Stay In Control With BetUK Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

19:45

Stay In Control With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-21

Distance 1m1f104y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (6)	Strategic Fortune Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	134	—	270208	54	71	28	24d	—	—	-10	9.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
All three AW wins have come over C&D and he has dropped to an attractive mark
5 (8)	Enzos Angel Grey J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Neil Mulholland	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Neil Mulholland	133	t	429900	53	74	57	24d	—	—	-7	5.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
C&D winner and well handicapped on best form, but quiet in his last four starts
6 (11)	Boyd Crowder Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	J:Jack Garritty T:Richard Fahey	132	—	5-80	55	65	33	65d	—	—	-9	5.3	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Open to improvement now handicapping over further and worth a market check
4 (3)	Boujee Gold Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	J:Marco Ghiani T:Tony Carroll	133	p	836409	53	63	52	3d	—	—	-9	5.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
1lb below sole winning mark, but she needs to do better than in her last two starts
10 (5)	Cryptos Dream Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Tony Carroll	131	b	153650	51	74	55	19d	—	—	-8	4.8	1.63/1	13/2 13%
4lb below last winning mark and well handicapped on best C&D form; interesting
7 (7)	Zousca Bay J:Thomas Greatrex T:David Loughnane	J:Thomas Greatrex T:David Loughnane	132	ht	-72633	55	66	56	19d	—	—	+1	10.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Has run well to finish third the last twice; not bred to stay this far, but still a player
11 (9)	Sneaky Blinder Bay J:Luke Morris T:Robert Stephens	J:Luke Morris T:Robert Stephens	130	b	152470	53	68	27	8d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.75/1	11/1 8%
1-17; has run well over C&D but has been quiet in both starts for this yard
1 (10)	National Health Bay J:Joe Fanning T:Olly Murphy	J:Joe Fanning T:Olly Murphy	135	t	7486-7	55	61	-	285d	—	—	-5	3.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Returns from another 285 days off and probably best watched
9 (4)	Solara Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Hugo Palmer	J:Jack Mitchell T:Hugo Palmer	132	v	034560	55	68	24	49d	—	—	-2	3.5	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Modest in three starts in handicaps; visor will need to make a big difference
3 (1)	Lhebayeb Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Richard Price	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Richard Price	133	—	885378	53	64	27	10d	—	—	0	3	8.25/1	33/1 3%
0-15 on the AW but in the frame eight times; each-way claims back down at this level
8 (2)	Glen Esk Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:John O'Shea	J:Georgia Dobie T:John O'Shea	132	—	3/0000	52	53	30	33d	—	—	+2	2.8	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Has beaten a total of one rival in four starts on the AW since returning in September

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Strategic Fortune	7/2	10/3	7/2	7/2	4/1
Enzos Angel	6/1	13/2	6/1	6/1	5/1
Boyd Crowder	5/1	11/2	5/1	5/1	9/2
Boujee Gold	6/1	6/1	11/2	11/2	11/2
Cryptos Dream	13/2	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Zousca	15/2	8/1	7/1	8/1	15/2
Sneaky Blinder	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
National Health	10/1	10/1	8/1	12/1	9/1
Solara	14/1	14/1	12/1	14/1	12/1
Lhebayeb	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Glen Esk	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Zousca

10.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 6.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

2nd

Strategic Fortune

9.2

OR: 1 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

3rd

Enzos Angel

5.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 1 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Boujee Gold

5.4

OR: 0.8 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4

6/1

Boyd Crowder

5.3

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

11/2

Cryptos Dream

4.8

OR: 0.3 Form: 0.9 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Sneaky Blinder

4.5

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.2

11/1

National Health

3.6

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Solara

3.5

OR: 1.3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Lhebayeb

OR: 0.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Glen Esk

2.8

OR: 0.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Boyd Crowder	55	65	33
Zousca	55	66	56
National Health	55	61	—
Solara	55	68	24
Strategic Fortune	54	71	28
Enzos Angel	53	74	57
Boujee Gold	53	63	52
Sneaky Blinder	53	68	27
Lhebayeb	53	64	27
Glen Esk	52	53	30
Cryptos Dream	51	74	55

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Boujee Gold	3d ago	Quick return
Sneaky Blinder	8d ago	Quick return
Lhebayeb	10d ago	Quick return
Cryptos Dream	19d ago	Fit
Zousca	19d ago	Fit
Strategic Fortune	24d ago	Fit
Enzos Angel	24d ago	Fit
Glen Esk	33d ago	Fit
Solara	49d ago	Fresh
Boyd Crowder	65d ago	Fresh
National Health	285d ago	Long break