Safer Gambling Week 2024 At BetUK Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

15:33

Safer Gambling Week 2024 At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-11-23

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £2,983

Winning Time 2m 10.93s (slow by 4.43s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Prince Achille (GB) Jack Garritty · Jedd O'Keeffe	13/2	Won
2nd	Rock Armour (IRE) Lewis Edmunds · John Butler	13/2	.5
3rd	Cakewalk (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Simon & Ed Crisford	11/2	1.5
4th	Rainwater (GB) Harry Russell · Richard Fahey	3/1F	1.5
5th	Urban Road (GB) Tom Eaves · Alan Brown	6/1	1.75
6th	Berry Edge (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · David Thompson	15/2	1
7th	Leap Year Lad (IRE) Shane Gray · Kevin Ryan	20/1	.5
8th	Palazzo Persico (IRE) Luke Morris · Ed Dunlop	12/1	5
9th	Tilsitt (FR) Billy Garritty · R Mike Smith	33/1	4.5
10th	Genta (FR) Jason Hart · Alice Haynes	9/1	20
11th	Three Platoon (GB) Alistair Rawlinson · Rebecca Menzies	40/1	2

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (10)	Rainwater Bay J:Harry Russell T:Richard Fahey	J:Harry Russell T:Richard Fahey	135	—	507951	65	76	65	8d	—	—	+1	19	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Recent Wolverhampton winner up 5lb but he's unexposed at about this sort of trip
8 (1)	Cakewalk Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	—	587853	63	73	59	16d	—	—	-5	10.7	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Kept finding to finish third at Chelmsford and this stiffer track should be favourable
3 (11)	Urban Road Chestnut J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	137	v	733553	64	75	54	15d	—	—	-1	11.6	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Got closer to Prince Achille the last time despite finding some trouble; considered
11 (5)	Rock Armour Bay J:Lewis Edmunds T:John Butler	J:Lewis Edmunds T:John Butler	130	—	356002	60	69	50	12d	—	—	-2	11.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Best effort yet when chasing home the favourite over C&D recently
2 (9)	Prince Achille Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	138	—	362422	65	73	50	15d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+6	16.8	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Goes well here and runner-up on his last two visits; thereabouts
4 (8)	Berry Edge Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:David Thompson	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:David Thompson	137	b	466751	64	74	50	25d	—	—	+6	16.6	1.75/1	7/1 13%
Recent C&D winner and a 3lb rise won't hurt if in the same form this afternoon
10 (6)	Genta Bay J:Jason Hart T:Alice Haynes	J:Jason Hart T:Alice Haynes	131	t	4334	61	69	58	23d	—	—	0	8.7	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Initial promise; the ground was soft for handicap debut and could be given another chance
5 (7)	Palazzo Persico Bay J:Luke Morris T:Ed Dunlop	J:Luke Morris T:Ed Dunlop	135	—	224094	65	74	66	16d	—	—	+1	6.4	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Stayed on from off the pace to be close up behind Cakewalk at Chelmsford 16 days ago
12 (3)	Leap Year Lad Grey Roan J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	J:Shane Gray T:Kevin Ryan	129	p	786958	56	67	21	16d	—	—	-1	2.6	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Stuck on a losing run and has struggled badly since a third on turf during the summer
9 (4)	Tilsitt Bay J:Billy Garritty T:R Mike Smith	J:Billy Garritty T:R Mike Smith	133	tp	288330	60	72	-	1d	—	—	+4	7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Proving expensive to follow and down the field here yesterday
1 (12)	Three Platoon Bay J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Alistair Rawlinson T:Rebecca Menzies	138	tv	390117	65	72	44	—	—	—	+14	16.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Won twice over C&D not all that long ago but can lose his form, as has happened
NR (2)	Ayr Poet Bay J:TBC T:Jim Goldie	J: T:Jim Goldie	134	p	708175	61	73	-	17d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Won over 1m at Musselburgh last month but this 9yo struggles with his consistency

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Rainwater	4/1	4/1	18/5	7/2	7/2
Cakewalk	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Urban Road	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Rock Armour	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Prince Achille	6/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
Berry Edge	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	13/2
Genta	8/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Palazzo Persico	14/1	14/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
Leap Year Lad	18/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	25/1
Tilsitt	40/1	40/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Three Platoon	50/1	40/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
Ayr Poet	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rainwater

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 5.2

4/1

2nd

Prince Achille

16.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

15/2

3rd

Berry Edge

16.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 10 Odds: 3.1

7/1

Three Platoon

16.3

OR: 3.8 Form: 12 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Urban Road

11.6

OR: 3.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 3.6

11/2

Rock Armour

11.1

OR: 2.5 Form: 5 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Cakewalk

10.7

OR: 3.3 Form: 3 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Genta

8.7

OR: 2.8 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Ayr Poet

7.8

OR: 2.8 Form: 5 Odds: 0

—

Tilsitt

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Palazzo Persico

6.4

OR: 3.8 Form: 1 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Leap Year Lad

2.6

OR: 1.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rainwater	65	76	65
Prince Achille	65	73	50
Palazzo Persico	65	74	66
Three Platoon	65	72	44
Urban Road	64	75	54
Berry Edge	64	74	50
Cakewalk	63	73	59
Genta	61	69	58
Ayr Poet	61	73	—
Rock Armour	60	69	50
Tilsitt	60	72	—
Leap Year Lad	56	67	21

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Tilsitt	1d ago	Quick return
Rainwater	8d ago	Quick return
Rock Armour	12d ago	Quick return
Urban Road	15d ago	Fit
Prince Achille	15d ago	Fit
Cakewalk	16d ago	Fit
Palazzo Persico	16d ago	Fit
Leap Year Lad	16d ago	Fit
Ayr Poet	17d ago	Fit
Genta	23d ago	Fit
Berry Edge	25d ago	Fit
Three Platoon	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.