Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Nursery Handicap (Rider Restricted Race)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:30

Date 2024-12-02

Distance 6f20y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 1m 14.26s (slow by 2.36s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Carbine Harvester (FR) Harry Burns · William Haggas	10/1	Won
2nd	Oakley Boy (GB) Connor Planas · Stuart Williams	7/2J	.75
3rd	Chuti Manika (IRE) Archie Young · Charlie Johnston	7/1	0.05
4th	Rotation (GB) Oliver Carmichael · Eve Johnson Houghton	18/1	1.25
5th	Ghostman (GB) Josephine Gordon · Dylan Cunha	7/2J	.5
6th	Jane Garfield (IRE) Liam Keniry · Sylvester Kirk	13/2	1
7th	Piranha Rama (GB) Jordan Williams · David Evans	15/2	0.3
8th	Zadkiel (IRE) Harrison Shaw · John & Sean Quinn	11/1	.75
9th	Mister McGregor (IRE) Callum Hutchinson · Andrew Balding	25/1	1.25
10th	Mystical Elegance (GB) William Carver · Simon Hodgson	66/1	0.3
11th	Tequila Rose (IRE) Frederick Larson · Amy Murphy	25/1	4.75
12th	Dubai Magic (IRE) George Wood · James Tate	12/1	20

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (1)	Oakley Boy Bay J:Connor Planas(3) T:Stuart Williams	J:Connor Planas(3) T:Stuart Williams	135	v	746461	70	75	57	11d	—	—	0	21.2	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Two AW wins and the visor worked well at Lingfield latest; each-way shout again
2 (11)	Chuti Manika Bay J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	J:Archie Young(5) T:Charlie Johnston	135	—	217536	70	77	55	23d	—	—	-1	13.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
7f turf win in July; solid runs in nurseries but needs more to defy this wide stall
4 (2)	Jane Garfield Bay J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	J:Liam Keniry T:Sylvester Kirk	134	—	323564	69	74	25	16d	—	—	-3	10.7	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Consistent filly; close 4th over C&D last month; now back with original yard; needs more
7 (4)	Ghostman Chestnut J:Josephine Gordon T:Dylan Cunha	J:Josephine Gordon T:Dylan Cunha	132	b	084229	67	78	69	10d	—	—	+1	13.9	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Latest run excusable and he'd been banging at the door before; more appealing than many
6 (6)	Carbine Harvester Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:William Haggas	J:Harry Burns(3) T:William Haggas	133	t	546	68	65	39	30d	—	—	-3	7.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Clear promise in three runs from 5f to 7f; tongue tied for nursery debut; can do better
8 (7)	Piranha Rama Bay J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	J:Jordan Williams(5) T:David Evans	130	—	141331	65	80	70	23d	—	—	+13	23	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Three wins in Class 6 nurseries this year; should remain competitive despite latest rise
12 (3)	Zadkiel Grey J:Harrison Shaw T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Harrison Shaw T:John & Sean Quinn	125	b	685337	60	65	54	20d	—	—	0	8.6	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Has shown promise in other headgear; sharp 6f might prove an inadequate test
11 (8)	Dubai Magic Bay J:George Wood T:James Tate	J:George Wood T:James Tate	126	—	969253	61	79	71	23d	—	—	+2	10.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Ran well at Chelmsford last month and closely matched with Piranha Rama on that run
5 (12)	Mister McGregor Chestnut J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	J:Callum Hutchinson T:Andrew Balding	133	—	730077	68	69	53	16d	—	—	+2	6.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Finished behind Jane Garfield over C&D 16 days ago; drawn widest and needs more to win
9 (9)	Rotation Bay J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Oliver Carmichael(7) T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	t	018076	63	71	58	20d	—	—	+2	6.5	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Won a turf seller in July but yet to make much of an impact in nurseries
10 (5)	Tequila Rose Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Amy Murphy	128	b	106804	63	78	70	23d	—	—	+1	4.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Blinkers prompted a better run at Chelmsford last time but she's no banker to repeat it
3 (10)	Mystical Elegance Chestnut J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	J:William Carver(3) T:Simon Hodgson	134	—	02384	69	76	49	81d	—	—	+6	8.2	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Peak effort came over 7f; sold for 11,000gns in October; best watched on stable debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Oakley Boy	7/2	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3
Chuti Manika	6/1	11/2	5/1	11/2	11/2
Jane Garfield	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1
Ghostman	6/1	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1
Carbine Harvester	9/1	9/1	6/1	17/2	9/1
Piranha Rama	15/2	8/1	7/1	15/2	15/2
Zadkiel	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Dubai Magic	12/1	12/1	11/1	12/1	8/1
Mister McGregor	20/1	22/1	22/1	20/1	22/1
Rotation	20/1	20/1	18/1	20/1	20/1
Tequila Rose	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	20/1
Mystical Elegance	50/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Piranha Rama

OR: 3.8 Form: 16.6 Odds: 2.7

8/1

2nd

Oakley Boy

21.2

OR: 5 Form: 10 Odds: 6.2

7/2

3rd

Ghostman

13.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 6 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Chuti Manika

13.1

OR: 5 Form: 4.1 Odds: 4

6/1

Jane Garfield

10.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.9 Odds: 4

6/1

Dubai Magic

10.6

OR: 2.8 Form: 5.5 Odds: 2.4

12/1

Zadkiel

8.6

OR: 2.5 Form: 3.6 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Mystical Elegance

8.2

OR: 4.8 Form: 3 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Carbine Harvester

7.6

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

9/1

Rotation

6.5

OR: 3.3 Form: 2 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Mister McGregor

6.3

OR: 4.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.2

22/1

Tequila Rose

4.2

OR: 3.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Oakley Boy	70	75	57
Chuti Manika	70	77	55
Jane Garfield	69	74	25
Mystical Elegance	69	76	49
Carbine Harvester	68	65	39
Mister McGregor	68	69	53
Ghostman	67	78	69
Piranha Rama	65	80	70
Rotation	63	71	58
Tequila Rose	63	78	70
Dubai Magic	61	79	71
Zadkiel	60	65	54

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Ghostman	10d ago	Quick return
Oakley Boy	11d ago	Quick return
Jane Garfield	16d ago	Fit
Mister McGregor	16d ago	Fit
Zadkiel	20d ago	Fit
Rotation	20d ago	Fit
Chuti Manika	23d ago	Fit
Piranha Rama	23d ago	Fit
Dubai Magic	23d ago	Fit
Tequila Rose	23d ago	Fit
Carbine Harvester	30d ago	Fit
Mystical Elegance	81d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 6f20y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 6 draws with historical results at this course and distance.