Irish Stallion Farms EBF 'Bosra Sham' Fillies' Stakes (Listed Race)

Newmarket

13:43

Date 2024-11-01

Distance 6f

Class Class 1

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 2yo

Prize £22,684

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (1)	It Ain't Two Bay J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	J:Harry Davies T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	261862	93	106	97	20d	—	—	+3	25.4	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Exposed but ran right up to her best when second in a 6f Listed race on soft at York
3 (11)	Kodilicious Bay J:Saffie Osborne T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Saffie Osborne T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	0125	-	109	95	20d	—	—	-5	14.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Has no form in Pattern races but she's going the right way and has form claims
6 (7)	Magic Mild Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	128	—	30113	95	105	97	49d	—	—	+12	33	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Improving filly with strong form claims and drying conditions are welcomed
5 (5)	Magic Basma Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Kevin Ryan	J:Robert Havlin T:Kevin Ryan	128	—	12	85	95	52	45d	—	—	+15	23.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Made a bright start and the potential is there to hold her own on this rise in class
11 (8)	Spherical Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	128	—	10521	85	95	78	21d	—	—	+19	26.4	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Has earned a crack at something like this but others have stronger credentials
9 (2)	Running Queen Bay J:David Egan T:Ollie Sangster	J:David Egan T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	413	86	97	81	168d	—	—	+14	20.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
It was a strong Listed race in which she ran third in May and could improve for 6f
1 (6)	Cold Hearted Bay J:Jamie Spencer T:Mrs John Harrington	J:Jamie Spencer T:Mrs John Harrington	128	—	3872	-	86	80	19d	—	—	+2	7.3	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Best run yet when second at Naas but that was her fourth defeat at maiden level
8 (4)	Pearl Of Windsor Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	J:Darragh Keenan T:Conrad Allen	128	—	441168	85	99	78	20d	—	—	+14	18	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Struggled when tackling stronger company and it's likely to be a similar tale here
10 (10)	Sea Emily Run Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Clover	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Tom Clover	128	—	461	78	90	80	70d	—	—	+14	18.2	5.50/1	22/1 4%
This is a stiff rise in class from winning a 6f novice at Goodwood in August
4 (9)	Lady Luzon Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	128	—	212120	79	93	78	42d	—	—	+17	20	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Consistent filly but Ayr last time seemingly confirmed that she's not up to this level
NR (3)	Nardra Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	J:NON-RUNNER T:William Haggas	128	—	1	-	-	-	35d	—	—	—	10	—	—
Won a weak race at Haydock but did so very easily; non-runner.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
It Ain't Two	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	3/1
Kodilicious	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3	7/2
Magic Mild	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	11/4
Magic Basma	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	11/1
Spherical	11/1	9/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Running Queen	12/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Cold Hearted	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	14/1
Pearl Of Windsor	16/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Sea Emily Run	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1	16/1
Lady Luzon	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	28/1
Nardra	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Magic Mild

OR: 11.3 Form: 15.6 Odds: 6.2

10/3

2nd

Spherical

26.4

OR: 8.8 Form: 15.5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

3rd

It Ain't Two

25.4

OR: 10.8 Form: 8 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Magic Basma

23.1

OR: 8.8 Form: 12 Odds: 2.4

11/1

Running Queen

20.7

OR: 9 Form: 10 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Lady Luzon

OR: 7.3 Form: 12 Odds: 0.7

50/1

Sea Emily Run

18.2

OR: 7 Form: 10 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Pearl Of Windsor

OR: 8.8 Form: 8 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Kodilicious

14.2

OR: 0 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Nardra

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 0

—

Cold Hearted

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 5.9 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Magic Mild	95	105	97
It Ain't Two	93	106	97
Running Queen	86	97	81
Magic Basma	85	95	52
Spherical	85	95	78
Pearl Of Windsor	85	99	78
Lady Luzon	79	93	78
Sea Emily Run	78	90	80
Kodilicious	—	109	95
Cold Hearted	—	86	80
Nardra	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Cold Hearted	19d ago	Fit
It Ain't Two	20d ago	Fit
Kodilicious	20d ago	Fit
Pearl Of Windsor	20d ago	Fit
Spherical	21d ago	Fit
Nardra	35d ago	Fit
Lady Luzon	42d ago	Fit
Magic Basma	45d ago	Fit
Magic Mild	49d ago	Fresh
Sea Emily Run	70d ago	Fresh
Running Queen	168d ago	Long break