Safer Gambling Week 2024 At BetUK Handicap (Div I) – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

18:15

Safer Gambling Week 2024 At BetUK Handicap (Div I)

Date 2024-11-22

Distance 6f

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,972

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Fahrenheit Seven Bay J:Clifford Lee T:Mark Usher	J:Clifford Lee T:Mark Usher	137	—	433113	80	89	-	13d	—	—	+11	29.4	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Non-runner
2 (9)	Phoenix Of Dreams Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	134	—	322291	77	87	67	25d	—	—	+10	26.8	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Straightforward task in weak maiden last time but still looks unexposed over 6f
3 (3)	Brummell Bay J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	J:Ryan Sexton T:Julie Camacho	134	—	893321	77	95	79	11d	—	—	+9	28.4	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Well treated under a penalty for his 5f win here last week; future mark 3lb higher
4 (8)	Pals Battalion Brown J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	J:David Nolan T:David O'Meara	131	v	425142	74	91	81	17d	—	—	+5	22	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Consistent 3yo, latterly in visor; solid chance in the retained headgear
6 (2)	Evocative Spark Bay J:Tom Eaves T:James Owen	J:Tom Eaves T:James Owen	128	—	400741	71	96	75	18d	—	—	+4	20	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Won at Wolverhampton last time and remains well handicapped on historical turf data
7 (5)	Kit Gabriel Bay J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	J:Alex Jary(5) T:Seb Spencer	128	—	-80389	71	90	68	29d	—	—	+1	8.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Far from solid on 2024 form; debut for new stable; others preferred
9 (7)	Giselles Izzy Bay J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	J:Andrew Mullen T:Iain Jardine	119	—	136767	62	87	-	16d	—	—	+1	4.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Better strike-rate on turf than on AW; raced mostly in lower grades; opposed
5 (6)	Dream Show Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	130	v	/0-008	73	89	30	21d	—	—	+5	6	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Poor results for current yard; enough to prove dropped in trip
NR (4)	Mumayaz Bay J:TBC T:Tony Carroll	J: T:Tony Carroll	125	—	827314	68	91	-	1d	—	0W/0P 1 run	—	14	—	—
In-form contender but has something to prove back up in grade

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Fahrenheit Seven	4/1	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2
Phoenix Of Dreams	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Brummell	7/2	10/3	10/3	3/1	10/3
Pals Battalion	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Evocative Spark	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Kit Gabriel	16/1	12/1	14/1	16/1	12/1
Giselles Izzy	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Dream Show	100/1	80/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Mumayaz	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Fahrenheit Seven

29.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 16.5 Odds: 5.4

4/1

2nd

Brummell

28.4

OR: 6.8 Form: 15.9 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Phoenix Of Dreams

26.8

OR: 6.8 Form: 15 Odds: 5

4/1

Pals Battalion

OR: 6 Form: 11 Odds: 5

4/1

Evocative Spark

OR: 5.3 Form: 10 Odds: 4.7

9/2

Mumayaz

OR: 4.5 Form: 9.5 Odds: 0

—

Kit Gabriel

8.9

OR: 5.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.1

16/1

Dream Show

OR: 5.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

100/1

Giselles Izzy

4.5

OR: 3 Form: 0.6 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fahrenheit Seven	80	89	—
Phoenix Of Dreams	77	87	67
Brummell	77	95	79
Pals Battalion	74	91	81
Dream Show	73	89	30
Evocative Spark	71	96	75
Kit Gabriel	71	90	68
Mumayaz	68	91	—
Giselles Izzy	62	87	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Mumayaz	1d ago	Quick return
Brummell	11d ago	Quick return
Fahrenheit Seven	13d ago	Quick return
Giselles Izzy	16d ago	Fit
Pals Battalion	17d ago	Fit
Evocative Spark	18d ago	Fit
Dream Show	21d ago	Fit
Phoenix Of Dreams	25d ago	Fit
Kit Gabriel	29d ago	Fit

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 6f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.