BetGoodwin Novices' Handicap Hurdle – Fontwell

Fontwell

14:00

BetGoodwin Novices' Handicap Hurdle

Date 2024-12-10

Distance 2m5f164y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (11)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Chancellorstown Bay J:Tom Cannon T:Toby Lawes	J:Tom Cannon T:Toby Lawes	153	p	007-42	90	105	58	22d	—	—	-8	18	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Just touched off over 3m1f latest; good chance if coping with return to shorter on soft
10	All Under Control Brown J:Harry Kimber T:Robert Walford	J:Harry Kimber T:Robert Walford	142	p	7048-8	79	94	47	29d	—	—	-7	13	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Not beaten too far on handicap debut (2m3f) but hasn't run well in 2 outings since
5	Arctic Saint Grey J:Chris Ward(3) T:Deborah Cole	J:Chris Ward(3) T:Deborah Cole	152	t	-65593	89	109	96	22d	—	—	0	18	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Not ahead of mark in Ireland; fair 3rd over 2m4f on stable debut; likely to need more
2	Groom De Cotte Bay J:Isabelle Ryder(7) T:Gary Brown	J:Isabelle Ryder(7) T:Gary Brown	158	t	307P01	95	105	93	77d	—	—	+8	25.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Long spell below par; bounced back upped to 3m2f latest; back up 10lb; still well treated
11	Spicy Nelson Chestnut J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	142	tb	9P5-53	79	89	72	12d	—	—	+1	9.6	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Yet to play a serious part in four handicaps; blinkers added; 8lb out of the weights
1	Eileen's Milan Bay J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	J:Lorcan Williams T:Paul Nicholls	168	t	6428	105	98	42	158d	—	—	+13	18.9	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Unraced on slower than good and mixed form but shown promise; wind op since last seen
3	Hurst Hill Bay J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	J:Daniel Sansom(3) T:Seamus Mullins	154	—	73369U	91	102	69	12d	—	—	+8	11.1	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Thereabouts in 2m1f novices before running moderately on handicap debut; unseated latest
7	Absence Of Malice Chestnut J:Ben Jones T:Peter & Michael Bowen	J:Ben Jones T:Peter & Michael Bowen	144	h	08P07	81	82	52	20d	—	—	+6	8.3	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Very little to show for bumper/hurdle starts; goes handicapping off rock-bottom mark
6	Dance To Fame Bay J:James Davies T:Richard Rowe	J:James Davies T:Richard Rowe	144	—	/P3P-8	81	107	34	28d	—	—	+6	8.2	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Lightly raced since Irish point win in 2021; pulled up and finished remote in 2 handicaps
NR	Smith Chestnut J:Marc Goldstein T:Lydia Richards	J:Marc Goldstein T:Lydia Richards	144	—	/PP/48	81	107	66	32d	—	—	—	7.8	—	—
Six 2m wins on AW but well adrift on handicap hurdle debut; soft ground query, too
NR	Engaging Sam Chestnut J:Caoilin Quinn T:Paddy Butler	J:Caoilin Quinn T:Paddy Butler	142	p	8863-5	79	94	62	12d	—	—	—	7.3	—	—
Not beaten far over 2m7f in February; well held after break latest; out of weights again

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Chancellorstown	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2
All Under Control	7/2	3/1	10/3	10/3	7/2
Arctic Saint	4/1	4/1	18/5	4/1	7/2
Groom De Cotte	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2
Spicy Nelson	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1	9/1
Eileen's Milan	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	12/1
Hurst Hill	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Absence Of Malice	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Dance To Fame	80/1	66/1	80/1	80/1	80/1
Smith	-	-	-	-	-
Engaging Sam	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Groom De Cotte

25.5

OR: 11.3 Form: 9.3 Odds: 5

9/2

2nd

Eileen's Milan

18.9

OR: 13.8 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.6

16/1

3rd

Chancellorstown

OR: 10 Form: 0 Odds: 8

5/2

Arctic Saint

OR: 9.8 Form: 3 Odds: 5.2

4/1

All Under Control

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

7/2

Hurst Hill

11.1

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

40/1

Spicy Nelson

9.6

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.4

9/1

Absence Of Malice

8.3

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Dance To Fame

8.2

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Smith

7.8

OR: 7.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Engaging Sam

7.3

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Eileen's Milan	105	98	42
Groom De Cotte	95	105	93
Hurst Hill	91	102	69
Chancellorstown	90	105	58
Arctic Saint	89	109	96
Absence Of Malice	81	82	52
Dance To Fame	81	107	34
Smith	81	107	66
All Under Control	79	94	47
Spicy Nelson	79	89	72
Engaging Sam	79	94	62

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Spicy Nelson	12d ago	Quick return
Hurst Hill	12d ago	Quick return
Engaging Sam	12d ago	Quick return
Absence Of Malice	20d ago	Fit
Chancellorstown	22d ago	Fit
Arctic Saint	22d ago	Fit
Dance To Fame	28d ago	Fit
All Under Control	29d ago	Fit
Smith	32d ago	Fit
Groom De Cotte	77d ago	Fresh
Eileen's Milan	158d ago	Long break