Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Novice Stakes – Newcastle (AW)

Newcastle (AW)

16:45

Win £1M With BetMGM's Golden Goals Novice Stakes

Date 2025-01-10

Distance 1m5y

Class Class 5

Going Standard

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,942

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
2 (2)	Bragbor Bay J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	J:Darragh Keenan T:George Scott	130	—	—	-	-	-	—	—	—	-30	15	0.28/1	11/10 48%
Bought for 400,000euros at breeze-up in spring 2023; makes belated debut here
1 (7)	Sovereign Sea Bay J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	J:Jack Mitchell T:Roger Varian	137	—	1-	-	83	-	63d	—	—	-9	18.4	0.63/1	5/2 29%
Readily won four-runner C&D novice on debut and looks a good prospect
5 (1)	Parkland Brown J:Oisin Orr T:Andrew Balding	J:Oisin Orr T:Andrew Balding	130	—	3/27-	79	90	-	224d	—	—	-4	15.1	0.88/1	7/2 22%
Absent since last May but began career with three promising 1m runs; major player
4 (6)	Kingdom Of Time Bay J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	J:Laura Coughlan(3) T:Archie Watson	130	p	45/3-	76	86	-	32d	—	—	+5	11.2	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Quite promising 2yo for Goldolphin and ran okay for new stable last month; a possible
6 (8)	Without Compromise Bay J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	J:Cam Hardie T:Antony Brittain	130	—	45-	-	79	27	12d	—	—	-4	1.4	4.50/1	18/1 5%
Showed significant ability on both starts last month but has a bit to find today
8 (3)	Encircle Bay J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	J:Kaiya Fraser(3) T:Rebecca Menzies	125	—	2-7	-	83	-	8d	—	—	+3	3.7	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Second on debut last Janaury but soundly beaten when reappearing for new stable this month
9 (5)	Jam Lass Bay J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Fionn McSharry	J:Oisin McSweeney(3) T:Fionn McSharry	125	—	6-	-	56	23	24d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Last of six when 66-1 for C&D maiden on last month's debut
3 (4)	Chantilly Moon Bay J:Paul Mulrennan T:Peter Niven	J:Paul Mulrennan T:Peter Niven	130	—	9-	-	50	32	29d	—	—	-3	1.2	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Pulled up in three maiden hurdles and also struggled on Flat debut
7 (9)	Bella Puledra Chestnut J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	J:Sean Kirrane T:David Thompson	125	—	0/7-	-	58	40	29d	—	—	0	0.1	75.00/1	300/1 0%
Well beaten a huge odds here (1m2f) on first two starts; drops in trip today

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Bragbor	evn	evn	evn	10/11	11/10
Sovereign Sea	5/2	5/2	9/4	5/2	2/1
Parkland	7/2	7/2	10/3	7/2	10/3
Kingdom Of Time	14/1	12/1	12/1	12/1	11/1
Without Compromise	18/1	16/1	16/1	18/1	16/1
Encircle	200/1	150/1	150/1	150/1	125/1
Jam Lass	250/1	300/1	250/1	250/1	200/1
Chantilly Moon	250/1	300/1	250/1	200/1	250/1
Bella Puledra	250/1	300/1	250/1	250/1	300/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Sovereign Sea

18.4

OR: 0 Form: 10 Odds: 8.4

5/2

2nd

Parkland

15.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 2.1 Odds: 5.7

7/2

3rd

Bragbor

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 15

11/10

Kingdom Of Time

11.2

OR: 6.5 Form: 3 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Encircle

3.7

OR: 0 Form: 3.5 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Without Compromise

1.4

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

18/1

Chantilly Moon

1.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 1.2

300/1

Jam Lass

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Bella Puledra

0.1

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.1

300/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Parkland	79	90	—
Kingdom Of Time	76	86	—
Bragbor	—	—	—
Sovereign Sea	—	83	—
Without Compromise	—	79	27
Encircle	—	83	—
Jam Lass	—	56	23
Chantilly Moon	—	50	32
Bella Puledra	—	58	40

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Encircle	8d ago	Quick return
Without Compromise	12d ago	Quick return
Jam Lass	24d ago	Fit
Chantilly Moon	29d ago	Fit
Bella Puledra	29d ago	Fit
Kingdom Of Time	32d ago	Fit
Sovereign Sea	63d ago	Fresh
Parkland	224d ago	Long break
Bragbor	—	—

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Newcastle (AW) over 1m5y. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9

Based on 4 draws with historical results at this course and distance.