Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

14:54

Free Bets With BetUK Bet Club Handicap

Date 2024-12-03

Distance 1m2f42y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Winning Time 2m 12.98s (slow by 6.48s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Urban Road (GB) Harry Davies · Alan Brown	15/2	Won
2nd	Orbital (GB) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	100/30	0.3
3rd	Kaaranah (IRE) Kaiya Fraser · John Butler	3/1F	1
4th	Falcon Nine (GB) Kieran Shoemark · Charlie Fellowes	7/2	1.75
5th	Lake Teo (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Charles Hills	28/1	0.2
6th	Prince Achille (GB) Jack Garritty · Jedd O'Keeffe	6/1	1
7th	Blue Sky Boy (IRE) Jason Hart · Paul Attwater	14/1	2
8th	Highwaygrey (GB) Sean Kirrane · Tim Easterby	33/1	2
9th	It's A Love Thing (GB) Jonathan England · Sam England	80/1	5
10th	Percy Willis (GB) Cam Hardie · Jedd O'Keeffe	18/1	8.5
11th	Sense Of Worth (IRE) Dale Swift · Seb Spencer	33/1	22

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
7 (5)	Kaaranah Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:John Butler	136	—	987-75	68	79	46	256d	—	—	-12	11.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Has been off since March, when again doing his best work late, over 1m on Lingfield AW.
8 (10)	Orbital Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	135	—	712254	69	80	72	49d	—	—	-2	16	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Both wins have come on AW, latest at Lingfield in July off 4lb lower mark.
12 (3)	Falcon Nine Chestnut J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Charlie Fellowes	130	—	978274	62	80	64	26d	—	—	-7	10.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
14-race maiden but looks to be crying out for this step back up in trip.
6 (7)	Prince Achille Bay J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Jack Garritty T:Jedd O'Keeffe	136	—	624221	68	77	64	10d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	+12	25.5	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Produced a career best to land his fourth C&D success ten days ago.
11 (9)	Urban Road Chestnut J:Harry Davies T:Alan Brown	J:Harry Davies T:Alan Brown	131	v	335535	63	81	60	10d	—	—	-3	9.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Recorded his third course win in January off 1lb higher mark; not out of this.
9 (8)	Blue Sky Boy Bay J:Jason Hart T:Paul Attwater	J:Jason Hart T:Paul Attwater	132	—	498	66	74	38	50d	—	—	-2	6.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Well held in two starts for current yard; steps up in trip on handicap debut.
5 (12)	Percy Willis Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Jedd O'Keeffe	J:Cam Hardie T:Jedd O'Keeffe	137	p	537041	69	80	58	17d	—	—	+12	16.7	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Recorded his sixth AW success when dead-heating at Wolverhampton last month.
10 (1)	Lake Teo Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Charles Hills	J:Jack Mitchell T:Charles Hills	131	—	432588	65	80	54	26d	—	—	+3	6.7	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Seven-race maiden; never better than midfield on AW debut at Chelmsford last month.
2 (6)	Highwaygrey Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	J:Sean Kirrane T:Tim Easterby	138	tp	205375	70	76	35	32d	—	—	+4	7.6	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Likes to come from off a strong pace but hasn't threatened in recent starts.
3 (4)	Sense Of Worth Bay J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	J:Dale Swift T:Seb Spencer	138	—	322276	70	77	39	205d	—	—	+9	10.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Placed four times on Tapeta this year and returns from a break.
4 (2)	It's A Love Thing Bay J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	J:Jonathan England T:Sam England	138	t	225089	70	80	62	35d	—	—	+5	6.4	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Previous C&D winner but has failed to beat a rival on his last three starts.
NR (11)	Unplugged Bay J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	J:Billy Garritty T:Michael & David Easterby	138	—	223059	70	81	8	49d	—	—	—	6.9	—	—
Wasn't beaten far when ninth of 12 on his return to AW over C&D in October.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Kaaranah	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2
Orbital	4/1	7/2	7/2	4/1	10/3
Falcon Nine	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Prince Achille	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1	9/2
Urban Road	8/1	15/2	15/2	15/2	13/2
Blue Sky Boy	10/1	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1
Percy Willis	20/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	14/1
Lake Teo	25/1	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1
Highwaygrey	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	18/1
Sense Of Worth	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	40/1
It's A Love Thing	80/1	80/1	80/1	100/1	80/1
Unplugged	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Prince Achille

25.5

OR: 4.5 Form: 17 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

Percy Willis

16.7

OR: 4.8 Form: 10.6 Odds: 1.4

20/1

3rd

Orbital

OR: 4.8 Form: 6 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Kaaranah

11.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Falcon Nine

10.5

OR: 3 Form: 2.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Sense Of Worth

10.5

OR: 5 Form: 5 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Urban Road

9.3

OR: 3.3 Form: 2.7 Odds: 3.3

8/1

Highwaygrey

7.6

OR: 5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 1.1

33/1

Unplugged

6.9

OR: 5 Form: 1.9 Odds: 0

—

Lake Teo

6.7

OR: 3.8 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.9

28/1

It's A Love Thing

6.4

OR: 5 Form: 1 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Blue Sky Boy

6.1

OR: 4 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

10/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Highwaygrey	70	76	35
Sense Of Worth	70	77	39
It's A Love Thing	70	80	62
Unplugged	70	81	8
Orbital	69	80	72
Percy Willis	69	80	58
Kaaranah	68	79	46
Prince Achille	68	77	64
Blue Sky Boy	66	74	38
Lake Teo	65	80	54
Urban Road	63	81	60
Falcon Nine	62	80	64

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Prince Achille	10d ago	Quick return
Urban Road	10d ago	Quick return
Percy Willis	17d ago	Fit
Falcon Nine	26d ago	Fit
Lake Teo	26d ago	Fit
Highwaygrey	32d ago	Fit
It's A Love Thing	35d ago	Fit
Orbital	49d ago	Fresh
Unplugged	49d ago	Fresh
Blue Sky Boy	50d ago	Fresh
Sense Of Worth	205d ago	Long break
Kaaranah	256d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m2f42y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.