Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap – Southwell (AW)

Southwell (AW)

17:15

Gamble Responsibly At BetMGM Fillies' Handicap

Date 2024-12-28

Distance 1m4f14y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo+

Prize £3,716

Runners (6)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Turner Girl Bay J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Dunlop	134	v	033323	69	80	72	9d	—	—	+2	19.5	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Placed on her last five outings and three of those runs have been here; in the mix again
1 (6)	Aiming High Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	J:Luke Morris T:David Simcock	139	—	213046	74	83	77	115d	—	—	-8	16.2	0.63/1	5/2 29%
1-1 here and that win came after a break; quite interesting after four months off
4 (3)	Caramay Grey J:Frederick Larson(3) T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:William Muir & Chris Grassick	132	p	611212	67	82	72	19d	0W/1P 1 run	0W/1P 1 run	+10	29.5	1.25/1	5/1 17%
A revelation since switched back to the AW, winning three times; shortlisted again
3 (4)	Alpine Oasis Grey J:Sam James T:K R Burke	J:Sam James T:K R Burke	134	—	5149	73	77	57	19d	—	—	-1	15.8	1.38/1	11/2 15%
Bit to prove after poor run last time but is lightly raced and may have untapped potential
6 (5)	Countess Candy Chestnut J:Sean Levey T:Conrad Allen	J:Sean Levey T:Conrad Allen	130	—	31335	69	80	59	24d	—	—	+2	16	1.75/1	7/1 13%
1-5; never dangerous at Lingfield last time; probably needs personal best over longer trip
5 (1)	Fleeting Moment Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:James Horton	J:Richard Kingscote T:James Horton	131	—	567	70	79	33	51d	—	—	-2	7.7	2.00/1	8/1 11%
Midfield in maidens; bred to be useful and open to progress now handicapping

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Turner Girl	7/2	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2
Aiming High	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2	5/2
Caramay	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	5/1
Alpine Oasis	11/2	5/1	5/1	5/1	9/2
Countess Candy	7/1	13/2	13/2	13/2	6/1
Fleeting Moment	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2	8/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Caramay

29.5

OR: 4.3 Form: 19.5 Odds: 5.7

5/1

2nd

Turner Girl

19.5

OR: 4.8 Form: 9.5 Odds: 5.2

7/2

3rd

Aiming High

16.2

OR: 6 Form: 2.9 Odds: 7.3

5/2

Countess Candy

OR: 4.8 Form: 7.2 Odds: 4

7/1

Alpine Oasis

15.8

OR: 5.8 Form: 5 Odds: 5

11/2

Fleeting Moment

7.7

OR: 5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

8/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Aiming High	74	83	77
Alpine Oasis	73	77	57
Fleeting Moment	70	79	33
Turner Girl	69	80	72
Countess Candy	69	80	59
Caramay	67	82	72

Last Run