My Pension Expert: Your Trusted Advisers Maiden Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div I)

Carlisle

13:03

Date 2024-11-19

Distance 2m3f218y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,540

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Ira Hayes Chestnut J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C McConnell	J:Ben Harvey(3) T:John C McConnell	158	—	1-61	-	-	-	22d	—	—	-18	18.8	0.34/1	11/8 42%
Comfortable winner of a Wexford bumper last month; of obvious interest on hurdle debut.
6	Monty Bodkin Bay J:Kielan Woods T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Kielan Woods T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	158	—	261-	-	-	-	272d	—	—	-11	23.1	0.38/1	6/4 40%
Bumper winner in February; a likely type to improve for hurdles; stable debut.
7	Orkney Blue Bay J:Bruce Lynn T:N W Alexander	J:Bruce Lynn T:N W Alexander	158	—	2-	-	-	-	211d	—	—	-2	7.7	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Worth considering on hurdle bow based on his debut second in a Hexham bumper in April.
9	Skuna Bay Bay J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	J:Brian Hughes T:Donald McCain	158	—	32-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+3	8.7	4.00/1	16/1 6%
£25,000 purchase after being placed in both his Irish points; market can guide.
8	Shadow Chaser Bay J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	J:Sam Coltherd T:Stuart Coltherd	158	—	513-35	-	100	25	16d	—	—	-5	1.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Has shown ability in a couple of novice hurdles but probably one for handicaps.
5	Maggies Boy Bay J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Sean Quinlan T:Jennie Candlish	158	—	4-	-	-	-	325d	—	—	-3	1.2	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Brings potential over this longer trip on hurdle debut but might find a couple too good.
11	Dazzlelikethis Bay J:Robert Dunne T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	J:Robert Dunne T:Oliver Greenall & Josh Guerriero	151	—	F-	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Close 2nd when fell last in an Irish point in December; interesting hurdle newcomer.
1	Balking Chestnut J:Danny McMenamin T:Dianne Sayer	J:Danny McMenamin T:Dianne Sayer	158	—	4V-0	-	70	53	26d	—	—	-1	0.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Soundly beaten on last month's hurdle debut over C&D and others have more obvious claims.
10	Alltalknoaction Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:Tim Easterby	J:Jamie Hamilton T:Tim Easterby	157	—	32-	-	-	-	—	—	—	+6	7.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Placed in his point bumper and a maiden point; probably best watched on hurdle debut
2	Blue Plan Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	158	—	003	-	72	35	14d	—	—	+3	3.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Soundly beaten on all three starts over hurdles and easy to look elsewhere.
3	Gatsby Blue Bay J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	J:Conor Rabbitt(5) T:Maurice Barnes	158	—	P/87	-	84	25	22d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Offered little so far and needs to find considerable improvement for this step up in trip.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Ira Hayes	6/5	11/8	5/4	5/4	5/4
Monty Bodkin	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8	6/4
Orkney Blue	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1
Skuna Bay	16/1	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1
Shadow Chaser	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1	11/1
Maggies Boy	33/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Dazzlelikethis	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	25/1
Balking	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	40/1
Alltalknoaction	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Blue Plan	300/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Gatsby Blue	300/1	250/1	250/1	250/1	250/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Monty Bodkin

23.1

OR: 0 Form: 12.5 Odds: 10.6

6/4

2nd

Ira Hayes

18.8

OR: 0 Form: 7 Odds: 11.8

11/8

3rd

Skuna Bay

8.7

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Orkney Blue

7.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.7

15/2

Alltalknoaction

7.4

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Blue Plan

3.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.2

300/1

Shadow Chaser

1.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Maggies Boy

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

40/1

Dazzlelikethis

0.8

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Balking

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Gatsby Blue

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ira Hayes	—	—	—
Monty Bodkin	—	—	—
Orkney Blue	—	—	—
Skuna Bay	—	—	—
Shadow Chaser	—	100	25
Maggies Boy	—	—	—
Dazzlelikethis	—	—	—
Balking	—	70	53
Alltalknoaction	—	—	—
Blue Plan	—	72	35
Gatsby Blue	—	84	25

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blue Plan	14d ago	Fit
Shadow Chaser	16d ago	Fit
Ira Hayes	22d ago	Fit
Gatsby Blue	22d ago	Fit
Balking	26d ago	Fit
Orkney Blue	211d ago	Long break
Monty Bodkin	272d ago	Long break
Maggies Boy	325d ago	Long break
Skuna Bay	—	—
Dazzlelikethis	—	—
Alltalknoaction	—	—