'The Commodore' Handicap Chase (Div II) – Ludlow

Ludlow

14:25

'The Commodore' Handicap Chase (Div II)

Date 2025-01-16

Distance 2m4f11y

Class Class 5

Going Soft

Type Chase

Surface Turf

Age Band 5yo+

Prize £4,753

Runners (9)

EW Terms: 3 places, ¼ odds (standard bookmaker terms — may vary)

#	Horse	Jockey / Trainer	Wt	Gear	Form	OR	RPR	TS	Last	Crs	Dst	Val	Scr	EW	Odds
4	Thunder N Lightnin Grey J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	J:Paul O'Brien T:Harry Derham	165	t	2/62-3	102	-	-	66d	—	—	+5	24.2	0.83/1	10/3 23%
Very lightly raced 7yo who is a possible improver now switched to fences on handicap debut
9	Bumpy Evans Chestnut J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	J:Alan Johns T:Tim Vaughan	142	h	FF2-11	79	-	-	—	—	—	-9	14.1	0.75/1	3/1 25%
Won 2 points last May; could play leading role if transferring that ability back to rules
8	We Got Your Back Bay J:Harry Reed T:L J Morgan	J:Harry Reed T:L J Morgan	143	h	665301	80	115	96	19d	—	—	+7	24	1.13/1	9/2 18%
Off the mark at Leicester last month in a first-time hood and he's a leading player
3	Redbridge Rambler Bay J:Tom Bellamy T:Martin Keighley	J:Tom Bellamy T:Martin Keighley	166	p	1-3445	103	100	79	48d	—	—	+10	24.3	1.63/1	13/2 13%
Won off this mark over hurdles last March but below par in autumn (including over fences)
6	Lady Pretender Bay J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	J:Charlie Deutsch T:Venetia Williams	158	—	57-P32	95	114	101	19d	—	—	+4	13.9	2.13/1	17/2 11%
Placed over 1m7f/2m the last twice and could have more to offer now back up in trip
2	Rajjamataz Chestnut J:Luke Scott(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	J:Luke Scott(5) T:Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole	167	p	P-1225	104	110	97	53d	—	—	+9	15.2	4.00/1	16/1 6%
In good form prior to last time, when soft ground at Uttoxeter may not have been ideal
1	Just One Surf Bay J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	J:James Bowen T:Warren Greatrex	168	tb	P10-PP	105	-	-	17d	—	—	+9	15.5	4.00/1	16/1 6%
Pulled up in both chases but lightly raced and perhaps blinkers will give him a boost
7	Aldsworth Bay J:Adam Wedge T:Robbie Llewellyn	J:Adam Wedge T:Robbie Llewellyn	155	b	/F2P-0	92	-	-	74d	—	—	+6	12.1	5.00/1	20/1 5%
0-9 over hurdles but not ruled out on chase debut and second start back from an absence
5	Gaelic Park Brown J:David Bass T:Charlie Longsdon	J:David Bass T:Charlie Longsdon	164	p	P80-55	101	110	-	27d	—	—	+9	14.1	5.50/1	22/1 4%
Soundly beaten over hurdles on both runs this term and hasn't taken to chasing previously

Horse	bet365	William Hill	Boyle Sports	Ladbrokes	Unibet
Thunder N Lightnin	10/3	3/1	10/3	10/3	3/1
Bumpy Evans	3/1	11/4	11/4	11/4	11/4
We Got Your Back	4/1	4/1	7/2	9/2	9/2
Redbridge Rambler	13/2	6/1	11/2	11/2	6/1
Lady Pretender	8/1	8/1	8/1	8/1	17/2
Rajjamataz	16/1	14/1	14/1	16/1	16/1
Just One Surf	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1	16/1
Aldsworth	14/1	20/1	18/1	16/1	16/1
Gaelic Park	14/1	22/1	20/1	16/1	20/1

Predictor

Scored on Official Rating (max 30), Recent Form (max 25), and Market Odds (max 20). Max score: 75.

1st

Redbridge Rambler

24.3

OR: 13.3 Form: 7 Odds: 4

13/2

2nd

Thunder N Lightnin

24.2

OR: 13 Form: 5.5 Odds: 5.7

10/3

3rd

We Got Your Back

OR: 7.5 Form: 11.5 Odds: 5

9/2

Just One Surf

15.5

OR: 13.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Rajjamataz

15.2

OR: 13.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.7

16/1

Bumpy Evans

14.1

OR: 7.3 Form: 0 Odds: 6.9

3/1

Gaelic Park

14.1

OR: 12.8 Form: 0 Odds: 1.4

22/1

Lady Pretender

13.9

OR: 11.3 Form: 0 Odds: 2.7

17/2

Aldsworth

12.1

OR: 10.5 Form: 0 Odds: 1.6

20/1

Ratings

Horse	OR	RPR	TS
Just One Surf	105	—	—
Rajjamataz	104	110	97
Redbridge Rambler	103	100	79
Thunder N Lightnin	102	—	—
Gaelic Park	101	110	—
Lady Pretender	95	114	101
Aldsworth	92	—	—
We Got Your Back	80	115	96
Bumpy Evans	79	—	—

Last Run

Horse	Last Run	Status
Just One Surf	17d ago	Fit
We Got Your Back	19d ago	Fit
Lady Pretender	19d ago	Fit
Gaelic Park	27d ago	Fit
Redbridge Rambler	48d ago	Fresh
Rajjamataz	53d ago	Fresh
Thunder N Lightnin	66d ago	Fresh
Aldsworth	74d ago	Fresh
Bumpy Evans	—	—