BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:10

BetMGM: It's Showtime Handicap

Date 2025-01-01

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 2

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £13,190

Winning Time 1m 41.77s (slow by 4.77s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Storm Star (GB) Hayley Turner · Andrew Balding	7/2	Won
2nd	Apiarist (IRE) Rowan Scott · Kevin Ryan	3/1	.75
3rd	Popmaster (IRE) Hector Crouch · Ed Walker	13/2	.75
4th	Symbol Of Light (GB) Jason Watson · Julie Camacho	17/2	0.1
5th	Empirestateofmind (IRE) Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn	25/1	1
6th	Qazaq (FR) Jack Mitchell · Roger Varian	15/8F	2.25
7th	Blue Prince (IRE) Cam Hardie · David Evans	22/1	3

Runners (7)

EW Terms: 2 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
3 (4)	Qazaq Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	124	—	1/11-	92	119	77	50d	—	—	-3	26.9	0.50/1	2/1 33%
Made all and held on narrowly at Southwell last time, taking record to 3-3; shortlisted
6 (3)	Apiarist Bay J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Ryan	J:Rowan Scott T:Kevin Ryan	120	—	43941-	88	118	68	26d	—	0W/1P 1 run	+5	27.1	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Suited by the switch to AW in C&D contest last month, posting a career-best performance
7 (5)	Storm Star Chestnut J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	J:Hayley Turner T:Andrew Balding	118	—	32333-	86	113	100	60d	—	—	+4	23.4	1.13/1	9/2 18%
0-6 since debut win but is proving very consistent; again likely to give his running
1 (6)	Popmaster Grey J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	J:Hector Crouch T:Ed Walker	135	—	60023-	103	116	94	28d	—	—	+11	23.4	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Two creditable efforts since returned to AW but still seeking first win beyond 7f
2 (2)	Symbol Of Light Brown J:Jason Watson T:Julie Camacho	J:Jason Watson T:Julie Camacho	127	hp	/2260-	95	118	-	230d	—	—	+9	17.8	2.50/1	10/1 9%
0-7 for this yard but has a good chance provided he's in top form on return from layoff
4 (1)	Blue Prince Bay J:Cam Hardie T:David Evans	J:Cam Hardie T:David Evans	123	—	13045-	91	115	75	20d	—	—	+10	14.4	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran creditably upped to 1m at Chelmsford most recently; this is a stiffer test
5 (7)	Empirestateofmind Bay J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	J:Jason Hart T:John & Sean Quinn	122	b	80166-	90	115	74	20d	—	—	+12	16.2	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Ran respectably at Chelmsford last month but is now 0-5 on AW; not the percentage call

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Qazaq	2/1	15/8	15/8	13/8	2/1
Apiarist	11/4	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4
Storm Star	4/1	4/1	4/1	4/1	9/2
Popmaster	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	6/1
Symbol Of Light	10/1	10/1	10/1	9/1	9/1
Blue Prince	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	22/1
Empirestateofmind	25/1	22/1	22/1	22/1	25/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Apiarist

27.1

OR: 9.5 Form: 10.9 Odds: 6.7

3/1

2nd

Qazaq

26.9

OR: 10.5 Form: 7 Odds: 9.4

2/1

3rd

Storm Star

23.4

OR: 9 Form: 8.7 Odds: 5.7

9/2

Popmaster

23.4

OR: 13.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.6

13/2

Symbol Of Light

17.8

OR: 11.3 Form: 4 Odds: 2.5

10/1

Empirestateofmind

16.2

OR: 10 Form: 5 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Blue Prince

14.4

OR: 10.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.2

25/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Popmaster	103	116	94
Symbol Of Light	95	118	—
Qazaq	92	119	77
Blue Prince	91	115	75
Empirestateofmind	90	115	74
Apiarist	88	118	68
Storm Star	86	113	100

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Blue Prince	20d ago	Fit
Empirestateofmind	20d ago	Fit
Apiarist	26d ago	Fit
Popmaster	28d ago	Fit
Qazaq	50d ago	Fresh
Storm Star	60d ago	Fresh
Symbol Of Light	230d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.