rate but on fair mark & has gone well after a break in the past; better at 7f?
5 (3)	Nazalan Chestnut J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	J:Ben Sanderson(3) T:S Woods	138	tb	576569	63	73	39	23d	—	—	-2	5.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Modest form over a variety of trips this year; new accessories added but plenty to prove
11 (9)	Tilsworth Ony Ta Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:J R Jenkins	J:Connor Planas(3) T:J R Jenkins	130	—	714445	54	73	-	12d	—	—	-2	4.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Conditions to suit; not at best the last twice but no surprise to see a full revival
12 (7)	Grand Style Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	122	—	094988	46	66	-	22d	—	—	-2	0.9	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Unplaced all 17 starts; makes stable debut with too much to prove for comfort
6 (4)	Melisende Bay J:George Wood T:Amy Murphy	J:George Wood T:Amy Murphy	137	tp	578180	62	74	50	10d	—	—	+5	9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Beat Shamardia at Lingfield last month but she's retreated into her shell again since
2 (1)	Betties Bay Bay J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	J:Joshua Bryan T:Georgina Nicholls	139	tp	759060	64	65	62	46d	—	—	-9	8.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Had a quiet summer but she's tumbled down the weights as a result; drops in class
NR (10)	Alafdhal Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:Phil McEntee	J:NON-RUNNER T:Phil McEntee	136	—	852229	60	-	-	19d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Conditions to suit and he's on a handy mark; likely to bounce back from latest quiet run

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Prince Of Bel Lir	9/2	4/1	4/1
Lewis Barnes	9/2	4/1	7/2
Bluebells Boy	7/2	7/2	7/2
Shamardia	8/1	15/2	15/2
Mokaatil	16/1	16/1	14/1
Almodovar Del Rio	10/1	10/1	9/1
Nazalan	20/1	12/1	11/1
Tilsworth Ony Ta	16/1	16/1	14/1
Grand Style	40/1	28/1	28/1
Melisende	25/1	22/1	22/1
Betties Bay	4/1	9/2	4/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Bluebells Boy

37.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 20.1 Odds: 13.2

7/2

2nd

Lewis Barnes

19.4

OR: 1.3 Form: 13.1 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Shamardia

17.9

OR: 2.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Prince Of Bel Lir

14.5

OR: 3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Mokaatil

11.2

OR: 3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Alafdhal

OR: 2.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 0

—

Melisende

OR: 3 Form: 5 Odds: 1

25/1

Betties Bay

8.5

OR: 3.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Nazalan

5.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

20/1

Almodovar Del Rio

4.7

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

10/1

Tilsworth Ony Ta

4.7

OR: 1 Form: 2 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Grand Style

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Bluebells Boy	68	69	60
Betties Bay	64	65	62
Nazalan	63	73	39
Prince Of Bel Lir	62	71	53
Mokaatil	62	73	66
Melisende	62	74	50
Shamardia	61	75	53
Almodovar Del Rio	60	72	52
Alafdhal	60	—	—
Lewis Barnes	55	71	56
Tilsworth Ony Ta	54	73	—
Grand Style	46	66	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bluebells Boy	5d ago	Quick return
Prince Of Bel Lir	7d ago	Quick return
Melisende	10d ago	Quick return
Mokaatil	12d ago	Quick return
Tilsworth Ony Ta	12d ago	Quick return
Shamardia	19d ago	Fit
Alafdhal	19d ago	Fit
Grand Style	22d ago	Fit
Nazalan	23d ago	Fit
Lewis Barnes	24d ago	Fit
Betties Bay	46d ago	Fresh
Almodovar Del Rio	233d ago	Long break