Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap – Lingfield (AW)

Lingfield (AW)

13:58

Best Odds Guaranteed At BetMGM Handicap

Date 2025-01-09

Distance 6f1y

Class Class 4

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 3yo

Prize £4,972

Winning Time 1m 11.92s (slow by 2.52s)

Result

Pos	Horse	SP	Btn
1st	Carbine Harvester (FR) Harry Burns · William Haggas	15/8	Won
2nd	Brosay (GB) Edward Greatrex · Paul Attwater	13/2	0.2
3rd	Dream Voyage (GB) David Probert · Hugo Palmer	18/1	2
4th	Berkshire Kameo (GB) Jason Watson · Andrew Balding	40/1	0.3
5th	Amerjeet (GB) Luke Morris · Archie Watson	22/1	3
6th	Rock N Roll Rocket (IRE) Jack Mitchell · David Loughnane	50/1	1.75
7th	Sergio Parisse (GB) Richard Kingscote · Clive Cox	6/4F	4
8th	Ardennes (IRE) Frederick Larson · Michael Appleby	8/1	3.5

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
6 (6)	Sergio Parisse Bay J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	J:Richard Kingscote T:Clive Cox	131	—	314-	78	90	-	197d	—	—	-8	26.1	0.41/1	13/8 38%
Has had wind surgery and needs a close look now switched to a handicap on his return
7 (8)	Carbine Harvester Bay J:Harry Burns(3) T:William Haggas	J:Harry Burns(3) T:William Haggas	131	t	54611-	78	92	60	11d	—	—	+6	32	0.69/1	11/4 27%
2-2 in handicaps and he's 4lb well in under a penalty for his win 11 days ago; big player
1 (9)	Brosay Bay J:Edward Greatrex T:Paul Attwater	J:Edward Greatrex T:Paul Attwater	136	p	13001-	83	89	75	12d	—	—	+13	24.5	1.88/1	15/2 12%
Won on handicap/stable debut at Southwell and he's open to more progress back up in trip
2 (2)	Ardennes Bay J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	J:Frederick Larson(3) T:Michael Appleby	135	—	05623-	82	90	83	11d	—	—	+8	17	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Two decent front-running efforts since joining Mick Appleby but others are more persuasive
5 (5)	Camera Shy Bay J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	J:Callum Shepherd T:Michael Bell	132	—	193-	79	86	58	61d	—	—	+10	17.4	3.00/1	12/1 8%
Newmarket winner and he's still unexposed; respected on handicap debut
3 (4)	Dream Voyage Bay J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	J:David Probert T:Hugo Palmer	134	h	317-	81	88	-	152d	—	—	+12	17.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Salisbury winner who had tough task in Group 3 latest; interesting back in calmer waters
9 (1)	Rock N Roll Rocket Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:David Loughnane	J:Jack Mitchell T:David Loughnane	128	—	06615-	75	88	60	12d	—	—	+11	14	8.25/1	33/1 3%
Dual winner but he has a patchy profile and was laboured last time; risks attached
4 (7)	Amerjeet Bay J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	J:Luke Morris T:Archie Watson	132	b	41703-	79	84	60	31d	—	—	+12	13.7	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Hasn't gone on since his 5f win here last July; bit to prove now upped to 6f
8 (3)	Berkshire Kameo Bay J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	J:Jason Watson T:Andrew Balding	129	b	32076-	76	86	73	11d	—	—	+7	9.1	12.50/1	50/1 2%
Seven-race maiden and he's been well held in his last three handicaps; others preferred

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Sergio Parisse	6/4	11/8	6/4	6/4	13/8
Carbine Harvester	9/4	11/4	9/4	9/4	85/40
Brosay	7/1	13/2	7/1	7/1	15/2
Ardennes	17/2	15/2	17/2	17/2	17/2
Camera Shy	12/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	9/1
Dream Voyage	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	12/1
Rock N Roll Rocket	33/1	33/1	33/1	28/1	33/1
Amerjeet	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	40/1
Berkshire Kameo	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1	50/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Carbine Harvester

OR: 7 Form: 17 Odds: 8

11/4

2nd

Sergio Parisse

26.1

OR: 7 Form: 8.5 Odds: 10.6

13/8

3rd

Brosay

24.5

OR: 8.3 Form: 12.9 Odds: 3.3

15/2

Dream Voyage

17.9

OR: 7.8 Form: 8.5 Odds: 1.6

14/1

Camera Shy

17.4

OR: 7.3 Form: 8 Odds: 2.1

12/1

Ardennes

OR: 8 Form: 6.5 Odds: 2.5

17/2

Rock N Roll Rocket

OR: 6.3 Form: 7 Odds: 0.7

33/1

Amerjeet

13.7

OR: 7.3 Form: 6 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Berkshire Kameo

9.1

OR: 6.5 Form: 2.1 Odds: 0.5

50/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Brosay	83	89	75
Ardennes	82	90	83
Dream Voyage	81	88	—
Camera Shy	79	86	58
Amerjeet	79	84	60
Sergio Parisse	78	90	—
Carbine Harvester	78	92	60
Berkshire Kameo	76	86	73
Rock N Roll Rocket	75	88	60

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Carbine Harvester	11d ago	Quick return
Ardennes	11d ago	Quick return
Berkshire Kameo	11d ago	Quick return
Brosay	12d ago	Quick return
Rock N Roll Rocket	12d ago	Quick return
Amerjeet	31d ago	Fit
Camera Shy	61d ago	Fresh
Dream Voyage	152d ago	Long break
Sergio Parisse	197d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Lingfield (AW) over 6f1y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 9 draws with historical results at this course and distance.