Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

19:15

Gamble Responsibly At BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-13

Distance 4f214y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
9 (7)	Master Of My Fate Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	128	—	-05672	68	87	77	4d	—	—	-7	16.8	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Well backed at Newcastle on Monday and just missed out; strong claims off the same mark
3 (8)	One More Wave Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Jonathan Portman	J:Hector Crouch T:Jonathan Portman	134	p	033815	74	87	76	10d	—	—	-2	21.8	0.69/1	11/4 27%
C&D win last month; fair 6f run at Lingfield ten days ago; now gets cheekpieces
2 (1)	Last Outlaw Bay J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Wigham	J:Sean Kirrane T:Michael Wigham	135	—	513147	75	89	54	21d	—	—	+4	18.2	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Two turf wins over 5f this year; had excuses last time; better should be forthcoming today
10 (3)	Secret Mistral Chestnut J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	J:Jack Doughty(3) T:Tony Carroll	127	—	224767	67	84	57	28d	—	—	-2	7.9	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Three turf wins but unplaced all five AW starts; dangerous mark but others are stronger
4 (4)	Above Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Robert Cowell	J:Rossa Ryan T:Robert Cowell	132	tp	939207	72	89	60	29d	—	—	+3	10.7	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Talented and on a dangerous mark but needs to leave his last two runs well behind him
1 (6)	Counsel Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	J:Luke Morris T:Michael Appleby	135	t	2-1243	75	87	50	217d	—	—	+4	11.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
In good form early in the year but returns from a break over a new, shorter trip
8 (2)	Smooth Silesie Chestnut J:Jack Mitchell T:Lisa Williamson	J:Jack Mitchell T:Lisa Williamson	129	b	162234	69	88	75	36d	—	—	+6	12.6	4.00/1	16/1 6%
5 wins in 2024 and she's remained in good form since latest of them; others better treated
5 (9)	Papa Cocktail Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Herrington	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Michael Herrington	130	—	108-08	70	82	53	27d	—	—	+2	6.2	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Yet to fire for new yard after a long absence; return to 5f not sure to suit either
7 (5)	Jeans Maite Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:Roy Bowring	J:Darragh Keenan T:Roy Bowring	129	—	-25186	69	89	80	22d	—	—	+7	12.4	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Conditions ideal and she should be sharper for her recent reappearance; interesting
6 (10)	Rodborough Bay J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	J:Tom Eaves T:Alan Brown	129	p	402960	69	82	76	64d	—	—	+5	6.8	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Three-time C&D winner; struggling this autumn though and may need more weight off her back

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Master Of My Fate	5/2	9/4	5/2	5/2	5/2
One More Wave	9/4	11/4	5/2	5/2	9/4
Last Outlaw	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2	11/2
Secret Mistral	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1
Above	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	14/1
Counsel	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Smooth Silesie	14/1	11/1	14/1	14/1	16/1
Papa Cocktail	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	20/1
Jeans Maite	14/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Rodborough	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

One More Wave

21.8

OR: 6 Form: 8.5 Odds: 7.3

11/4

2nd

Last Outlaw

18.2

OR: 6.3 Form: 7.9 Odds: 4

11/2

3rd

Master Of My Fate

16.8

OR: 4.5 Form: 5 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Smooth Silesie

12.6

OR: 4.8 Form: 6.1 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Jeans Maite

12.4

OR: 4.8 Form: 6 Odds: 1.6

16/1

Counsel

11.9

OR: 6.3 Form: 3.5 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Above

10.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 3.1 Odds: 2.1

14/1

Secret Mistral

7.9

OR: 4.3 Form: 1 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Rodborough

6.8

OR: 4.8 Form: 1.5 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Papa Cocktail

6.2

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Last Outlaw	75	89	54
Counsel	75	87	50
One More Wave	74	87	76
Above	72	89	60
Papa Cocktail	70	82	53
Smooth Silesie	69	88	75
Jeans Maite	69	89	80
Rodborough	69	82	76
Master Of My Fate	68	87	77
Secret Mistral	67	84	57

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Master Of My Fate	4d ago	Quick return
One More Wave	10d ago	Quick return
Last Outlaw	21d ago	Fit
Jeans Maite	22d ago	Fit
Papa Cocktail	27d ago	Fit
Secret Mistral	28d ago	Fit
Above	29d ago	Fit
Smooth Silesie	36d ago	Fit
Rodborough	64d ago	Fresh
Counsel	217d ago	Long break