Hereford FC Forever United Novices' Hurdle (GBB Race) (Div I)

Hereford

13:05

Date 2024-12-11

Distance 2m3f147y

Class Class 4

Going Good To Soft

Type Hurdle

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £4,193

Runners (10)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	Odds
10	I've Madeupmymind b J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	J:Ben Jones T:Ben Pauling	147	—	245-3	-	-	-	30d	—	—	-26	17.2	Evens 50%
Seems consistent having run well in all her bumpers, two of them warm races at top tracks
2	Sayva br J:Richie McLernon T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Richie McLernon T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	161	—	8131	114	116	106	41d	—	—	+22	37.8	9/2 18%
Penalised for winning a moderate maiden at Newcastle so likely to need more here
5	Ocean Walz b J:Jordan Nailor T:Tom Symonds	J:Jordan Nailor T:Tom Symonds	154	—	22-2	-	-	-	56d	—	—	-5	9	6/1 14%
Second in three bumpers, last time at Worcester beaten by an unexposed Skelton runner
1	Pigeon House ch J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jennie Candlish	J:Gavin Sheehan T:Jennie Candlish	166	—	13361P	133	131	98	76d	—	—	+19	31.1	13/2 13%
Quite exposed now and has the penalties, but has joined another respected yard
8	The Long Point gr J:Jack Tudor T:Emma Lavelle	J:Jack Tudor T:Emma Lavelle	154	—	3-14	-	107	72	36d	—	—	-3	4.2	12/1 8%
Bumper winner who could have needed the run when beaten 14l on hurdling debut
7	The Grey Man gr J:Ben Poste T:Harriet Dickin	J:Ben Poste T:Harriet Dickin	154	—	5223-	103	115	101	231d	—	—	+20	23.2	25/1 4%
No further improvement when third at Uttoxeter but there are races in him
4	Fortunate Fella b J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Paul Nicholls	J:Ben Bromley(5) T:Paul Nicholls	154	—	233-9	-	-	-	42d	—	—	-2	0.6	40/1 2%
Tailed off in a Newton Abbot bumper and testing ground shouldn't have been an issue
9	Wild Nephin b J:Conor Ring T:Ryan Potter	J:Conor Ring T:Ryan Potter	154	—	F-6213	-	98	91	14d	—	—	-1	0.3	100/1 1%
Only 1-7 in points; 28-1 and beaten about 20l in a 2m novice hurdle here a fortnight ago
3	Beragon b J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	J:Sean Houlihan T:Robert Stephens	154	—	9	-	-	-	35d	—	—	0	0.1	200/1 0%
33-1 when failing to show much promise for the immediate future in a Chepstow bumper
NR	Strong As Steel b J:TBC T:James Evans	J: T:James Evans	154	—	639-	-	-	-	230d	—	—	—	2.1	—
The form of his penultimate effort reads well, so not dismissed on hurdling debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
I've Madeupmymind	10/11	evn	evn	10/11	Evens
Sayva	4/1	9/2	4/1	9/2	9/2
Ocean Walz	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	6/1
Pigeon House	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
The Long Point	11/1	10/1	11/1	11/1	12/1
The Grey Man	25/1	22/1	25/1	22/1	25/1
Fortunate Fella	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	40/1
Wild Nephin	100/1	80/1	66/1	66/1	80/1
Beragon	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1	200/1
Strong As Steel	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sayva

37.8

OR: 16 Form: 17.1 Odds: 4.7

9/2

2nd

Pigeon House

31.1

OR: 20.8 Form: 7 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

The Grey Man

23.2

OR: 13.3 Form: 9 Odds: 1

25/1

I've Madeupmymind

17.2

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 14.2

Evens

Ocean Walz

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 4

6/1

The Long Point

4.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Strong As Steel

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0

—

Fortunate Fella

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Wild Nephin

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

100/1

Beragon

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Pigeon House Top Rated	133	131	98
Sayva	114	116	106
The Grey Man	103	115	101
I've Madeupmymind	—	—	—
Ocean Walz	—	—	—
The Long Point	—	107	72
Fortunate Fella	—	—	—
Wild Nephin	—	98	91
Beragon	—	—	—
Strong As Steel	—	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Wild Nephin	14d ago	Fit
I've Madeupmymind	30d ago	Fit
Beragon	35d ago	Fit
The Long Point	36d ago	Fit
Sayva	41d ago	Fit
Fortunate Fella	42d ago	Fit
Ocean Walz	56d ago	Fresh
Pigeon House	76d ago	Fresh
Strong As Steel	230d ago	Long break
The Grey Man	231d ago	Long break