Raven Roofing Supplies Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

15:32

Raven Roofing Supplies Handicap

Date 2024-11-04

Distance 1m3f219y

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (12)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
9 (5)	Pablo Prince Bay J:Luke Morris T:Karen Jewell	J:Luke Morris T:Karen Jewell	132	p	706712	54	74	61	26d	—	—	-1	18.7	7/2 22%
Running well here, winning over 1m3f then run down late by Torbellino; solid chance
4 (4)	Torbellino Bay J:Robert Havlin T:Karen Jewell	J:Robert Havlin T:Karen Jewell	139	—	-67251	61	67	51	26d	—	—	+3	20.3	11/2 15%
First course win when finding plenty over C&D latest; 5lb higher mark not beyond her
8 (10)	Highland Slipper Bay J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	J:Trevor Whelan T:Henry Candy	133	—	570-6	60	63	41	26d	—	—	-9	6.9	9/2 18%
28-1 when never threatening on belated handicap debut over C&D; can finish closer today
1 (2)	Upepo Grey Roan J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	142	—	330054	64	73	57	16d	—	—	-6	8.1	5/1 17%
Three Lingfield AW wins at 1m4f-1m5f; excuses of late; of more interest back on Polytrack
10 (9)	Fullforward Bay J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	J:William Carson T:Michael Madgwick	130	—	022514	52	71	52	18d	—	—	+3	12.7	8/1 11%
In good form on turf; 0-12 on AW but no forlorn hope on C&D second in April
2 (6)	Queen's Company Bay J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	J:Dylan Hogan T:Julia Feilden	141	—	374233	63	66	43	23d	—	—	+3	13.9	8/1 11%
All three wins 1m-1m2f; in good form since the spring but needs improvement for new trip
11 (3)	Duchess Chestnut J:Adam Farragher T:John Berry	J:Adam Farragher T:John Berry	125	t	553654	47	66	30	34d	—	—	-3	2.5	18/1 5%
Some good 1m4f AW form in defeat last autumn; winning return over 1m on turf; competitive
5 (7)	Meisterzinger Brown J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Usher	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Mark Usher	139	—	11031-	61	69	-	509d	—	—	+16	21.5	18/1 5%
Progressive here in 2023 but off since wide-margin 1m3f win last June so has fitness query
6 (12)	Bluenose Belle Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Richard Phillips	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Richard Phillips	138	p	-00260	60	67	53	26d	—	—	+3	5.8	33/1 3%
Now 5lb lower than 1m3f win here in January 2023 but off key since back from absence
3 (11)	Pledge Of Honour Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Dean Ivory	J:Liam Keniry T:Dean Ivory	139	p	419907	61	67	38	11d	—	—	+2	5.7	33/1 3%
Multiple turf wins; 0-14 on AW but hampered latest; yard in fine form
7 (8)	Starfighter Bay J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	J:Mason Paetel(7) T:Mark Loughnane	136	—	655370	58	72	61	150d	—	—	+2	4.2	40/1 2%
Four AW wins on Tapeta; effective over C&D; weighted to go well but off since June
12 (1)	Pottersmattyeeehaa Bay J:Harry Davies T:Matt Crawley	J:Harry Davies T:Matt Crawley	121	—	968	48	58	-	25d	—	—	-1	0.4	80/1 1%
Beaten at least 17l in three AW runs at 1m-1m3f; faces most realistic assignment yet

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Pablo Prince	7/2	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Torbellino	9/2	9/2	11/2	9/2	9/2
Highland Slipper	4/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Upepo	5/1	5/1	9/2	5/1	5/1
Fullforward	15/2	8/1	8/1	15/2	15/2
Queen's Company	8/1	15/2	6/1	15/2	7/1
Duchess	16/1	18/1	12/1	16/1	16/1
Meisterzinger	18/1	18/1	12/1	16/1	14/1
Bluenose Belle	28/1	33/1	25/1	28/1	28/1
Pledge Of Honour	33/1	33/1	20/1	33/1	28/1
Starfighter	40/1	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Pottersmattyeeehaa	80/1	66/1	50/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Meisterzinger

21.5

OR: 2.8 Form: 17.1 Odds: 1.6

18/1

2nd

Torbellino

20.3

OR: 2.8 Form: 12.5 Odds: 5

11/2

3rd

Pablo Prince

18.7

OR: 1 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Queen's Company

13.9

OR: 3.3 Form: 7.6 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Fullforward

12.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Upepo

8.1

OR: 3.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4

5/1

Highland Slipper

6.9

OR: 2.5 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Bluenose Belle

5.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 2.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Pledge Of Honour

5.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 2 Odds: 1

33/1

Starfighter

4.2

OR: 2 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Duchess

2.5

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Pottersmattyeeehaa

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Upepo	64	73	57
Queen's Company	63	66	43
Torbellino	61	67	51
Meisterzinger	61	69	—
Pledge Of Honour	61	67	38
Highland Slipper	60	63	41
Bluenose Belle	60	67	53
Starfighter	58	72	61
Pablo Prince	54	74	61
Fullforward	52	71	52
Pottersmattyeeehaa	48	58	—
Duchess	47	66	30

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Pledge Of Honour	11d ago	Quick return
Upepo	16d ago	Fit
Fullforward	18d ago	Fit
Queen's Company	23d ago	Fit
Pottersmattyeeehaa	25d ago	Fit
Pablo Prince	26d ago	Fit
Torbellino	26d ago	Fit
Highland Slipper	26d ago	Fit
Bluenose Belle	26d ago	Fit
Duchess	34d ago	Fit
Starfighter	150d ago	Long break
Meisterzinger	509d ago	Long break