Colm Quinn BMW Risk Of Thunder Chase – Punchestown

Punchestown

11:35

Colm Quinn BMW Risk Of Thunder Chase

Date 2024-11-24

Distance 3m

Class

Going Yielding To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize €10,325

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1	Coko Beach Grey J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jack Kennedy T:Gordon Elliott	168	b	2103-U	157	158	146	42d	—	—	-1	40.1	0.30/1	6/5 45%
Travelling when unseating four out in the Velka Pardubicka; clearly the one to beat here
4	Stumptown Brown J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Keith Donoghue T:Gavin Cromwell	168	—	1P3U1-	149	151	125	204d	—	—	+23	42.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Took very well to banks here at the festival; winning over 3m; should go well
2	Solitary Man Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:E Bolger	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:E Bolger	168	—	-1212P	143	141	121	60d	—	—	+20	39.5	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Disappointing in Kerry National; much respected from these quarters on his banks debut
12	Vanillier Grey J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Sean Flanagan T:Gavin Cromwell	158	t	5020-P	147	154	123	29d	—	—	+14	28.3	1.50/1	6/1 14%
2023 Grand National runner-up still interesting though on his banks debut
7	Fameaftertheglory Bay J:Kieren Buckley T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Kieren Buckley T:Gavin Cromwell	158	—	3442-7	115	143	99	9d	—	—	+14	17.2	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Got tired late on at Cheltenham last weekend when losing a shoe; each-way chance
14	Three By Two Bay J:Richard Deegan T:Denis Paul Murphy	J:Richard Deegan T:Denis Paul Murphy	156	—	2-0016	95	125	94	86d	—	—	+13	15.5	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Won the Ladies Cup here in 2023 but will struggle in this company
3	Stealthy Tom Bay J:Mr D M Russell(7) T:E Bolger	J:Mr D M Russell(7) T:E Bolger	168	—	00-200	142	144	105	135d	—	—	+21	23.8	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Second in the Killarney National in May but well beaten twice since; others preferred
5	Bodhisattva Chestnut J:Mr J Kidd(7) T:John C McConnell	J:Mr J Kidd(7) T:John C McConnell	163	v	U436-P	118	130	43	123d	—	—	+15	17.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Unconvincing in one start over banks here in April; pulled up at Wexford last time
6	Enjoy D'Allen b/br J:Simon Torrens T:Ciaran Murphy	J:Simon Torrens T:Ciaran Murphy	158	b	654-67	125	140	73	29d	—	—	+17	19.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Did okay a couple of times over banks in the spring; will come on for a recent hurdles run
10	Streets Of Doyen Bay J:Mr Finn Buckley(7) T:John C McConnell	J:Mr Finn Buckley(7) T:John C McConnell	158	tv	4566UP	123	134	98	21d	—	—	+17	18.7	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Has struggled for form this year, pulling up in the Cork Grand National last time
13	Western Comandor Bay J:Shane Fitzgerald T:E Bolger	J:Shane Fitzgerald T:E Bolger	158	t	6-P9P0	90	112	54	17d	—	—	+9	10.5	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Winning hurdler for John Ryan but quite some time since he has shown anything; no appeal
9	Land Jet Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Peter Maher	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Peter Maher	158	—	8529FP	80	91	58	29d	—	—	+7	7.7	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Won over hurdles at Kilbeggan three years ago, but a mark of 80 reflects his ability
8	Jet Fighter Bay J:Mr T Davies(7) T:Peter Maher	J:Mr T Davies(7) T:Peter Maher	158	p	P7858-	-	116	27	293d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Very modest performer; not seen since a mile behind Coko Beach here in February; no appeal
NR	Subset Bay J:Tom Harney(7) T:Peter Maher	J:Tom Harney(7) T:Peter Maher	158	p	P0P-0P	-	120	-	—	—	—	—	0	—	—
33-1 winner over the banks at the festival in 2023 but has shown little or nothing since

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Coko Beach	11/10	6/5	11/10	evn	11/10
Stumptown	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	4/1
Solitary Man	4/1	7/2	7/2	7/2	7/2
Vanillier	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Fameaftertheglory	25/1	28/1	28/1	33/1	25/1
Three By Two	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Stealthy Tom	33/1	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1
Bodhisattva	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Enjoy D'Allen	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1	40/1
Streets Of Doyen	40/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	80/1
Western Comandor	150/1	200/1	150/1	150/1	200/1
Land Jet	100/1	250/1	250/1	200/1	250/1
Jet Fighter	100/1	250/1	250/1	200/1	250/1
Subset	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Stumptown

42.5

OR: 24.8 Form: 12 Odds: 5.7

4/1

2nd

Coko Beach

40.1

OR: 26.8 Form: 0 Odds: 13.3

6/5

3rd

Solitary Man

39.5

OR: 23.3 Form: 10.5 Odds: 5.7

4/1

Vanillier

28.3

OR: 24.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

6/1

Stealthy Tom

23.8

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 0.8

33/1

Enjoy D'Allen

19.3

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Streets Of Doyen

18.7

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Bodhisattva

17.6

OR: 17 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Fameaftertheglory

17.2

OR: 16.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

33/1

Three By Two

15.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Western Comandor

10.5

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

200/1

Land Jet

7.7

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Jet Fighter

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Subset

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Coko Beach	157	158	146
Stumptown	149	151	125
Vanillier	147	154	123
Solitary Man	143	141	121
Stealthy Tom	142	144	105
Enjoy D'Allen	125	140	73
Streets Of Doyen	123	134	98
Bodhisattva	118	130	43
Fameaftertheglory	115	143	99
Three By Two	95	125	94
Western Comandor	90	112	54
Land Jet	80	91	58
Jet Fighter	—	116	27
Subset	—	120	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Fameaftertheglory	9d ago	Quick return
Western Comandor	17d ago	Fit
Streets Of Doyen	21d ago	Fit
Vanillier	29d ago	Fit
Enjoy D'Allen	29d ago	Fit
Land Jet	29d ago	Fit
Coko Beach	42d ago	Fit
Solitary Man	60d ago	Fresh
Three By Two	86d ago	Fresh
Bodhisattva	123d ago	Long break
Stealthy Tom	135d ago	Long break
Stumptown	204d ago	Long break
Jet Fighter	293d ago	Long break
Subset	—	—