Betfair Chase (Grade 1) (Registered As The Lancashire Chase) (GBB Race)

Haydock

15:05

Date 2024-11-23

Distance 3m1f125y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £116,990

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7	Royale Pagaille Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	164	—	6F/1F-	165	178	145	301d	—	—	+10	36.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Won this 12 months ago on reappearance; leading player if at the top of his game
5	Grey Dawning Grey J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	164	—	12113-	157	169	152	226d	—	—	+32	51	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Won Grade 1 novice at Cheltenham Festival; brings star potential to second chasing season
1	Ahoy Senor Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	164	—	4362-3	169	174	136	27d	—	—	+22	37.2	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Highly creditable 3rd in Old Roan on reappearance; could have big say now back up in trip
9	Limerick Lace Bay J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	157	—	12110-	153	164	143	224d	—	—	+33	44.3	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won mares' Grade 2 at Cheltenham Festival; in excellent hands to continue to progress
2	Bravemansgame Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Paul Nicholls	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Paul Nicholls	164	b	2256-2	165	174	155	21d	—	—	+27	36.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
2022 King George winner; hasn't hit the same heights more recently but he's not ruled out
4	Gold Tweet Bay J:Gabin Meunier T:Gabriel Leenders	J:Gabin Meunier T:Gabriel Leenders	164	t	31-645	138	152	-	35d	—	—	+17	24.1	3.00/1	12/1 8%
The return to Britain could prompt another form surge, but this French 7yo looks opposable
3	Capodanno Chestnut J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	J:Brian Hayes T:W P Mullins	164	t	3140-8	159	168	147	206d	—	—	+24	28.5	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Inconsistent but won Cotswold Chase in January & represents all-conquering Willie Mullins
NR	Hewick Bay J:TBC T:John Joseph Hanlon	J: T:John Joseph Hanlon	164	b	6-3232	165	175	135	21d	—	—	—	28.8	—	—
Last season's King George winner; ran really well latest start; might not want rain
NR	The Real Whacker Bay J:TBC T:Patrick Neville	J: T:Patrick Neville	164	t	2P5-U1	159	167	155	21d	—	—	—	27.3	—	—
Won the Charlie Hall three weeks ago and this in-form 8yo could make another bold bid

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Royale Pagaille	2/1	2/1	2/1	2/1	9/4
Grey Dawning	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1	3/1
Ahoy Senor	5/1	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Limerick Lace	7/1	15/2	7/1	13/2	7/1
Bravemansgame	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Gold Tweet	12/1	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Capodanno	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Hewick	-	-	-	-	-
The Real Whacker	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Grey Dawning

OR: 26.8 Form: 18.5 Odds: 5.7

3/1

2nd

Limerick Lace

44.3

OR: 25.8 Form: 15.5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Ahoy Senor

37.2

OR: 29.8 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

5/1

Royale Pagaille

36.8

OR: 28.8 Form: 0 Odds: 8

9/4

Bravemansgame

36.3

OR: 28.8 Form: 5 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Hewick

28.8

OR: 28.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Capodanno

28.5

OR: 27.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

22/1

The Real Whacker

27.3

OR: 27.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Gold Tweet

24.1

OR: 22 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ahoy Senor	169	174	136
Royale Pagaille	165	178	145
Bravemansgame	165	174	155
Hewick	165	175	135
Capodanno	159	168	147
The Real Whacker	159	167	155
Grey Dawning	157	169	152
Limerick Lace	153	164	143
Gold Tweet	138	152	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Bravemansgame	21d ago	Fit
Hewick	21d ago	Fit
The Real Whacker	21d ago	Fit
Ahoy Senor	27d ago	Fit
Gold Tweet	35d ago	Fit
Capodanno	206d ago	Long break
Limerick Lace	224d ago	Long break
Grey Dawning	226d ago	Long break
Royale Pagaille	301d ago	Long break