William Hill Top Price Guarantee Novices' Limited Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

Cheltenham

13:10

Date 2024-10-26

Distance 2m4f44y

Class Class 3

Going Good

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £10,562

Runners (13)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8	Lord Of Thunder Brown J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	156	—	/P211-	129	-	-	294d	—	—	+29	42.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Won last two novice hurdles comfortably; chase debut and could be on a good mark
10	Marv Michael Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Henry De Bromhead	155	tp	8-4211	128	137	121	50d	—	—	+10	23.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Impressed from the front on chase debut and this mark might be okay; respected
2	Guard Your Dreams Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	163	—	5400-1	136	140	103	23d	—	—	+24	34.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Smart hurdler; back on track with successful chase debut and can improve again
9	Weveallbeencaught Bay J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	J:Jack Tudor T:Christian Williams	155	p	2660-3	128	147	124	29d	—	—	+16	25.2	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Dropping back to 2m4f might not suit one who gallops rather than quickens; cheekpieces now
11	Bob Bob Ricard Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	151	p	6-1125	124	143	124	29d	—	—	+10	21.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Hurdling the last twice and had previously gone 2-2 over fences; fitness assured
1	Will Carver Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	164	t	1PP-13	137	148	95	118d	—	—	+16	24.1	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Won chase debut; late mistake cost him last time and he's in here off an untouched mark
7	Dutch Schultz Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	156	—	2-2117	129	143	117	30d	—	—	+17	25.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Might be a better horse over shorter but has a lot going for him otherwise
4	Riskintheground Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	160	t	111513	133	141	130	36d	—	—	+30	38	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Prolific already this season; handicapper closing in but this 7yo can give his running
12	Bashers Reflection Chestnut J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	J:Harry Bannister T:Ben Case	150	t	17289-	123	-	-	192d	—	—	+19	24.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Capable of dealing with this mark if he can deliver a trouble-free round on chase debut
NR	Doughmore Bay Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	J:Tom Bellamy T:Emma Lavelle	159	—	27227-	132	-	-	189d	—	—	+23	29.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Unlucky not to win more over hurdles; bred for chasing and should be involved
3	Lisnamult Lad Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	J:Sean Bowen T:Ian Patrick Donoghue	161	tp	-22844	134	129	113	77d	—	—	+21	24.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Irish raider; fair mark on hurdling form but yet to be quite so good over fences
NR	Jazzy Matty Chestnut J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	160	—	F13P12	133	129	74	1d	—	—	+32	35.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Two chase wins and he ran very well, beaten a head, in a novice chase here on Friday
13	Andys Flame Grey J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:John C McConnell	J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:John C McConnell	145	t	35-842	118	130	115	15d	—	—	+15	17.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hadn't been in the best of form until finishing a 7l second on chase debut at Downpatrick

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lord Of Thunder	5/1	11/2	11/2	11/2	5/1
Marv Michael	6/1	6/1	5/1	6/1	5/1
Guard Your Dreams	6/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1
Weveallbeencaught	8/1	17/2	7/1	17/2	8/1
Bob Bob Ricard	8/1	8/1	6/1	13/2	13/2
Will Carver	9/1	9/1	8/1	9/1	17/2
Dutch Schultz	9/1	9/1	8/1	9/1	8/1
Riskintheground	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1	9/1
Bashers Reflection	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Doughmore Bay	16/1	16/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Lisnamult Lad	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Jazzy Matty	25/1	28/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Andys Flame	25/1	33/1	28/1	33/1	28/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Lord Of Thunder

42.8

OR: 19.8 Form: 19.1 Odds: 4

11/2

2nd

Riskintheground

OR: 20.8 Form: 15 Odds: 2.2

10/1

3rd

Jazzy Matty

35.9

OR: 20.8 Form: 14.2 Odds: 1

28/1

Guard Your Dreams

34.6

OR: 21.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Doughmore Bay

29.1

OR: 20.5 Form: 7 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Dutch Schultz

25.6

OR: 19.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Weveallbeencaught

25.2

OR: 19.5 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Lisnamult Lad

24.5

OR: 21 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1

25/1

Bashers Reflection

24.4

OR: 18.3 Form: 4.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Will Carver

24.1

OR: 21.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Marv Michael

23.1

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Bob Bob Ricard

21.8

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Andys Flame

17.8

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Will Carver	137	148	95
Guard Your Dreams	136	140	103
Lisnamult Lad	134	129	113
Riskintheground	133	141	130
Jazzy Matty	133	129	74
Doughmore Bay	132	—	—
Lord Of Thunder	129	—	—
Dutch Schultz	129	143	117
Marv Michael	128	137	121
Weveallbeencaught	128	147	124
Bob Bob Ricard	124	143	124
Bashers Reflection	123	—	—
Andys Flame	118	130	115

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Jazzy Matty	1d ago	Quick return
Andys Flame	15d ago	Fit
Guard Your Dreams	23d ago	Fit
Weveallbeencaught	29d ago	Fit
Bob Bob Ricard	29d ago	Fit
Dutch Schultz	30d ago	Fit
Riskintheground	36d ago	Fit
Marv Michael	50d ago	Fresh
Lisnamult Lad	77d ago	Fresh
Will Carver	118d ago	Long break
Doughmore Bay	189d ago	Long break
Bashers Reflection	192d ago	Long break
Lord Of Thunder	294d ago	Long break