Gamble Responsibly With BetMGM EBF 'Confined' Novice Stakes (No More Than 3 Runs) (GBB) (Div II)

Wolverhampton (AW)

17:00

Date 2024-12-27

Distance 7f36y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 2yo

Prize £3,402

Runners (12)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
8 (3)	Stage Winner Bay J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	J:Hector Crouch T:George Boughey	133	—	6	-	80	38	39d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Showed some promise here last month; form has been boosted; likely to improve; respected
1 (12)	Best Rate Bay J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	J:Sean Levey T:Richard Hannon	133	—	35	-	83	67	44d	—	—	-15	9.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Clear promise in AW contests over 7f/1m, latest at Lingfield; major player on form
9 (7)	Tawasol Grey J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	J:Jack Mitchell T:Simon & Ed Crisford	133	t	—	-	53	-	125d	—	—	-17	7.3	0.69/1	11/4 27%
In good hands and should step up on his Windsor effort; had wind surgery since that run
2 (4)	City Of God Bay J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-9	3.6	2.00/1	8/1 11%
135,000gns yearling; by Kodiac; major stable; the pick of the newcomers
12 (6)	Rogue Dynasty Bay J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:David Loughnane	J:Sean D Bowen(3) T:David Loughnane	128	—	743	67	76	44	17d	—	—	+2	9.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Made the frame at Southwell the last twice but likely needs some improvement to win
5 (10)	March To The Band Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	133	—	94	-	61	42	16d	—	—	-3	1	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ex-Irish gelding who has a modest RPR but could take another step forward
4 (9)	Leadenhall Street Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	J:Daniel Muscutt T:James Fanshawe	133	h	—	-	39	-	140d	—	—	-2	0.9	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Trailed home last of 12 at Newmarket in August; gelded since and now wears hood
10 (11)	Thurso Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	J:Finley Marsh T:Richard Hughes	133	—	77	-	74	46	17d	—	—	-2	0.7	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Looks the type who'll be more interesting in handicaps shortly
3 (8)	Jazzit Bay J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Harry Eustace	J:Pierre-Louis Jamin T:Harry Eustace	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Brother to an AW handicap winner for his connections; looks one for later on
7 (5)	Prodigal Son Grey J:Trevor Whelan T:Heather Main	J:Trevor Whelan T:Heather Main	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Related to many winners for his yard but all were unplaced on debut
6 (2)	My Friend Charles Bay J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Joseph Parr	J:Benoit De La Sayette T:Joseph Parr	133	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-1	0.4	20.00/1	80/1 1%
20,000gns yearling; by Dark Angel; yard is not a huge source of debut scorers
11 (1)	Little Bittern Bay J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	J:Charles Bishop T:Eve Johnson Houghton	128	—	66	-	63	48	11d	—	—	-1	0.2	37.50/1	150/1 1%
Likely to find better opportunities in handicaps soon

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Stage Winner	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Best Rate	9/4	9/4	9/4	5/2	9/4
Tawasol	11/4	11/4	11/4	5/2	9/4
City Of God	8/1	13/2	8/1	8/1	15/2
Rogue Dynasty	14/1	12/1	14/1	14/1	12/1
March To The Band	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1	25/1
Leadenhall Street	33/1	28/1	28/1	22/1	25/1
Thurso	33/1	28/1	28/1	28/1	28/1
Jazzit	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	50/1
Prodigal Son	66/1	66/1	66/1	66/1	50/1
My Friend Charles	80/1	66/1	80/1	66/1	50/1
Little Bittern	150/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	100/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Best Rate

9.4

OR: 0 Form: 2.1 Odds: 7.3

5/2

2nd

Rogue Dynasty

9.2

OR: 4.3 Form: 3 Odds: 1.9

14/1

3rd

Stage Winner

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Tawasol

7.3

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 7.3

11/4

City Of God

3.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 3.6

8/1

March To The Band

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1

25/1

Leadenhall Street

0.9

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.9

33/1

Thurso

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Jazzit

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Prodigal Son

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

66/1

My Friend Charles

0.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.4

80/1

Little Bittern

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

150/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Rogue Dynasty	67	76	44
Stage Winner	—	80	38
Best Rate	—	83	67
Tawasol	—	53	—
City Of God	—	—	—
March To The Band	—	61	42
Leadenhall Street	—	39	—
Thurso	—	74	46
Jazzit	—	—	—
Prodigal Son	—	—	—
My Friend Charles	—	—	—
Little Bittern	—	63	48

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Little Bittern	11d ago	Quick return
March To The Band	16d ago	Fit
Rogue Dynasty	17d ago	Fit
Thurso	17d ago	Fit
Stage Winner	39d ago	Fit
Best Rate	44d ago	Fit
Tawasol	125d ago	Long break
Leadenhall Street	140d ago	Long break
City Of God	—	—
Jazzit	—	—
Prodigal Son	—	—
My Friend Charles	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Wolverhampton (AW) over 7f36y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12

Based on 8 draws with historical results at this course and distance.