From The Horses Mouth Podcast Handicap Hurdle (GBB Race)

Cheltenham

14:55

Date 2024-11-16

Distance 2m7f208y

Class Class 2

Going Good

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £15,609

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9	Doyen Quest Chestnut J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	150	—	1211-2	125	145	130	35d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	35.2	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Looks nailed on for further improvement this term and good chance he will stay 3m
1	Gowel Road b/br J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	168	—	7346-2	143	143	137	21d	—	—	+18	32.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Front-running second over C&D (good) three weeks ago; should again be on the premises
11	Thanksforthehelp Grey J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	J:Jack Tudor T:David Pipe	143	tp	1/P0-6	118	144	110	29d	—	—	+14	25.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
The ease of his Chepstow win in February 2023 off just 1lb lower isn't quite forgotten
2	Zeeband Bay J:Jack G Gilligan(5) T:Paul John Gilligan	J:Jack G Gilligan(5) T:Paul John Gilligan	165	t	-41192	140	141	117	21d	—	—	+30	37.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Won a maiden and three handicaps this year; shapes as if well worth a go at 3m
7	Noble Birth Bay J:Daniel King T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Daniel King T:Gavin Cromwell	153	t	10-273	128	141	-	34d	—	—	+14	21.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Made a solid stable debut over fences; might build on that but needs a career best
4	Emailandy Bay J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	J:Harry Cobden T:Paul Nicholls	159	tp	22319-	134	142	134	203d	—	—	+27	33.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Second-season hurdler who shapes as if 3m is well worth a go and should have more to offer
10	Hardy Boy Grey J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	149	—	221424	124	142	122	21d	—	—	+22	27.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Good C&D fourth last time (Gowel Road second) but he's probably too exposed to win this
12	Pinnacle Peak Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	J:Sean Bowen T:Martin Keighley	143	p	/1414-	118	143	127	365d	—	—	+23	28.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
In fine form at this track over 2m4f/2m5f last autumn but he's been absent since
6	Itso Fury Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	153	t	-44621	128	144	-	14d	—	—	+29	34.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Won over fences at Wetherby (3m, good) last time; 9lb higher on this return to hurdles
8	Quick Draw Bay J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	J:Nico de Boinville T:Nicky Henderson	153	—	1P1-P6	128	140	-	20d	—	—	+17	20.4	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Hurdling first time since April 2023; well handicapped judged on his good days over fences
5	Deep Cave b/br J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	J:Nick Scholfield T:Christian Williams	155	—	FF-510	130	140	115	22d	—	—	+18	20.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Seemingly best watched for now following his muted debut for new yard here (2m4f; 50-1)
3	Captain Morgs Bay J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Henderson	J:Paul O'Brien T:Nicky Henderson	160	p	PP-14P	135	142	-	21d	—	—	+20	21.8	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Ran badly in both races since his win at Aintree (3m1f, good) in May; switches from fences

Horse	bet365	Coral	Virgin Bet
Doyen Quest	6/4	11/8	6/4
Gowel Road	5/1	11/2	5/1
Thanksforthehelp	15/2	13/2	13/2
Zeeband	12/1	10/1	10/1
Noble Birth	11/1	12/1	11/1
Emailandy	14/1	12/1	12/1
Hardy Boy	16/1	16/1	16/1
Pinnacle Peak	18/1	16/1	16/1
Itso Fury	18/1	18/1	18/1
Quick Draw	33/1	25/1	25/1
Deep Cave	33/1	33/1	33/1
Captain Morgs	40/1	33/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zeeband

37.6

OR: 22.5 Form: 13 Odds: 2.1

12/1

2nd

Doyen Quest

35.2

OR: 18.8 Form: 5 Odds: 11.4

6/4

3rd

Itso Fury

34.4

OR: 19.5 Form: 13.5 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Emailandy

33.7

OR: 21 Form: 11 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Gowel Road

32.3

OR: 23.3 Form: 5 Odds: 4

11/2

Pinnacle Peak

28.4

OR: 17 Form: 10 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Hardy Boy

27.4

OR: 18.5 Form: 7.5 Odds: 1.4

16/1

Thanksforthehelp

25.3

OR: 17 Form: 5 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Captain Morgs

21.8

OR: 21.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Noble Birth

21.6

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Deep Cave

20.7

OR: 20 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Quick Draw

20.4

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Gowel Road	143	143	137
Zeeband	140	141	117
Captain Morgs	135	142	—
Emailandy	134	142	134
Deep Cave	130	140	115
Noble Birth	128	141	—
Itso Fury	128	144	—
Quick Draw	128	140	—
Doyen Quest	125	145	130
Hardy Boy	124	142	122
Thanksforthehelp	118	144	110
Pinnacle Peak	118	143	127

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Itso Fury	14d ago	Fit
Quick Draw	20d ago	Fit
Gowel Road	21d ago	Fit
Zeeband	21d ago	Fit
Hardy Boy	21d ago	Fit
Captain Morgs	21d ago	Fit
Deep Cave	22d ago	Fit
Thanksforthehelp	29d ago	Fit
Noble Birth	34d ago	Fit
Doyen Quest	35d ago	Fit
Emailandy	203d ago	Long break
Pinnacle Peak	365d ago	Long break