Coral Welsh Grand National Handicap Chase (Premier Handicap) (GBB Race)

Chepstow

14:50

Date 2024-12-27

Distance 3m6f130y

Class Class 1

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £85,425

Runners (16)

EW Terms: 4 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6	Iron Bridge Bay J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Jonjo O'Neill Jr T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	156	—	23P8-3	136	155	124	54d	—	—	+15	28.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
6lb lower than when a remote 2nd in this 12 months ago but may still need to find extra
10	Jubilee Express Bay J:Dylan Johnston(3) T:Sam Thomas	J:Dylan Johnston(3) T:Sam Thomas	146	p	/4321-	126	154	115	282d	—	—	+26	37.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Raised his game upped to 3m5f and an extended 3m4f on soft on last two starts last season
4	Galia Des Liteaux Bay J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	J:Harry Skelton T:Dan Skelton	162	p	248-27	142	156	109	27d	—	—	+16	25.7	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Same mark as when a close second in the Classic at Warwick (3m5f, soft) in January
15	Evies Vladimir Chestnut J:Conor Stone-Walsh(3) T:Gavin Cromwell	J:Conor Stone-Walsh(3) T:Gavin Cromwell	143	—	213P-F	123	152	116	26d	—	—	+11	21.1	2.00/1	8/1 11%
In serious contention when falling four out on 3m5f return; dark horse from respected yard
11	Val Dancer Bay J:Charlie Hammond T:Mel Rowley	J:Charlie Hammond T:Mel Rowley	146	p	1133-1	126	152	136	54d	—	—	+22	31.7	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Up another 5lb but looks sure to stay beyond 3m2f and has clear scope for further progress
14	Atlanta Brave Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Kerry Lee	J:Adam Wedge T:Kerry Lee	143	p	226-P4	123	155	70	33d	—	—	+10	21.3	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Strong candidate for long distances; wears headgear first time; needs a very close look
3	Monbeg Genius Bay J:Nick Scholfield T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	J:Nick Scholfield T:Jonjo & A J O'Neill	164	t	P35P-2	144	154	130	34d	—	—	+23	30.6	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Rallying second to Fontaine Collonges at Haydock looked an excellent confidence-booster
2	Iwilldoit Bay J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:Sam Thomas	J:Callum Pritchard(7) T:Sam Thomas	167	—	/2335-	147	153	120	314d	—	—	+24	31.3	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Won this in 2021 and Warwick Classic (clear best form) in January 2023; 3rd in this 2023
7	Where It All Began Bay J:Sean Bowen T:Gordon Elliott	J:Sean Bowen T:Gordon Elliott	154	b	32148-	134	156	71	270d	—	—	+22	30.3	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Much the strongest to win the 3m3f Grand National Trial at Punchestown (heavy) in February
1	Fontaine Collonges Bay J:Ned Fox(3) T:Venetia Williams	J:Ned Fox(3) T:Venetia Williams	168	—	/U19-1	148	157	132	34d	—	—	+29	36.6	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Mightily impressive last Christmas and five weeks ago; weakened quickly in 3m5f Classic
13	No Hubs No Hoobs Bay J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	J:Brendan Powell T:Joe Tizzard	144	tb	5111-4	124	151	124	61d	—	—	+15	19.9	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Goes very well on heavy; drew 6l clear over extended 3m6f at Exeter final start last term
9	The Newest One Bay J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	J:Sam Twiston-Davies T:Nigel Twiston-Davies	147	—	33-145	127	149	131	14d	—	—	+16	20.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
Better than ever this term; stays 3m2f but a bit below form in March 2022 when trying 3m5f
8	Your Own Story Bay J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	J:Derek Fox T:Lucinda Russell	148	p	22-2P2	128	152	113	19d	—	—	+17	20.6	5.00/1	20/1 5%
One win and eight seconds among his 13 chases but there's no doubting his stamina
16	Classic Concorde Bay J:Connor Brace T:David Brace	J:Connor Brace T:David Brace	142	p	01P7-0	122	-	-	62d	—	—	+17	18.5	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Sparkled over hurdles last term but reappearance, chasing and trip leave plenty to prove
12	Amateur Chestnut J:Jack Tudor T:John & Rhys Flint	J:Jack Tudor T:John & Rhys Flint	145	p	P-1PPP	125	149	130	21d	—	—	+18	19.1	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Veteran; pulled up in six of last seven starts; Ffos Las in the spring is more his thing
NR	Stuzzikini Bay J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	J:Jordan Gainford T:Gordon Elliott	160	b	541531	140	147	131	40d	—	—	—	37.6	—	—
Won 18-runner Troytown at Navan (3m, yielding); stays 3m2f and commands major respect

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Iron Bridge	13/2	6/1	6/1	6/1	6/1
Jubilee Express	13/2	13/2	6/1	6/1	13/2
Galia Des Liteaux	9/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Evies Vladimir	15/2	8/1	15/2	15/2	8/1
Val Dancer	8/1	17/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Atlanta Brave	7/1	7/1	7/1	7/1	8/1
Monbeg Genius	10/1	11/1	10/1	9/1	10/1
Iwilldoit	11/1	11/1	10/1	10/1	11/1
Where It All Began	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1	12/1
Fontaine Collonges	11/1	11/1	11/1	12/1	11/1
No Hubs No Hoobs	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
The Newest One	20/1	18/1	18/1	18/1	20/1
Your Own Story	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1	20/1
Classic Concorde	66/1	50/1	50/1	66/1	50/1
Amateur	150/1	80/1	80/1	100/1	80/1
Stuzzikini	-	-	-	-	-

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Stuzzikini

37.6

OR: 22.5 Form: 15.1 Odds: 0

—

2nd

Jubilee Express

37.3

OR: 19 Form: 15 Odds: 3.3

13/2

3rd

Fontaine Collonges

36.6

OR: 24.5 Form: 10 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Val Dancer

31.7

OR: 19 Form: 10 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Iwilldoit

31.3

OR: 24.3 Form: 5.1 Odds: 1.9

11/1

Monbeg Genius

30.6

OR: 23.5 Form: 5 Odds: 2.1

11/1

Where It All Began

30.3

OR: 21 Form: 7.1 Odds: 2.2

12/1

Iron Bridge

28.1

OR: 21.5 Form: 3 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Galia Des Liteaux

25.7

OR: 23 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

9/1

Atlanta Brave

21.3

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 3.1

8/1

Evies Vladimir

21.1

OR: 18.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.9

8/1

The Newest One

20.6

OR: 19.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

20/1

Your Own Story

20.6

OR: 19.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.1

20/1

No Hubs No Hoobs

19.9

OR: 18.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Amateur

19.1

OR: 18.8 Form: 0 Odds: 0.3

150/1

Classic Concorde

18.5

OR: 18 Form: 0 Odds: 0.5

66/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Fontaine Collonges	148	157	132
Iwilldoit	147	153	120
Monbeg Genius	144	154	130
Galia Des Liteaux	142	156	109
Stuzzikini	140	147	131
Iron Bridge	136	155	124
Where It All Began	134	156	71
Your Own Story	128	152	113
The Newest One	127	149	131
Jubilee Express	126	154	115
Val Dancer	126	152	136
Amateur	125	149	130
No Hubs No Hoobs	124	151	124
Evies Vladimir	123	152	116
Atlanta Brave	123	155	70
Classic Concorde	122	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
The Newest One	14d ago	Fit
Your Own Story	19d ago	Fit
Amateur	21d ago	Fit
Evies Vladimir	26d ago	Fit
Galia Des Liteaux	27d ago	Fit
Atlanta Brave	33d ago	Fit
Monbeg Genius	34d ago	Fit
Fontaine Collonges	34d ago	Fit
Stuzzikini	40d ago	Fit
Iron Bridge	54d ago	Fresh
Val Dancer	54d ago	Fresh
No Hubs No Hoobs	61d ago	Fresh
Classic Concorde	62d ago	Fresh
Where It All Began	270d ago	Long break
Jubilee Express	282d ago	Long break
Iwilldoit	314d ago	Long break