Lough Construction Ltd. Handicap Hurdle – Down Royal

Down Royal

13:00

Lough Construction Ltd. Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-11-01

Distance 3m30y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €5,900

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12	Brandt Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	J:Jordan Gainford T:Cian Collins	157	ht	7U417U	91	105	79	30d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	18.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Hurdles mark is now 13lb lower than chase rating and makes plenty of appeal here
4	Paddy's Milestone Bay J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	J:Mr S Connor(7) T:S R B Crawford	165	—	74440-	99	102	81	185d	—	—	0	17.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Good maiden form; steps up in trip here but capable of a bold showing if he stays
11	Jimli's Cave Bay J:Donagh Meyler T:R K Watson	J:Donagh Meyler T:R K Watson	159	b	-25271	93	103	82	21d	—	—	+17	27.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Up 7lb for first win over hurdles on latest start at Downpatrick; should go well again
3	Emily In Paris Bay J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:D E Fitzgerald	J:Gavin Brouder(5) T:D E Fitzgerald	166	—	5328P3	100	102	80	12d	—	—	+7	20.2	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Stays well and acts on good ground; well capable of getting into the shake-up
5	Tilloughna Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:David Kenneth Budds	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:David Kenneth Budds	165	t	-67514	99	101	76	12d	—	—	+12	21.9	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Ballinrobe winner ran well at Limerick; trip and ground are fine and she should have a say
9	Mullaghmore Wave Bay J:Alex Harvey(5) T:John C McConnell	J:Alex Harvey(5) T:John C McConnell	161	tv	6P5P32	95	101	-	21d	—	—	+13	19	3.50/1	14/1 7%
New headgear tried here on her return to hurdles; respected despite being 2lb higher
13	Il Silenzio Bay J:Ricky Doyle T:Martin Brassil	J:Ricky Doyle T:Martin Brassil	156	tp	/00-74	90	98	46	21d	—	—	+4	12.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Worth a market check and could well improve enough to have an each-way chance
1	Sammy Smart Bay J:Kieren Buckley T:Thomas Gibney	J:Kieren Buckley T:Thomas Gibney	168	t	0-2003	102	106	55	17d	—	—	+8	15.1	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Addition of a tongue tie could help him get home over this extra furlong; each-way chance
16	Container Madness Bay J:John Shinnick(5) T:Martin Brassil	J:John Shinnick(5) T:Martin Brassil	152	tp	7-9004	86	100	71	13d	—	—	+4	11.1	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Up in trip here with a good 5lb claimer on board and has to be respected
14	Speranza Wilde Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:R K Watson	J:Danny Gilligan T:R K Watson	154	tp	/57-76	88	106	69	13d	—	—	+5	11.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
New headgear tried for her handicap debut and could outrun her likely odds
10	Schiehallion Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	161	—	-85P7F	95	101	85	21d	—	—	+8	12.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
No impression of late although did fall early in a Downpatrick handicap hurdle last month
7	Falak Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:T G McCourt	J:Keith Donoghue T:T G McCourt	161	t	/30-98	95	100	68	13d	—	—	+10	11.7	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Twice a winner over hurdles but little to be encouraged by anything he has done this year
8	Mon Storm Bay J:Danny Mullins T:Victor Wilson	J:Danny Mullins T:Victor Wilson	161	t	F08/P4	95	109	-	63d	—	—	+9	12	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Veteran has been well beaten in two starts since returning from two years off; no appeal
NR	Summertime Romance Bay J:Sean Flanagan T:C A McBratney	J:Sean Flanagan T:C A McBratney	168	—	005-5P	102	106	56	111d	—	—	—	13	—	—
Not seen since pulled up in a Wexford maiden hurdle in July; others preferred
NR	Kelly's Birr Bay J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sam Ewing T:Gordon Elliott	164	p	50/1-0	98	-	-	154d	—	—	—	19	—	—
Hard to assess but the very fact that Elliott is running her at this meeting is a positive
NR	Everystep Oftheway Bay J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	J:Phillip Enright T:Oliver McKiernan	153	tp	40-444	87	99	64	116d	—	—	—	9.3	—	—
Stable in decent form and not without a chance as a new headgear combination is tried

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Brandt	7/2	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2
Paddy's Milestone	4/1	7/2	4/1	7/2	4/1
Jimli's Cave	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	15/2
Emily In Paris	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2
Tilloughna	10/1	9/1	8/1	9/1	15/2
Mullaghmore Wave	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Il Silenzio	11/1	9/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Sammy Smart	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1	14/1
Container Madness	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Speranza Wilde	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	14/1
Schiehallion	20/1	16/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Falak	66/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Mon Storm	50/1	40/1	33/1	66/1	28/1
Summertime Romance	-	-	-	-	-
Kelly's Birr	-	-	-	-	-
Everystep Oftheway	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Jimli's Cave

27.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 13.5 Odds: 2.9

15/2

2nd

Tilloughna

21.9

OR: 12.3 Form: 7 Odds: 2.7

10/1

3rd

Emily In Paris

20.2

OR: 12.5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 3.6

15/2

Mullaghmore Wave

OR: 11.3 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Kelly's Birr

OR: 12 Form: 7 Odds: 0

—

Brandt

18.7

OR: 10.3 Form: 3.2 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Paddy's Milestone

17.5

OR: 12.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Sammy Smart

15.1

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Summertime Romance

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Schiehallion

12.6

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Il Silenzio

12.2

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

14/1

Mon Storm

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

66/1

Falak

11.7

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Speranza Wilde

11.2

OR: 9.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Container Madness

11.1

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Everystep Oftheway

9.3

OR: 9.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sammy Smart	102	106	55
Summertime Romance	102	106	56
Emily In Paris	100	102	80
Paddy's Milestone	99	102	81
Tilloughna	99	101	76
Kelly's Birr	98	—	—
Mullaghmore Wave	95	101	—
Schiehallion	95	101	85
Falak	95	100	68
Mon Storm	95	109	—
Jimli's Cave	93	103	82
Brandt	91	105	79
Il Silenzio	90	98	46
Speranza Wilde	88	106	69
Everystep Oftheway	87	99	64
Container Madness	86	100	71

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Emily In Paris	12d ago	Quick return
Tilloughna	12d ago	Quick return
Container Madness	13d ago	Quick return
Speranza Wilde	13d ago	Quick return
Falak	13d ago	Quick return
Sammy Smart	17d ago	Fit
Jimli's Cave	21d ago	Fit
Mullaghmore Wave	21d ago	Fit
Il Silenzio	21d ago	Fit
Schiehallion	21d ago	Fit
Brandt	30d ago	Fit
Mon Storm	63d ago	Fresh
Summertime Romance	111d ago	Long break
Everystep Oftheway	116d ago	Long break
Kelly's Birr	154d ago	Long break
Paddy's Milestone	185d ago	Long break