Colourfence Newport Long Life Garden Railings Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div I)

Chepstow

13:00

Date 2024-10-29

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners (14)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
11	The New Lion Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	158	—	1-	-	-	-	202d	—	—	-22	26.7	4/5 56%
Quickened clear to make winning bumper debut in April; a good prospect for novice hurdles
2	Belliano Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	158	—	1-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-10	18.9	2/1 33%
Bought for £255,000 after winning easily on Irish point debut; could be anything
6	Kayf Dancer Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	158	—	3/5-	-	112	102	332d	—	—	-9	6.8	7/1 13%
Respectable fifth in strong Newbury novice hurdle last November; considered each-way
12	Tamarind Bay Bay J:Gavin Sheehan T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Peter & Michael Bowen	156	—	27-3	-	-	-	16d	—	—	-2	4.7	20/1 5%
Made the frame in two of his three bumpers but improvement is needed on this hurdle debut
10	Sea Warrior b/br J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	158	—	4	-	104	59	162d	—	—	-3	1	50/1 2%
Made quite promising debut in the spring but needs to take a good step forward here
7	Law Of The Sea Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Ian Williams	J:Robert Dunne T:Ian Williams	158	—	7	-	97	87	23d	—	—	-2	0.6	80/1 1%
Regressive on the Flat this year and made low-key hurdle debut this month
8	Prophesea Bay J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	J:Bryan Carver T:Chris Down	158	—	2111-5	-	-	-	165d	—	—	-2	0.8	66/1 1%
Bumper and dual point winner in spring; has a future over hurdles but this is a tough task
1	Ballyvango Bay J:Daire McConville(7) T:Martin Keighley	J:Daire McConville(7) T:Martin Keighley	158	—	5/73-	-	-	-	327d	—	—	-1	0.5	80/1 1%
Looked quite promising in bumpers last year; makes hurdling debut after 11-month absence
3	D'Jo Dela Barriere Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	158	—	F2F5-4	-	107	59	173d	—	—	-2	0.6	50/1 2%
Showed significant ability under various codes in Ireland but probably best watched here
4	Dish Of The Day Brown J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Martin	J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Martin	158	—	6/5P-F	-	110	80	25d	—	—	-1	0.4	100/1 1%
Ran well to a point on hurdle debut but two non-completions have followed
5	Jumble Jury Grey J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	158	—	3/145-	-	-	-	211d	—	—	+1	2.3	200/1 0%
Shaped well when fourth in course bumper in February; well beaten in second bumper
9	Sea Shed Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Lorcan Williams T:John & Rhys Flint	158	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	125/1 1%
Half-brother to three fair hurdlers; seems unlikey to meet the standard required on debut
13	Orinoco Flow Bay J:David Noonan T:David Pipe	J:David Noonan T:David Pipe	151	h	FP5/5-	-	-	-	544d	—	—	-1	0.4	300/1 0%
Absent since mildly encourging bumper debut for Gordon Elliott in spring 2023
14	Formel Park Bay J:Conor Ring T:Evan Williams	J:Conor Ring T:Evan Williams	149	—	0-3U7	-	81	44	15d	—	—	-1	0.2	500/1 0%
Has cut little ice on her two hurdling starts this month

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
The New Lion	8/11	4/5	4/5	8/11	4/5
Belliano	7/4	2/1	2/1	15/8	15/8
Kayf Dancer	7/1	11/2	7/1	7/1	6/1
Tamarind Bay	18/1	16/1	18/1	20/1	16/1
Sea Warrior	50/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Law Of The Sea	80/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Prophesea	66/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Ballyvango	80/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
D'Jo Dela Barriere	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Dish Of The Day	100/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Jumble Jury	200/1	100/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Sea Shed	66/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1
Orinoco Flow	300/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Formel Park	500/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

The New Lion

26.7

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 16.7

4/5

2nd

Belliano

18.9

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.9

2/1

3rd

Kayf Dancer

6.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 4.7

7/1

Tamarind Bay

4.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

20/1

Jumble Jury

2.3

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Sea Warrior

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

50/1

Prophesea

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

66/1

Law Of The Sea

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

80/1

D'Jo Dela Barriere

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Ballyvango

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Dish Of The Day

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Orinoco Flow

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

300/1

Sea Shed

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

125/1

Formel Park

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

500/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
The New Lion	—	—	—
Belliano	—	—	—
Kayf Dancer	—	112	102
Tamarind Bay	—	—	—
Sea Warrior	—	104	59
Law Of The Sea	—	97	87
Prophesea	—	—	—
Ballyvango	—	—	—
D'Jo Dela Barriere	—	107	59
Dish Of The Day	—	110	80
Jumble Jury	—	—	—
Sea Shed	—	—	—
Orinoco Flow	—	—	—
Formel Park	—	81	44

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Formel Park	15d ago	Fit
Tamarind Bay	16d ago	Fit
Law Of The Sea	23d ago	Fit
Dish Of The Day	25d ago	Fit
Sea Warrior	162d ago	Long break
Prophesea	165d ago	Long break
D'Jo Dela Barriere	173d ago	Long break
The New Lion	202d ago	Long break
Jumble Jury	211d ago	Long break
Ballyvango	327d ago	Long break
Kayf Dancer	332d ago	Long break
Orinoco Flow	544d ago	Long break
Belliano	—	—
Sea Shed	—	—