Mars Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf) – Happy Valley

Happy Valley

11:10

Mars Handicap (Class 3) (3yo+) (Course C+3) (Turf)

Date 2024-12-26

Distance 1m3f

Class

Going Good

Type Flat

Surface Turf

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £115,493

Runners (10)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
NR (2)	So We Sing Bay J:NON-RUNNER T:C W Chang	J:NON-RUNNER T:C W Chang	126	tb	34-080	72	91	-	18d	—	—	—	5.5	—	—
Smart when trained in Australia but has cut little ice in three local starts
1 (3)	Natural Storm Bay J:Antoine Hamelin T:P F Yiu	J:Antoine Hamelin T:P F Yiu	132	v	250000	78	108	-	39d	—	—	—	7	—	—
Caused an upset last season but has failed to replicate that form in three runs this term
2 (1)	California Voce Bay J:Brenton Avdulla T:A S Cruz	J:Brenton Avdulla T:A S Cruz	130	t	310089	76	93	-	29d	—	—	—	8.5	—	—
Yet to get seriously competitive in four starts this term; now steps up in trip
3 (9)	Rocket Spade Bay J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	J:Hugh Bowman T:C Fownes	126	t	871331	72	95	-	29d	—	—	—	22.1	—	—
2-4 this season; recent 6lb rise demands more but he is hard to ignore in his current form
5 (8)	Noisy Boy Bay J:Zac Purton T:C H Yip	J:Zac Purton T:C H Yip	125	t	528597	71	110	-	15d	0W/0P 1 run	—	—	6.3	—	—
Respectable effort here two weeks ago; may have more to offer over today's longer trip
6 (5)	Frantanck Bay J:Lyle Hewitson T:P C Ng	J:Lyle Hewitson T:P C Ng	124	t	785040	70	101	-	25d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Has struggled for consistency this term; needs to bounce back from an underwhelming effort
7 (4)	Stellar Grande Bay J:L J Ferraris T:David Eustace	J:L J Ferraris T:David Eustace	121	tp	11114-	67	99	-	511d	—	—	—	21.3	—	—
4-9 in Britain; interesting to see if there is any market support on local debut
8 (7)	Sharpen Bright Bay J:Matthew Poon T:D J Hall	J:Matthew Poon T:D J Hall	120	b	471214	66	91	-	29d	0W/0P 1 run	0W/0P 1 run	—	16.5	—	—
Close fourth off his revised rating last month; high on the shortlist
9 (10)	Simple Hedge Brown J:Alexis Badel T:J Size	J:Alexis Badel T:J Size	120	h	329090	66	102	-	18d	—	—	—	5	—	—
Has looked out of touch again this term; needs to get back on track
10 (6)	Winning Steps gr/b J:Andrea Atzeni T:P C Ng	J:Andrea Atzeni T:P C Ng	120	he	613174	66	90	-	25d	—	—	—	11.9	—	—
2-6 this season; no reason why he shouldn't play a part today

No odds data available.

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Rocket Spade

22.1

OR: 5.5 Form: 16.6 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Stellar Grande

21.3

OR: 4.3 Form: 17 Odds: 0

—

3rd

Sharpen Bright

16.5

OR: 4 Form: 12.5 Odds: 0

—

Winning Steps

11.9

OR: 4 Form: 7.9 Odds: 0

—

California Voce

8.5

OR: 6.5 Form: 2 Odds: 0

—

Natural Storm

OR: 7 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Noisy Boy

6.3

OR: 5.3 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

So We Sing

5.5

OR: 5.5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Frantanck

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 0

—

Simple Hedge

OR: 4 Form: 1 Odds: 0

—

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Natural Storm	78	108	—
California Voce	76	93	—
So We Sing	72	91	—
Rocket Spade	72	95	—
Noisy Boy	71	110	—
Frantanck	70	101	—
Stellar Grande	67	99	—
Sharpen Bright	66	91	—
Simple Hedge	66	102	—
Winning Steps	66	90	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Noisy Boy	15d ago	Fit
So We Sing	18d ago	Fit
Simple Hedge	18d ago	Fit
Frantanck	25d ago	Fit
Winning Steps	25d ago	Fit
California Voce	29d ago	Fit
Rocket Spade	29d ago	Fit
Sharpen Bright	29d ago	Fit
Natural Storm	39d ago	Fit
Stellar Grande	511d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Happy Valley over 1m3f. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Based on 12 draws with historical results at this course and distance.