Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Maiden Stakes (GBB Race) – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

18:45

Weekly £5 Free Bet With BetUK Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

Date 2024-12-13

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (4)	Popular Dream Bay J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	J:Joanna Mason T:Derek Shaw	133	—	624654	60	78	65	22d	—	—	-24	16.8	0.30/1	6/5 45%
He's run well in C&D h'caps the last twice; that form looks strong in context of this race
9 (8)	Elegant Call Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	J:Rossa Ryan T:Michael Appleby	128	—	652-34	65	80	35	24d	—	—	-7	8.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Huge chance on her peak 2yo effort; folded tamely when behind Rebel Star on stable debut
2 (12)	Crowd Quake Chestnut J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	J:Jason Hart T:Stuart Williams	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-11	4.4	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Didn't get home in a bumper three weeks ago; bred for the Flat but 5f is an obvious query
11 (3)	Rebel Star Chestnut J:George Downing T:Robert Cowell	J:George Downing T:Robert Cowell	128	—	52	-	76	53	24d	—	—	-3	8.1	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Second run was encouraging and she's open to further progress; one to consider
7 (5)	American Fashion Bay J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	J:Jason Watson T:David O'Meara	128	h	742568	64	77	61	28d	—	—	-2	7.9	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Hasn't seen her races out over a variety of trips; now tried in a hood for the first time
1 (6)	Big Time Rascal Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	J:Paddy Bradley T:Michael Attwater	133	—	9-2663	65	68	41	24d	—	—	+1	4.8	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Behind Rebel Star when 3rd on last month's stable debut; others appeal more for the win
10 (1)	Kohana Girl Bay J:Sean Levey T:J R Jenkins	J:Sean Levey T:J R Jenkins	128	—	630352	48	63	47	66d	—	—	+4	8.3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Solid effort over C&D when last seen but even that form needs bettering to feature here
6 (2)	Shades Of May Bay J:Georgia Dobie T:Mark Usher	J:Georgia Dobie T:Mark Usher	133	—	63	-	62	20	43d	—	—	+1	3.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Two quick runs in October, faring better on second occasion; dam an AW winner; unexposed
12 (9)	Wild Eyed Girl Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	J:Marco Ghiani T:J R Jenkins	128	—	75000-	46	62	-	406d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Exposed low-grade maiden in Ireland; best watched on stable debut after long absence
3 (11)	Destiny Maker Bay J:Luke Morris T:Charlie Wallis	J:Luke Morris T:Charlie Wallis	133	tb	-80704	49	58	23	43d	—	—	-1	0.3	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Modest maiden who has struggled for his new stable this year; hard to fancy
8 (10)	Angel Of Mather's Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Iain Jardine	128	—	64	-	-	-	35d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Finished last in two runs this autumn; wind op since latest; can do better at some point
5 (7)	Prince Elliot Grey Roan J:Laura Pearson T:Derek Shaw	J:Laura Pearson T:Derek Shaw	133	—	84	-	52	28	53d	—	—	-1	0.2	62.50/1	250/1 0%
Low-level form in two Tapeta runs in October (7f and 6f); minor handicaps beckon

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Popular Dream	11/10	6/5	11/10	11/10	Evens
Elegant Call	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Crowd Quake	6/1	11/2	11/2	5/1	6/1
Rebel Star	7/1	7/1	7/1	15/2	13/2
American Fashion	9/1	17/2	17/2	9/1	8/1
Big Time Rascal	25/1	22/1	25/1	28/1	25/1
Kohana Girl	22/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	22/1
Shades Of May	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1	33/1
Wild Eyed Girl	50/1	40/1	50/1	50/1	50/1
Destiny Maker	150/1	125/1	125/1	150/1	100/1
Angel Of Mather's	150/1	100/1	100/1	80/1	100/1
Prince Elliot	250/1	125/1	125/1	150/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Popular Dream

16.8

OR: 2.5 Form: 1 Odds: 13.3

6/5

2nd

Kohana Girl

8.3

OR: 0 Form: 7.1 Odds: 1.2

22/1

3rd

Elegant Call

8.2

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

4/1

Rebel Star

8.1

OR: 0 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

15/2

American Fashion

7.9

OR: 3.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.9

9/1

Big Time Rascal

4.8

OR: 3.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

28/1

Crowd Quake

4.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 4.4

6/1

Shades Of May

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 3 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Wild Eyed Girl

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Destiny Maker

0.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Angel Of Mather's

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Prince Elliot

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

250/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Elegant Call	65	80	35
Big Time Rascal	65	68	41
American Fashion	64	77	61
Popular Dream	60	78	65
Destiny Maker	49	58	23
Kohana Girl	48	63	47
Wild Eyed Girl	46	62	—
Crowd Quake	—	—	—
Rebel Star	—	76	53
Shades Of May	—	62	20
Angel Of Mather's	—	—	—
Prince Elliot	—	52	28

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Popular Dream	22d ago	Fit
Elegant Call	24d ago	Fit
Rebel Star	24d ago	Fit
Big Time Rascal	24d ago	Fit
American Fashion	28d ago	Fit
Angel Of Mather's	35d ago	Fit
Shades Of May	43d ago	Fit
Destiny Maker	43d ago	Fit
Prince Elliot	53d ago	Fresh
Kohana Girl	66d ago	Fresh
Wild Eyed Girl	406d ago	Long break
Crowd Quake	—	—