Boost Your Acca At BetMGM Irish EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) (Div I)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:30

Date 2024-12-20

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 4

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £5,211

Winning Time 1m 31.64s (slow by 5.64s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Never Let Go (GB) George Downing · Ed Walker	7/1	Won
2nd	Left Over Love (IRE) Sean Levey · Richard Hannon	6/4F	0.2
3rd	Mehmas Shy Angel (IRE) Rossa Ryan · Richard Hughes	7/4	2.75
4th	Warm Glow (GB) Ross Coakley · James Fanshawe	33/1	2
5th	Lordsbridge Havana (GB) Marco Ghiani · Jane Chapple-Hyam	50/1	.5
6th	Aoife's Thunder (IRE) Kieran Shoemark · Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	40/1	4.75
7th	Kubey (GB) Aidan Keeley · Hugo Palmer	12/1	0.2
8th	Astral Sea (IRE) Cieren Fallon · Simon & Ed Crisford	15/2	.5
9th	Rogue Destiny (IRE) Liam Keniry · James Owen	100/1	2.25

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4 (1)	Left Over Love Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-22	10	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Yard down on numbers for AW winners this year but always still worth a second look.
6 (5)	Mehmas Shy Angel Bay J:Rossa Ryan T:Richard Hughes	J:Rossa Ryan T:Richard Hughes	128	—	7	-	81	70	16d	—	—	-21	9.4	0.44/1	7/4 36%
Stayed on well close home when seventh of 14 on her debut at Kempton 16 days ago.
7 (7)	Never Let Go Chestnut J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	J:George Downing T:Ed Walker	128	—	6	-	80	-	48d	—	—	-13	5.2	1.00/1	4/1 20%
Made a pleasing start when sixth of nine on her debut at Newmarket last month.
3 (4)	Kubey Bay J:Aidan Keeley T:Hugo Palmer	J:Aidan Keeley T:Hugo Palmer	128	h	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-7	2.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Sports a hood on her debut and probably best watched.
2 (8)	Astral Sea Brown J:Cieren Fallon T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Cieren Fallon T:Simon & Ed Crisford	128	—	5	-	73	49	29d	—	—	-6	2.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Modest fifth of ten on debut at Lingfield last month; should know more this time.
9 (3)	Warm Glow Bay J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	J:Ross Coakley T:James Fanshawe	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Yard have had two 2yo winners in the last fortnight and any market move should be noted.
1 (9)	Aoife's Thunder Bay J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Kieran Shoemark T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	128	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.5	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Yard have done well their 2yos this year on AW and any market move should be noted.
5 (6)	Lordsbridge Havana Chestnut J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	J:Marco Ghiani T:Jane Chapple-Hyam	128	—	—	-	39	20	16d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Tenth of 12 at Kempton on debut 16 days ago; steps up in trip and needs more time.
8 (2)	Rogue Destiny Bay J:Liam Keniry T:James Owen	J:Liam Keniry T:James Owen	128	h	07	-	63	31	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Took a backward step on her second start when seventh of nine at Newcastle 11 days ago.

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Left Over Love	13/8	7/4	13/8	13/8	13/8
Mehmas Shy Angel	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4	7/4
Never Let Go	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	4/1
Kubey	10/1	10/1	10/1	11/1	10/1
Astral Sea	20/1	18/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Warm Glow	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	40/1
Aoife's Thunder	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	40/1
Lordsbridge Havana	150/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	80/1
Rogue Destiny	150/1	125/1	125/1	125/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Left Over Love

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 10

7/4

2nd

Mehmas Shy Angel

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 9.4

7/4

3rd

Never Let Go

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.2

4/1

Kubey

2.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

11/1

Astral Sea

2.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 2.1

20/1

Warm Glow

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

40/1

Aoife's Thunder

0.5

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Lordsbridge Havana

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Rogue Destiny

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Left Over Love	—	—	—
Mehmas Shy Angel	—	81	70
Never Let Go	—	80	—
Kubey	—	—	—
Astral Sea	—	73	49
Warm Glow	—	—	—
Aoife's Thunder	—	—	—
Lordsbridge Havana	—	39	20
Rogue Destiny	—	63	31

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Rogue Destiny	11d ago	Quick return
Mehmas Shy Angel	16d ago	Fit
Lordsbridge Havana	16d ago	Fit
Astral Sea	29d ago	Fit
Never Let Go	48d ago	Fresh
Left Over Love	—	—
Kubey	—	—
Warm Glow	—	—
Aoife's Thunder	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.