Happy Birthday Lyndsey Lane From Brunel Novices' Handicap Chase

Newcastle

14:32

Date 2024-12-14

Distance 2m7f91y

Class Class 5

Going Good To Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,248

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3	Lepashe Black J:Liam Harrison T:Sam Allwood	J:Liam Harrison T:Sam Allwood	155	p	4-4536	82	97	53	29d	—	—	-7	14.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
0-14 under rules (0-5 chasing) and will need to jump better than at Southwell last time
5	Just Jess Bay J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	J:Alan Doyle(5) T:Joel Parkinson & Sue Smith	148	—	P86-P4	75	83	45	18d	—	—	-6	11.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Stuck in a bit of a rut and her latest fourth at Southwell amounts to little
6	Watchoutitscookie Chestnut J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	J:Lorcan Murtagh T:Nigel Hawke	145	—	435-35	72	97	87	19d	—	—	-7	10.7	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Might be fitter for Ludlow run and returning to positive tactics could help
1	Ballynaheer Bay J:Theo Gillard T:David Dennis	J:Theo Gillard T:David Dennis	168	t	17-335	95	100	78	32d	—	0W/0P 1 run	+1	15.3	1.25/1	5/1 17%
Ran well in his first two chases and there were feasible excuses at Hereford last time
2	Boolamore Classic Bay J:Jamie Hamilton T:N W Alexander	J:Jamie Hamilton T:N W Alexander	157	p	48U-00	84	-	-	36d	—	—	-1	12.1	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Modest form over hurdles and finished tailed off in two handicaps with cheekpieces tried
7	Ideal De Romay Bay J:Derek Fox T:Leonard Kerr	J:Derek Fox T:Leonard Kerr	142	—	545668	69	99	88	25d	—	—	-2	7.3	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Stable debut wasn't a bad run and 7lb out of the weights last time; 2lb wrong here
4	Blue Plan Bay J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Ross Chapman T:Rebecca Menzies	151	—	0039	78	-	-	25d	—	—	+5	10.5	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Shown precious little but at least lightly raced and soon goes chasing for handicap debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Lepashe	10/3	3/1	3/1	11/4	3/1
Just Jess	4/1	9/2	4/1	4/1	9/2
Watchoutitscookie	4/1	10/3	7/2	7/2	7/2
Ballynaheer	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1	5/1
Boolamore Classic	11/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	11/2
Ideal De Romay	15/2	9/1	17/2	8/1	8/1
Blue Plan	18/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	18/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Ballynaheer

15.3

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 4

5/1

2nd

Lepashe

14.2

OR: 8 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

10/3

3rd

Boolamore Classic

12.1

OR: 8.5 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

6/1

Just Jess

11.3

OR: 6.3 Form: 0 Odds: 5

9/2

Watchoutitscookie

10.7

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Blue Plan

10.5

OR: 7 Form: 2.1 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Ideal De Romay

7.3

OR: 4.8 Form: 0 Odds: 2.5

9/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Ballynaheer	95	100	78
Boolamore Classic	84	—	—
Lepashe	82	97	53
Blue Plan	78	—	—
Just Jess	75	83	45
Watchoutitscookie	72	97	87
Ideal De Romay	69	99	88

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Just Jess	18d ago	Fit
Watchoutitscookie	19d ago	Fit
Ideal De Romay	25d ago	Fit
Blue Plan	25d ago	Fit
Lepashe	29d ago	Fit
Ballynaheer	32d ago	Fit
Boolamore Classic	36d ago	Fit