Connolly's RED MILLS Irish EBF Auction Maiden Hurdle

Galway

14:28

Date 2024-10-26

Distance 2m90y

Class

Going Yielding To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €11,800

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Kish Bank Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	162	—	11-	-	-	-	319d	—	—	-3	25.7	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Imposing 5yo who should have a bright future and will appreciate the forecast rain
4	Arctic Gale Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:Emmet Mullins	J:Donagh Meyler T:Emmet Mullins	162	p	-42224	113	121	103	13d	—	—	+11	28.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Drop back to 2m here not guaranteed to suit and this could well be a stronger race
12	Mi Lucky Cailin Bay J:Jody McGarvey T:William J McLernon	J:Jody McGarvey T:William J McLernon	153	—	2227-2	109	127	105	164d	—	—	+11	23.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Has the ability to win an ordinary maiden hurdle but may find a couple too good here
7	Custom Taylor Chestnut J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Declan Queally	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:Declan Queally	160	—	42-1	-	-	-	162d	—	—	+3	12.8	2.13/1	17/2 11%
This trip is probably short enough for him on his hurdles debut but is one with a future
5	Downmexicoway Chestnut J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	162	—	19/	-	-	-	550d	—	—	-7	13.1	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Betting will guide on hurdling bow on first start for Henry de Bromhead but interesting
11	Scotcantou Bay J:Calum Hogan(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:Calum Hogan(7) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	157	—	593	-	118	95	38d	—	—	0	4.3	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Did okay despite some ropey jumping in a Tramore maiden hurdle latest; one for handicaps
NR	Stuntman Steve Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	160	—	PF-PP1	-	-	-	—	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	2.2	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won his sole completed point-to-point back in May; debuts for Gavin Cromwell here
13	True Light Brown J:Danny Gilligan T:Mrs Grainne M O'Connor	J:Danny Gilligan T:Mrs Grainne M O'Connor	153	t	0/0555	95	105	38	13d	—	—	+8	12.3	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Maiden hurdle form for her current trainer leaves her with plenty to find
3	Jeel Des Mottes Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:M J Tynan	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:M J Tynan	164	—	6-	-	-	-	175d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Others more likely but certainly worth watching on his hurdles debut
1	Danny By Boy Bay J:Liam McKenna(5) T:Declan Queally	J:Liam McKenna(5) T:Declan Queally	165	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Bred to stay well and one for the future; stable second string here on debut
NR	Vroomvroomboo Chestnut J:NON-RUNNER T:James Andrew Fahey	J:NON-RUNNER T:James Andrew Fahey	153	t	P-4903	-	99	54	16d	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Remote third in a 2m4f Tramore mares maiden hurdle earlier this month; much more needed
2	Famous Sonnet Bay J:Ethan O'Sullivan(7) T:Ms M Flynn	J:Ethan O'Sullivan(7) T:Ms M Flynn	164	—	8-	-	-	-	209d	—	—	-4	1.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Tailed off in a bumper for Charles Byrnes at Cork in March; hard to fancy on that evidence
9	Ballinoe Blaze Bay J:G B Noonan(5) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	J:G B Noonan(5) T:Eoin Christopher McCarthy	159	—	8	-	66	-	167d	—	—	-4	1.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Made no impact on his hurdles debut at Killarney in May, much more needed here
10	Stily Bay J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Michael J McDonagh	J:Cian Quirke(5) T:Michael J McDonagh	159	—	P-0	-	65	10	47d	—	—	-4	1.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Jumped poorly and well beaten on his hurdles debut here last month; makes no appeal

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kish Bank	2/1	9/4	2/1	2/1	2/1
Arctic Gale	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Mi Lucky Cailin	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Custom Taylor	8/1	17/2	8/1	8/1	8/1
Downmexicoway	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1	4/1
Scotcantou	20/1	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Stuntman Steve	11/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
True Light	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Jeel Des Mottes	25/1	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Danny By Boy	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Vroomvroomboo	33/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Famous Sonnet	100/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
Ballinoe Blaze	100/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1
Stily	100/1	80/1	100/1	80/1	80/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Arctic Gale

28.3

OR: 15.8 Form: 7.5 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Kish Bank

25.7

OR: 0 Form: 17 Odds: 8.7

9/4

3rd

Mi Lucky Cailin

23.4

OR: 14.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Downmexicoway

13.1

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 6.1

4/1

Custom Taylor

12.8

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 2.8

17/2

True Light

12.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Scotcantou

4.3

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.3

20/1

Stuntman Steve

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Danny By Boy

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

33/1

Famous Sonnet

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

100/1

Ballinoe Blaze

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

100/1

Stily

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

100/1

Jeel Des Mottes

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Vroomvroomboo

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Arctic Gale	113	121	103
Mi Lucky Cailin	109	127	105
True Light	95	105	38
Kish Bank	—	—	—
Custom Taylor	—	—	—
Downmexicoway	—	—	—
Scotcantou	—	118	95
Stuntman Steve	—	—	—
Jeel Des Mottes	—	—	—
Danny By Boy	—	—	—
Vroomvroomboo	—	99	54
Famous Sonnet	—	—	—
Ballinoe Blaze	—	66	—
Stily	—	65	10

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Arctic Gale	13d ago	Quick return
True Light	13d ago	Quick return
Vroomvroomboo	16d ago	Fit
Scotcantou	38d ago	Fit
Stily	47d ago	Fresh
Custom Taylor	162d ago	Long break
Mi Lucky Cailin	164d ago	Long break
Ballinoe Blaze	167d ago	Long break
Jeel Des Mottes	175d ago	Long break
Famous Sonnet	209d ago	Long break
Kish Bank	319d ago	Long break
Downmexicoway	550d ago	Long break
Stuntman Steve	—	—
Danny By Boy	—	—