Good Luck Tommy We'll Miss You Handicap – Nottingham

Nottingham

15:18

Good Luck Tommy We'll Miss You Handicap

Date 2024-11-06

Distance 1m75y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,187

Runners (13)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
4 (8)	Equion Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Tony Carroll	J:Richard Kingscote T:Tony Carroll	138	—	436212	68	76	64	9d	—	—	+7	25	7/2 22%
Did nothing wrong last week at Leicester when beaten by an unexposed Beckett filly
5 (2)	Dream Pirate Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:T J Kent	J:Marco Ghiani T:T J Kent	137	b	446061	67	77	59	13d	—	—	+3	19	9/2 18%
6lb higher than for recent C&D success but has been competitive off higher in the past
2 (7)	Spioradalta Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Mark Walford	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Mark Walford	140	v	470543	70	77	64	18d	—	—	-2	12	11/2 15%
Likes the mud and well handicapped; solid last run when venturing over 1m4f
12 (5)	Adelabella Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	J:Darragh Keenan T:Michael Wigham	133	—	115342	63	78	72	9d	—	—	+3	15.4	6/1 14%
Second on the AW last week (1m) when the winner got first run; soft ground a concern
11 (12)	Temper Trap Brown J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	133	t	211425	63	79	60	1d	—	—	+4	14.8	7/1 13%
Arrives in solid form and wasn't disgraced at Redcar on Tuesday
3 (13)	Beautiful Crown Bay J:Jack Dace(7) T:Jack Jones	J:Jack Dace(7) T:Jack Jones	139	—	134344	69	77	34	11d	—	—	+2	8.8	12/1 8%
Remote fourth last time (handles heavy) but had been in form and could bounce back
6 (10)	Racing Demon Bay J:George Bass(3) T:Ed de Giles	J:George Bass(3) T:Ed de Giles	137	h	204133	67	77	58	14d	—	—	+10	16.1	14/1 7%
Holding his form well despite some slow breaks and has to be considered
8 (4)	Platinum Prince Grey J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Gary & Josh Moore	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Gary & Josh Moore	135	v	023412	65	75	47	16d	—	—	+13	19.6	12/1 8%
6lb higher than for his Bath defeat but being proven on the ground ticks a big box
1 (6)	Yorkstone Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	140	—	131-27	70	76	64	22d	—	—	+2	6.2	20/1 5%
He could have run better on the AW last time after an absence
13 (1)	Likleman Bay J:Jimmy Quinn T:Simon West	J:Jimmy Quinn T:Simon West	118	—	571736	50	75	52	13d	—	—	+2	6.2	20/1 5%
Heavy-ground winner in September but has only won once and is inconsistent
9 (3)	Jackson Street Bay J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	J:Kyle Strydom T:Dylan Cunha	135	—	632080	67	78	51	15d	—	—	+4	7.1	33/1 3%
Best form been on the AW; down the field in his last three races and looks out of touch
10 (9)	Always Fearless Chestnut J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	J:Tyrese Cameron(7) T:Richard Hannon	134	b	571800	64	77	72	14d	—	—	+6	6.8	100/1 1%
Major wellbeing concerns having shown no form in his last three races
NR (11)	Gainsbourg Bay J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	J:Jason Hart T:Daragh Bourke	137	b	819027	67	76	58	27d	—	—	—	9.8	—
Not quite himself last month at Ayr but this trip on soft is right up his street

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Equion	10/3	7/2	10/3	10/3	10/3
Dream Pirate	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Spioradalta	11/2	5/1	11/2	5/1	11/2
Adelabella	11/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Temper Trap	13/2	7/1	6/1	7/1	6/1
Beautiful Crown	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Racing Demon	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Platinum Prince	11/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Yorkstone	20/1	20/1	20/1	16/1	20/1
Likleman	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Jackson Street	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Always Fearless	100/1	100/1	100/1	66/1	80/1
Gainsbourg	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Equion

OR: 4.5 Form: 15.1 Odds: 5.4

7/2

2nd

Platinum Prince

19.6

OR: 3.8 Form: 13.9 Odds: 1.9

12/1

3rd

Dream Pirate

OR: 4.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Racing Demon

16.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 10.1 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Adelabella

15.4

OR: 3.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Temper Trap

14.8

OR: 3.3 Form: 8.5 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Spioradalta

OR: 5 Form: 3 Odds: 4

11/2

Gainsbourg

9.8

OR: 4.3 Form: 5.5 Odds: 0

—

Beautiful Crown

8.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.9

12/1

Jackson Street

7.1

OR: 4.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Always Fearless

6.8

OR: 3.5 Form: 3 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Yorkstone

6.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Likleman

6.2

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.1

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Spioradalta	70	77	64
Yorkstone	70	76	64
Beautiful Crown	69	77	34
Equion	68	76	64
Dream Pirate	67	77	59
Racing Demon	67	77	58
Jackson Street	67	78	51
Gainsbourg	67	76	58
Platinum Prince	65	75	47
Always Fearless	64	77	72
Adelabella	63	78	72
Temper Trap	63	79	60
Likleman	50	75	52

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Temper Trap	1d ago	Quick return
Equion	9d ago	Quick return
Adelabella	9d ago	Quick return
Beautiful Crown	11d ago	Quick return
Dream Pirate	13d ago	Quick return
Likleman	13d ago	Quick return
Racing Demon	14d ago	Fit
Always Fearless	14d ago	Fit
Jackson Street	15d ago	Fit
Platinum Prince	16d ago	Fit
Spioradalta	18d ago	Fit
Yorkstone	22d ago	Fit
Gainsbourg	27d ago	Fit