Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap – Kempton (AW)

Kempton (AW)

18:30

Get Daily Price Boosts At Unibet Handicap

Date 2025-01-15

Distance 1m

Class Class 6

Going Standard To Slow

Type Flat

Surface AW

Age Band 4yo+

Prize £3,140

Runners (14)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
12 (5)	Cherry King Bay J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	J:Sean Levey T:Stuart Williams	129	tp	544-22	49	69	62	11d	—	—	-14	5.7	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Tad disappointing he's still a maiden but the addition of cheekpieces could help
8 (8)	Stella Hogan Chestnut J:Jason Watson T:Michael Appleby	J:Jason Watson T:Michael Appleby	132	hp	36854-	52	72	57	53d	—	—	-10	5.5	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Sole win on this track; reasonable to expect more from her today for newish connections
6 (2)	United Force Bay J:Marco Ghiani T:Clare Hobson	J:Marco Ghiani T:Clare Hobson	133	—	01661-	53	65	57	33d	—	—	+4	17.8	1.50/1	6/1 14%
Two wins under Marco Ghiani but he might find this a tad too competitive
4 (3)	Genta Bay J:Sean D Bowen T:Alice Haynes	J:Sean D Bowen T:Alice Haynes	135	t	33405-	55	65	57	25d	—	—	-6	6.1	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Some positives in handicaps; returning to 1m looks a smart move but others appeal more
3 (4)	Bo Taifan Grey J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	J:Darragh Keenan T:Martin Dunne	135	v	54023-	55	68	55	27d	—	—	0	10.8	2.25/1	9/1 10%
Form has solid look to it; should settle okay in this maximum field and come home well
9 (11)	Nasim Chestnut J:Hector Crouch T:Mark Pattinson	J:Hector Crouch T:Mark Pattinson	132	p	76387-	52	73	59	28d	—	—	-4	4.5	2.00/1	8/1 11%
No win for nearly two years but returning to 1m could see him do better than of late
7 (9)	Morindoo Bay J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	J:Tom Marquand T:Ed Walker	132	—	79707-	52	66	41	34d	—	—	-5	2.7	2.75/1	11/1 8%
Disappointing maiden; Tom Marquand returning to the saddle is at least a positive
1 (7)	Sam's Hope Bay J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	J:William Carson T:Tony Carroll	135	t	13706-	55	68	43	18d	—	—	0	5.9	3.50/1	14/1 7%
Claims if building on her sixth over an inadequate 6f last time, now dropping into a 0-55
5 (1)	Ballybaymoonshiner Bay J:Shane Kelly T:Murty McGrath	J:Shane Kelly T:Murty McGrath	134	v	51250-	54	67	53	27d	—	—	+4	7.5	7.00/1	28/1 3%
Has the look of a 7f specialist and is passed over
2 (12)	Card Shark Bay J:Paddy Bradley T:Jim Boyle	J:Paddy Bradley T:Jim Boyle	135	—	79U0-	55	60	-	243d	—	—	-3	2.9	6.25/1	25/1 4%
Soundly beaten in two completions for this yard; handicap debut after 243 days off
11 (10)	Liege Bay J:Finley Marsh T:Simon Hodgson	J:Finley Marsh T:Simon Hodgson	129	p	3658-5	49	64	56	6d	—	—	-2	0.7	10.00/1	40/1 2%
Doesn't look the most straightforward but perhaps a strongly run 1m is what he needs
13 (14)	Tea Leaf Ted Chestnut J:Luke Morris T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	J:Luke Morris T:Dominic Ffrench Davis	126	p	76877-	46	61	52	27d	—	—	-2	0.6	12.50/1	50/1 2%
0-12; getting to or near the front early won't be easy from the widest stall
10 (13)	Beauen Arrows Bay J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Attwater	J:Daniel Muscutt T:Michael Attwater	129	—	82280-	49	67	43	273d	—	—	+2	4.6	16.50/1	66/1 1%
Hard to see belated first win coming upped to 1m for the first time off a 273-day break
14 (6)	Moorgate Bay J:J F Egan T:Pat Murphy	J:J F Egan T:Pat Murphy	126	p	88890-	46	61	41	24d	—	—	-1	0.2	50.00/1	200/1 0%
Hard to see him excelling under these conditions

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Cherry King	10/3	10/3	10/3	3/1	3/1
Stella Hogan	9/2	9/2	9/2	9/2	4/1
United Force	6/1	11/2	6/1	6/1	11/2
Genta	6/1	6/1	6/1	13/2	11/2
Bo Taifan	7/1	6/1	7/1	9/1	7/1
Nasim	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	15/2
Morindoo	11/1	11/1	11/1	11/1	10/1
Sam's Hope	14/1	14/1	14/1	11/1	11/1
Ballybaymoonshiner	28/1	25/1	25/1	22/1	20/1
Card Shark	25/1	22/1	22/1	16/1	20/1
Liege	40/1	33/1	33/1	33/1	33/1
Tea Leaf Ted	50/1	40/1	40/1	40/1	33/1
Beauen Arrows	66/1	50/1	50/1	40/1	33/1
Moorgate	200/1	125/1	125/1	100/1	125/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

United Force

17.8

OR: 0.8 Form: 13 Odds: 4

6/1

2nd

Bo Taifan

10.8

OR: 1.3 Form: 6.5 Odds: 3.1

9/1

3rd

Ballybaymoonshiner

7.5

OR: 1 Form: 5.5 Odds: 1

28/1

Genta

6.1

OR: 1.3 Form: 1.5 Odds: 3.3

13/2

Sam's Hope

5.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 2.9 Odds: 1.7

14/1

Cherry King

5.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 5.7

10/3

Stella Hogan

5.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 0.6 Odds: 4.4

9/2

Beauen Arrows

4.6

OR: 0 Form: 4 Odds: 0.6

66/1

Nasim

4.5

OR: 0.5 Form: 1.5 Odds: 2.5

8/1

Card Shark

2.9

OR: 1.3 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

25/1

Morindoo

2.7

OR: 0.5 Form: 0 Odds: 2.2

11/1

Liege

0.7

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.7

40/1

Tea Leaf Ted

0.6

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.6

50/1

Moorgate

0.2

OR: 0 Form: 0 Odds: 0.2

200/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Genta	55	65	57
Bo Taifan	55	68	55
Sam's Hope	55	68	43
Card Shark	55	60	—
Ballybaymoonshiner	54	67	53
United Force	53	65	57
Stella Hogan	52	72	57
Nasim	52	73	59
Morindoo	52	66	41
Cherry King	49	69	62
Liege	49	64	56
Beauen Arrows	49	67	43
Tea Leaf Ted	46	61	52
Moorgate	46	61	41

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Liege	6d ago	Quick return
Cherry King	11d ago	Quick return
Sam's Hope	18d ago	Fit
Moorgate	24d ago	Fit
Genta	25d ago	Fit
Bo Taifan	27d ago	Fit
Ballybaymoonshiner	27d ago	Fit
Tea Leaf Ted	27d ago	Fit
Nasim	28d ago	Fit
United Force	33d ago	Fit
Morindoo	34d ago	Fit
Stella Hogan	53d ago	Fresh
Card Shark	243d ago	Long break
Beauen Arrows	273d ago	Long break

Draw Bias

Historical win rate by draw at Kempton (AW) over 1m. Darker = more wins.

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Based on 11 draws with historical results at this course and distance.