£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap – Wolverhampton (AW)

Wolverhampton (AW)

14:25

£30 In Free Bets With BetUK Handicap

Date 2024-12-26

Distance 2m120y

Class Class 6

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £4,711

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
1 (9)	Payment Plan Bay J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:John Butler	J:Ryan Kavanagh(7) T:John Butler	138	—	504311	55	62	48	35d	—	—	+1	27.8	0.56/1	9/4 31%
Improver since upped to this sort of trip; likely there's more to come; has leading claims
5 (2)	Sir Joseph Swan Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	136	b	221353	53	64	49	4d	—	—	-3	14.3	1.13/1	9/2 18%
The blinkers have helped and there's no obvious reason why he won't go well again
7 (4)	Mamdoh Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Joseph Parr	131	—	507904	54	66	42	35d	—	—	-14	7.2	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Below market expectations for his new yard here five weeks ago and goes up in trip again
12 (3)	Shaad Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:James Owen	127	b	986247	50	66	59	14d	—	—	-4	5.2	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Switches headgear with something to prove having again run poorly last time
2 (1)	Further Measure Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy	J:Marco Ghiani T:Mike Murphy	138	p	722375	55	67	43	24d	—	—	-2	8.1	2.50/1	10/1 9%
On a handy mark; quite capable but needs to settle better than has often been the case
11 (10)	Wahoo King Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	J:Jack Mitchell T:Heather Main	127	b	603004	50	63	-	73d	—	—	-5	3.3	2.50/1	10/1 9%
Low mileage still but the switch to blinkers will need to help a good deal
4 (7)	Breccia Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Robert Stephens	J:Richard Kingscote T:Robert Stephens	137	tp	63-428	54	60	54	35d	—	—	-3	2.6	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Unlucky not to finish closer here in September; holds each-way claims back up in distance
3 (12)	Anisoptera Chestnut J:Kieran O'Neill T:Brett Johnson	J:Kieran O'Neill T:Brett Johnson	137	p	436674	54	76	58	7d	—	—	-2	3	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Has looked on the downgrade this season and the surface switch needs to help
8 (8)	Two Plus Two Chestnut J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Ed de Giles	J:Taryn Langley(7) T:Ed de Giles	129	b	33-557	46	57	45	7d	—	—	-2	0.9	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Poor maiden who's had plenty of chances at this level; blinkers returning shouldn't hurt
9 (6)	Robeam Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Michael Mullineaux	J:Cam Hardie T:Michael Mullineaux	129	p	203306	46	59	51	—	—	—	+1	2.8	25.00/1	100/1 1%
Risks involved with him refusing to jump away over hurdles last time; hard to fancy anyway
10 (11)	Uther Pendragon Bay J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:J S Moore	J:Millie Wonnacott(5) T:J S Moore	129	p	720258	46	67	53	35d	—	—	+2	4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
Long way behind Sir Joseph Swan last time and will do well to feature
6 (5)	Devore Chestnut J:Charles Bishop T:Nikki Evans	J:Charles Bishop T:Nikki Evans	133	—	-80980	50	74	-	23d	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
This much longer trip (first run at beyond 1m2f) is far from assured on pedigree

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Payment Plan	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4	9/4
Sir Joseph Swan	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2
Mamdoh	9/2	4/1	4/1	4/1	7/2
Shaad	9/1	17/2	17/2	8/1	7/1
Further Measure	9/1	9/1	9/1	10/1	8/1
Wahoo King	9/1	10/1	9/1	9/1	10/1
Breccia	16/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Anisoptera	22/1	18/1	18/1	20/1	18/1
Two Plus Two	28/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Robeam	100/1	80/1	80/1	66/1	66/1
Uther Pendragon	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1
Devore	80/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Payment Plan

27.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 18.5 Odds: 8

9/4

2nd

Sir Joseph Swan

14.3

OR: 0.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 5

9/2

3rd

Further Measure

8.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 4 Odds: 2.9

10/1

Mamdoh

7.2

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 6.2

9/2

Shaad

5.2

OR: 0 Form: 2.5 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Uther Pendragon

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.5

80/1

Wahoo King

3.3

OR: 0 Form: 0.9 Odds: 2.4

10/1

Anisoptera

OR: 1 Form: 0.6 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Robeam

2.8

OR: 0 Form: 2.4 Odds: 0.4

100/1

Breccia

2.6

OR: 1 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

18/1

Two Plus Two

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

28/1

Devore

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Payment Plan	55	62	48
Further Measure	55	67	43
Mamdoh	54	66	42
Breccia	54	60	54
Anisoptera	54	76	58
Sir Joseph Swan	53	64	49
Shaad	50	66	59
Wahoo King	50	63	—
Devore	50	74	—
Two Plus Two	46	57	45
Robeam	46	59	51
Uther Pendragon	46	67	53

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Sir Joseph Swan	4d ago	Quick return
Anisoptera	7d ago	Quick return
Two Plus Two	7d ago	Quick return
Shaad	14d ago	Fit
Devore	23d ago	Fit
Further Measure	24d ago	Fit
Payment Plan	35d ago	Fit
Mamdoh	35d ago	Fit
Breccia	35d ago	Fit
Uther Pendragon	35d ago	Fit
Wahoo King	73d ago	Fresh
Robeam	—	—