Colourfence Newport Long Life Garden Railings Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div II)

Chepstow

13:30

Date 2024-10-29

Distance 2m3f100y

Class Class 4

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Juventus De Brion Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	158	—	33-F	120	132	120	18d	—	—	-13	32.5	0.23/1	10/11 52%
Placed in strong Ascot novice in February and a leading contender here
6	Quebecois Chestnut J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	158	—	2/10-	-	-	-	230d	—	—	-23	16	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Easy winner of Exeter bumper last December and a good prospect for novice hurdles
5	Murphy's Milan Bay J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	J:Micheal Nolan T:Philip Hobbs & Johnson White	158	—	3-	-	-	-	193d	—	—	-4	5.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Third on bumper debut at Exeter in April; likely to be suited by this stiffer stamina test
4	Maximum Effort Brown J:James Davies T:Noel Williams	J:James Davies T:Noel Williams	158	—	0453P-	105	114	108	218d	—	—	+9	16.5	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Flopped on handicap debut in March but earlier C&D third gives him each-way claims
7	Outer Banks Bay J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	J:Ciaran Gethings T:Stuart Edmunds	156	—	34-8	-	96	86	23d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Showed only minor promise when midfield in run-of-the-mill maiden hurdle last month
13	Lyle View Brown J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	J:Richie McLernon T:Neil Mulholland	149	—	PP2-4	-	103	40	23d	—	1W/1P 1 run	-4	1.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Made only a mildly encouraging hurdle debut when well-held fourth at Kelso this month
8	Tom Taggle Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	J:Adam Wedge T:Evan Williams	156	—	0-	-	-	-	220d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Travelled well to a point when midfield in valuable Newbury bumper in March
11	Hot Goddess Bay J:Daire McConville(7) T:Martin Keighley	J:Daire McConville(7) T:Martin Keighley	149	—	73-5	-	-	-	168d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Not beaten far in any of her three bumpers but would be a surprise winner here
12	Ironed Out Bay J:Conor Ring T:Evan Williams	J:Conor Ring T:Evan Williams	149	—	40	-	68	30	10d	—	—	-1	0.5	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Struggled (albeit on heavy ground) when a big-priced outsider for recent hurdle debut
14	Scarlet Chestnut J:Gavin Sheehan T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Peter & Michael Bowen	149	h	7	-	61	-	8d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Poor Flat maiden who struggled when 100-1 for recent hurdle debut
1	Captains Road Bay J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	J:Lilly Pinchin T:Charlie Longsdon	158	—	01/PP-	-	-	-	188d	—	—	-2	0.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Point winner in 2022 but returned from long layoff with two poor hurdle runs this year
2	Catch Catchfire Bay J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	J:Charlie Todd T:Ian Williams	158	—	05-	-	98	87	198d	—	—	-3	0.9	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Ran well to a point at Hereford in April but low-grade handicaps beckon
9	Banny Hill Lass Bay J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	J:Jack Quinlan T:Neil King	149	—	959-	-	-	-	187d	—	—	-6	2.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Didn't show enough in three bumpers towards end of last season to warrant consideration
NR	Diamond Dusty Grey J:NON-RUNNER T:Linda Blackford	J:NON-RUNNER T:Linda Blackford	149	—	8-8P	-	-	-	39d	—	—	—	0	—	—
Pulled-up 200-1 shot in much weaker race than this on last month's hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Juventus De Brion	10/11	10/11	5/6
Quebecois	11/8	5/4	5/4
Murphy's Milan	9/1	17/2	8/1
Maximum Effort	25/1	16/1	14/1
Outer Banks	25/1	25/1	25/1
Lyle View	25/1	16/1	14/1
Tom Taggle	33/1	33/1	28/1
Hot Goddess	33/1	33/1	28/1
Ironed Out	100/1	50/1	40/1
Scarlet	80/1	66/1	50/1
Captains Road	100/1	100/1	80/1
Catch Catchfire	50/1	66/1	50/1
Banny Hill Lass	150/1	150/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Juventus De Brion

32.5

OR: 17.5 Form: 0 Odds: 15

10/11

2nd

Maximum Effort

16.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 2.1

25/1

3rd

Quebecois

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 12.5

11/8

Murphy's Milan

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Banny Hill Lass

2.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

150/1

Lyle View

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Outer Banks

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Catch Catchfire

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

66/1

Captains Road

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

100/1

Tom Taggle

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Hot Goddess

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Ironed Out

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

100/1

Scarlet

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Diamond Dusty

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Juventus De Brion	120	132	120
Maximum Effort	105	114	108
Quebecois	—	—	—
Murphy's Milan	—	—	—
Outer Banks	—	96	86
Lyle View	—	103	40
Tom Taggle	—	—	—
Hot Goddess	—	—	—
Ironed Out	—	68	30
Scarlet	—	61	—
Captains Road	—	—	—
Catch Catchfire	—	98	87
Banny Hill Lass	—	—	—
Diamond Dusty	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Scarlet	8d ago	Quick return
Ironed Out	10d ago	Quick return
Juventus De Brion	18d ago	Fit
Outer Banks	23d ago	Fit
Lyle View	23d ago	Fit
Diamond Dusty	39d ago	Fit
Hot Goddess	168d ago	Long break
Banny Hill Lass	187d ago	Long break
Captains Road	188d ago	Long break
Murphy's Milan	193d ago	Long break
Catch Catchfire	198d ago	Long break
Maximum Effort	218d ago	Long break
Tom Taggle	220d ago	Long break
Quebecois	230d ago	Long break

Pace Profile

Horse	Running Style
Outer Banks	Mid-Pack
Tom Taggle	Mid-Pack

Inferred from horse comments. 2 of 14 runners classified.