£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:45

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-10-28

Distance 6f

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £2,983

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Havana Sky Brown J:Clifford Lee T:Ed Dunlop	J:Clifford Lee T:Ed Dunlop	133	v	899143	50	67	56	38d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-6	13.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has form figures of 143 since dropped to sprinting; now wears new headgear
8 (4)	Tomorrow Day Bay J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Mark Usher	J:Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) T:Mark Usher	131	tv	453313	48	64	45	11d	—	—	0	17.6	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Record of 3313 since wearing a visor, the win over C&D; respected back here
6 (6)	Oriental Prince Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Jim Goldie	133	—	6755	50	59	43	150d	—	—	-12	4.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Four-race maiden; bred to do better still; may improve on return from layoff
5 (3)	Arc Tesoro Bay J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ivan Furtado	J:Silvestre De Sousa T:Ivan Furtado	133	t	608	50	53	30	32d	—	—	-8	3.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Gives the impression he may improve for this drop in trip on handicap debut
11 (8)	Ishe Worth Agamble Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	130	t	576985	47	59	-	26d	—	—	-7	2.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Chance depends on how well she responds to new surface
3 (5)	Badosa Bay J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	J:David Nolan T:Patrick Morris	135	—	670008	52	65	37	21d	—	—	-5	2.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Revival would put her in the picture; C&D winner off 4lb higher in March
2 (12)	Pasea Grande Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Hilal Kobeissi	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Hilal Kobeissi	135	p	809	52	52	38	103d	—	—	-4	2.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Poor claims on form but may do better now switched to handicap level
10 (9)	Stoneacre Girl Bay J:Oliver Stammers T:Jessica Macey	J:Oliver Stammers T:Jessica Macey	130	—	-69258	47	65	47	20d	—	—	-2	4.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Exposed over shorter; possibilities off this mark provided she's aided by 6f
7 (11)	Yiengaa Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	J:Rowan Scott T:Nigel Tinkler	132	—	217806	49	46	35	27d	—	—	0	2.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Return to 6f may help; gained sole win at this distance, albeit on turf
1 (1)	Toosha Bay J:Oisin Orr T:John Butler	J:Oisin Orr T:John Butler	135	—	97-567	52	59	34	74d	—	—	-2	1.3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Needs a market check on second start since rejoining John Butler
9 (10)	Thunderstorm Katie Bay J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	J:Amie Waugh(3) T:Jim Goldie	131	—	04749	48	55	33	59d	—	—	-1	0.5	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Check the betting on debut for new trainer, who also runs Oriental Prince
12 (7)	Hyrcanian Bay J:Harry Russell T:Ron Barr	J:Harry Russell T:Ron Barr	129	p	346098	46	66	16	34d	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Has achieved little for current stable

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Havana Sky	10/3	7/2	10/3	3/1	10/3
Tomorrow Day	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3
Oriental Prince	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
Arc Tesoro	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	6/1
Ishe Worth Agamble	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	13/2
Badosa	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Pasea Grande	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Stoneacre Girl	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	11/1
Yiengaa	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	22/1
Toosha	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Thunderstorm Katie	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Hyrcanian	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Tomorrow Day

17.6

OR: 0 Form: 12.4 Odds: 5.2

7/2

2nd

Havana Sky

13.7

OR: 0 Form: 8 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Oriental Prince

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Stoneacre Girl

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Arc Tesoro

3.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

15/2

Ishe Worth Agamble

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

Yiengaa

2.9

OR: 0 Form: 2 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Badosa

2.6

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Pasea Grande

2.2

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Toosha

1.3

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Thunderstorm Katie

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

40/1

Hyrcanian

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Badosa	52	65	37
Pasea Grande	52	52	38
Toosha	52	59	34
Havana Sky	50	67	56
Oriental Prince	50	59	43
Arc Tesoro	50	53	30
Yiengaa	49	46	35
Tomorrow Day	48	64	45
Thunderstorm Katie	48	55	33
Ishe Worth Agamble	47	59	—
Stoneacre Girl	47	65	47
Hyrcanian	46	66	16

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tomorrow Day	11d ago	Quick return
Stoneacre Girl	20d ago	Fit
Badosa	21d ago	Fit
Ishe Worth Agamble	26d ago	Fit
Yiengaa	27d ago	Fit
Arc Tesoro	32d ago	Fit
Hyrcanian	34d ago	Fit
Havana Sky	38d ago	Fit
Thunderstorm Katie	59d ago	Fresh
Toosha	74d ago	Fresh
Pasea Grande	103d ago	Long break
Oriental Prince	150d ago	Long break