Know Your Limits With BetMGM Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race) (Div II)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:10

Date 2024-11-21

Distance 1m142y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (5)	Wild Angel Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	128	—	3323	76	92	58	19d	—	—	-8	26	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Sets the standard on her consistent 7f form; good chance provided she stays the new trip
3 (12)	Crepe Suzette Bay J:Kieran O'Neill T:John & Thady Gosden	J:Kieran O'Neill T:John & Thady Gosden	128	—	6	-	67	-	19d	—	—	-16	6.7	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Hindered at the start in Newmarket event; out of a Nassau winner and should improve
8 (1)	Patagonia Girl Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Hugo Palmer	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:Hugo Palmer	128	—	02	-	86	57	22d	—	—	-9	10.7	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Solid second in latest Kempton run (winner easily followed up here since); major player
10 (6)	Rock Diva Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Ollie Sangster	J:Jack Mitchell T:Ollie Sangster	128	—	33	-	81	57	24d	—	—	-1	7.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Similar efforts over 7f while shaping as if this longer distance will suit; solid chance
6 (4)	Kate O'Riley Bay J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Michael Bell	J:Jack Doughty(5) T:Michael Bell	128	—	52	-	85	61	35d	—	—	-1	7.5	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has shown ability in two races but perhaps isn't crying out for this drop back in trip
7 (7)	Orionis Bay J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	J:Adam Farragher T:William Haggas	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-4	1.6	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Sea The Stars half-sister to a 1m AW winner; notable connections; interesting newcomer
4 (10)	Holy Smoker b/br J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	J:Marco Ghiani T:William Knight	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-3	1	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Closely related to a middle-distance AW winner; check the betting
11 (9)	Safe Idea Chestnut J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	J:Joe Fanning T:Charlie Johnston	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Cracksman half-sister to two winners; heed the market signals
2 (2)	Captious Cantor Bay J:Jim Crowley T:Ed Dunlop	J:Jim Crowley T:Ed Dunlop	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.3	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Dam an AW scorer for her connections but has thrown no winners as a broodmare thus far
9 (8)	Riviera Song Chestnut J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Connor Planas(3) T:David Loughnane	128	b	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Kameko half-sister to five winners; wears blinkers on debut; others preferred
5 (11)	Just Dawned On Me Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Amy Murphy	J:Cam Hardie T:Amy Murphy	128	—	80	-	56	39	29d	—	—	0	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Poor claims on form
1 (3)	Berry Happy Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	128	—	—	-	50	43	15d	—	—	0	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Trailed home last of 14 in Kempton maiden

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Wild Angel	6/4	6/4	6/4	11/8	13/8
Crepe Suzette	11/4	3/1	11/4	3/1	5/2
Patagonia Girl	5/1	7/2	4/1	4/1	3/1
Rock Diva	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	9/1
Kate O'Riley	9/1	10/1	10/1	8/1	10/1
Orionis	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1
Holy Smoker	33/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	33/1
Safe Idea	28/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1
Captious Cantor	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	66/1
Riviera Song	150/1	125/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Just Dawned On Me	150/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1
Berry Happy	150/1	200/1	150/1	200/1	150/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Wild Angel

OR: 6.5 Form: 8.9 Odds: 10.6

13/8

2nd

Patagonia Girl

10.7

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 5.7

5/1

3rd

Kate O'Riley

7.5

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Rock Diva

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 5.1 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Crepe Suzette

6.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 6.7

3/1

Orionis

1.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Holy Smoker

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Safe Idea

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Captious Cantor

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

80/1

Riviera Song

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Just Dawned On Me

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Berry Happy

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Wild Angel	76	92	58
Crepe Suzette	—	67	—
Patagonia Girl	—	86	57
Rock Diva	—	81	57
Kate O'Riley	—	85	61
Orionis	—	—	—
Holy Smoker	—	—	—
Safe Idea	—	—	—
Captious Cantor	—	—	—
Riviera Song	—	—	—
Just Dawned On Me	—	56	39
Berry Happy	—	50	43

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Berry Happy	15d ago	Fit
Wild Angel	19d ago	Fit
Crepe Suzette	19d ago	Fit
Patagonia Girl	22d ago	Fit
Rock Diva	24d ago	Fit
Just Dawned On Me	29d ago	Fit
Kate O'Riley	35d ago	Fit
Orionis	—	—
Holy Smoker	—	—
Safe Idea	—	—
Captious Cantor	—	—
Riviera Song	—	—