Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

18:00

Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Nursery Handicap

Date 2024-12-16

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 28.44s (slow by 2.44s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Beccali (IRE) Dougie Costello · Charlie Appleby	7/4F	Won
2nd	The Hare Rail (IRE) Jack Mitchell · Roger Teal	7/2	1.5
3rd	Misty Sky (IRE) Aidan Keeley · Hugo Palmer	13/2	.5
4th	Sex On Fire (IRE) George Wood · Richard Spencer	3/1	1.5
5th	Packetofbiscuits (GB) Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt	15/2	2

Runners (5)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (2)	Beccali Bay J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	J:Dougie Costello T:Charlie Appleby	126	—	774	76	87	64	37d	—	—	-17	17.1	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Promising fourth when upped to 7f at Chelmsford and he needs a close look on nursery debut
1 (1)	Sex On Fire Bay J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	J:George Wood T:Richard Spencer	135	—	027051	85	92	41	33d	—	—	+6	25.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Made it 2-2 on AW when landing a Southwell novice last time; respected back in a handicap
3 (5)	The Hare Rail Brown J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Teal	126	—	42663	76	91	85	12d	—	0W/0P 1 run	-1	16	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Eyecatching third at Kempton (6f) last time and he looks interesting back up in trip
2 (3)	Misty Sky Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Aidan Keeley T:Hugo Palmer	127	—	R5321	77	91	-	54d	—	—	+10	25.9	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Made all in Newmarket novice last time and she's strongly respected on nursery debut
5 (4)	Packetofbiscuits Bay J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	J:Luke Morris T:Sir Mark Prescott Bt	123	—	472	73	91	77	23d	—	—	+3	13.8	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Went close at Newcastle and he's open to more progress now upped to 7f on nursery debut

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Beccali	13/8	13/8	6/4	11/8	7/4
Sex On Fire	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3	7/2
The Hare Rail	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1
Misty Sky	11/2	11/2	5/1	11/2	4/1
Packetofbiscuits	13/2	8/1	7/1	15/2	6/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Misty Sky

25.9

OR: 6.8 Form: 14.7 Odds: 4.4

11/2

2nd

Sex On Fire

25.5

OR: 8.8 Form: 11 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Beccali

17.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 0 Odds: 10.6

7/4

The Hare Rail

OR: 6.5 Form: 4.5 Odds: 5

4/1

Packetofbiscuits

13.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Sex On Fire	85	92	41
Misty Sky	77	91	—
Beccali	76	87	64
The Hare Rail	76	91	85
Packetofbiscuits	73	91	77

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Hare Rail	12d ago	Quick return
Packetofbiscuits	23d ago	Fit
Sex On Fire	33d ago	Fit
Beccali	37d ago	Fit
Misty Sky	54d ago	Fresh

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.