See You On New Years Eve Handicap Hurdle (Div I) – Punchestown

Punchestown

14:50

See You On New Years Eve Handicap Hurdle (Div I)

Date 2024-12-10

Distance 2m7f182y

Class

Going Good To Yielding

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize €6,195

Runners (20)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Not My Problem Brown J:Tom Harney(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	J:Tom Harney(7) T:Ross O'Sullivan	166	p	099-P2	100	105	26	25d	—	—	0	17.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Good effort when second in 2m4f handicap here in first-time cheekpieces, definite chance
11	Doonbeg Don Bay J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	J:Mike O'Connor T:Henry De Bromhead	158	—	49-031	92	101	53	44d	—	—	-2	15.7	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Won a Galway handicap chase off this mark, stays well, looks potentially well handicapped
17	Elle Dorado Rock Bay J:Daniel King T:A J Martin	J:Daniel King T:A J Martin	149	t	P/P04-	83	95	45	240d	—	—	-2	12.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Ended last season with a respectable fourth at Down Royal, potentially interesting
2	Sammy Smart Bay J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	J:Darragh O'Keeffe T:Thomas Gibney	167	—	-20038	101	102	56	39d	—	—	+8	18.9	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Down the field at Down Royal last time, better judged on previous C&D third
19	County Champs Chestnut J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M McMahon	J:Phillip Enright T:Brian M McMahon	146	p	789844	80	104	89	11d	—	—	+1	10	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Yet to reach the first three. some encouragement can be taken from recent fourth placings
7	Brave Adam Bay J:Tom Kelly(7) T:Thomas Cooper	J:Tom Kelly(7) T:Thomas Cooper	163	t	8-P019	97	95	-	35d	—	—	+6	13.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won a beginners' chase at Killarney, let down by his jumping in a handicap chase last time
1	Joya Del Mar Bay J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:Patrick M O'Brien(7) T:Dermot A McLoughlin	168	—	8-4447	102	103	95	158d	—	—	+8	14.9	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Fair maiden form, twice fourth in handicaps, needs to find extra on return from a break
5	Schiehallion Bay J:P J O'Hanlon T:Dermot A McLoughlin	J:P J O'Hanlon T:Dermot A McLoughlin	164	p	85P7F2	98	101	82	39d	—	—	+11	17.2	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Did not look an easy ride at Down Royal last month, addition of cheekpieces may help
10	Comeonarchie Bay J:Danny Gilligan T:F G Hand	J:Danny Gilligan T:F G Hand	158	t	-68486	92	103	80	25d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+6	12.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Needs to jump better than on his handicap debut at this venue, capable of improvement
3	Must Go Now Bay J:E Walsh T:Edward Cawley	J:E Walsh T:Edward Cawley	166	h	0/3F-5	100	99	75	196d	—	—	+9	13.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Has shown ability in handicaps but over shorter trips, not sure to stay effectively enough
13	Perfect Pupil Bay J:Anna McGuinness(7) T:Stephen McConville	J:Anna McGuinness(7) T:Stephen McConville	157	—	18-069	91	97	81	23d	—	—	+7	11.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Still 6lb higher than for win at Down Royal in March, Anna McGuinness renews partnership
9	Carrig Carol Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Peter Croke	J:Jordan Gainford T:Peter Croke	159	—	70-966	93	102	40	14d	—	—	+7	12.1	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Over two years since her sole win over hurdles, others have stronger credentials
8	John Storey Bay J:Ross Berry(7) T:Liam P Cusack	J:Ross Berry(7) T:Liam P Cusack	160	—	799P5U	94	101	80	21d	—	—	+9	11.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Promising fifth of 16 over 3m at Fairyhouse on penultimate outing, unseated on latest
15	French Milan Bay J:Simon Torrens T:Aidan Anthony Howard	J:Simon Torrens T:Aidan Anthony Howard	152	t	P-0850	86	101	61	35d	—	—	+6	10	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Showed promise over 2m4f at this venue on yard debut, failed to match that form last time
14	Another Nightmare Chestnut J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:Miss Tara Lee Cogan	J:Paddy Hanlon(7) T:Miss Tara Lee Cogan	152	p	0P-078	86	95	-	21d	—	—	+8	9.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Lost form after last season's long-priced Listowel festival win, hard to make a case
16	Important Message Bay J:Jack Kearney(3) T:G A Kingston	J:Jack Kearney(3) T:G A Kingston	152	—	30/9-0	86	98	53	23d	—	—	+8	9.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Veteran three-time winner, struggled on his comeback/stable debut at Navan last month
20	Land Jet Bay J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Peter Maher	J:Sean O'Keeffe T:Peter Maher	146	—	529FP0	80	101	50	16d	—	—	+5	8.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Placed over fences at this venue in June, pulled up at Galway on most recent hurdle start
NR	Whatsyourstatus Bay J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Gearoid O'Loughlin	J:Aidan Kelly(5) T:Gearoid O'Loughlin	164	t	/1697-	98	104	-	389d	—	—	—	15	—	—
Veteran has been absent for over a year, won off a slightly higher chase mark last season
NR	Gaye Winnie Bay J:Carl Millar(5) T:Gordon Elliott	J:Carl Millar(5) T:Gordon Elliott	158	—	8-7P54	92	101	89	18d	—	—	—	10.5	—	—
Not beaten far in fourth at Tipperary last time, fair chance with Carl Millar's allowance
NR	Native Song Bay J:Tiernan Power Roche(7) T:Paul Stephen Kiely	J:Tiernan Power Roche(7) T:Paul Stephen Kiely	148	—	01U16-	82	98	-	253d	—	—	—	17.3	—	—
Won twice in point-to-points last season, modest hurdles form, open to improvement

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Not My Problem	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	7/2
Doonbeg Don	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Elle Dorado Rock	6/1	13/2	13/2	6/1	9/2
Sammy Smart	15/2	15/2	15/2	7/1	7/1
County Champs	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Brave Adam	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1
Joya Del Mar	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1
Schiehallion	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Comeonarchie	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Must Go Now	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Perfect Pupil	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	18/1
Carrig Carol	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
John Storey	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
French Milan	28/1	25/1	28/1	28/1	25/1
Another Nightmare	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Important Message	66/1	66/1	66/1	80/1	66/1
Land Jet	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Whatsyourstatus	-	-	-	-	-
Gaye Winnie	-	-	-	-	-
Native Song	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sammy Smart

18.9

OR: 12.8 Form: 3.1 Odds: 3.1

15/2

2nd

Not My Problem

17.5

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Native Song

17.3

OR: 8 Form: 9.3 Odds: 0

—

Schiehallion

17.2

OR: 12 Form: 3.5 Odds: 1.7

12/1

Doonbeg Don

15.7

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

7/2

Whatsyourstatus

OR: 12 Form: 3 Odds: 0

—

Joya Del Mar

14.9

OR: 13 Form: 0 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Brave Adam

13.9

OR: 11.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Must Go Now

13.9

OR: 12.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Elle Dorado Rock

12.3

OR: 8.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

13/2

Comeonarchie

12.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Carrig Carol

12.1

OR: 10.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

16/1

John Storey

11.9

OR: 11 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Perfect Pupil

11.6

OR: 10.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Gaye Winnie

10.5

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

County Champs

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

10/1

French Milan

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 1

28/1

Another Nightmare

9.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

Important Message

9.4

OR: 9 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Land Jet

8.4

OR: 7.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Joya Del Mar	102	103	95
Sammy Smart	101	102	56
Not My Problem	100	105	26
Must Go Now	100	99	75
Schiehallion	98	101	82
Whatsyourstatus	98	104	—
Brave Adam	97	95	—
John Storey	94	101	80
Carrig Carol	93	102	40
Doonbeg Don	92	101	53
Comeonarchie	92	103	80
Gaye Winnie	92	101	89
Perfect Pupil	91	97	81
French Milan	86	101	61
Another Nightmare	86	95	—
Important Message	86	98	53
Elle Dorado Rock	83	95	45
Native Song	82	98	—
County Champs	80	104	89
Land Jet	80	101	50

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
County Champs	11d ago	Quick return
Carrig Carol	14d ago	Fit
Land Jet	16d ago	Fit
Gaye Winnie	18d ago	Fit
John Storey	21d ago	Fit
Another Nightmare	21d ago	Fit
Perfect Pupil	23d ago	Fit
Important Message	23d ago	Fit
Not My Problem	25d ago	Fit
Comeonarchie	25d ago	Fit
Brave Adam	35d ago	Fit
French Milan	35d ago	Fit
Sammy Smart	39d ago	Fit
Schiehallion	39d ago	Fit
Doonbeg Don	44d ago	Fit
Joya Del Mar	158d ago	Long break
Must Go Now	196d ago	Long break
Elle Dorado Rock	240d ago	Long break
Native Song	253d ago	Long break
Whatsyourstatus	389d ago	Long break